Posted on 09/15/2014 6:18:59 AM PDT by cotton1706
Two polls released Monday show Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan opening up a lead over Republican challenger Thom Tillis.
Raleigh polling firm American Insights, which has Republican ties, had Hagan with a 9 percentage point lead among likely voters, while Elon University Poll gives Hagan a 4-point lead.
The polls are the latest in a string showing Hagan gaining ground in the campaign.
Of likely voters surveyed by American Insights, 43 percent said they would back Hagan, 34 percent said they backed Tillis, the current state House speaker, and 5 percent backed Libertarian Sean Haugh.
"The race has unmistakably shifted towards Sen. Hagan in recent days," said Pearce Godwin, insights director for American Insights, which has Republican ties. "This poll is a continuation and affirmation of the recent trend in her direction. But there is still a lot of time left on the clock, and I would not be surprised if this volatile race shifts back to a jump ball between now and November."
Although the near double-digit lead for Hagan is eye-catching, it's worth noting that the result is still just within the margin or error with regard to likely voters. While the American Insights results confirm a trend seen in other polls, it is still something of an outlier, giving Hagan more of a lead over Tillis than those other polls have shown.
(Excerpt) Read more at wral.com ...
Sounds like Haugh is fulfilling his role as spoiler.
Tlllis has the worst ads I ever seen.
“... it’s worth noting that the result is still just within the margin or error. “
Is this a Stat 101 test?
Personally, if polled, I lie to the pollster....................
Every democrat seems to be under 50%.
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Can’t the same be said for many of the GOP candidates? The best polling
indicators usually are those within the last 10 days or so of vote day. jmo.
Why does it seem that the Republicans just cannot close the deal?
Every liberal group in the US has been in our neighborhood trying to get out the vote for Hagan. And the television stations are full of attack ads against Tillis.
“Can’t the same be said for many of the GOP candidates?”
Yes, to be fair, that’s true. But when incumbents are under 50%, it doesn’t bode well.
“Why does it seem that the Republicans just cannot close the deal?”
Probably because of the lukewarm, milquetoast types of republicans that the Establishment prefers. In November 2012, all their candidates went down in flames.
NC will repent for voting Romney in 2012, narrow though it was. Without Jesse Helms to set the tone, the state is a lost cause.
The R candidate must be 100% pure conservative. If he/she isn't there's a group that would rather have a Democrat.
North Carolina is the perfect example. The hard line conservatives backed an OB/GYN with no experience in the primary. They're still p.o.'d he lost and would rather have the flaming liberal.
The only people for whom Tillis could “close the deal” were the uninformed Republican primary voters.
You should see Ed Gillespie’s in Virginia; spends most of his time touting his roots as the son of immigrants, and a guy who worked his way through college in the Senate parking garage. Only recently released his first attack ad on Mark Warner, depicting him as a rubber stamp for Obama.
Duh. Gillespie is a wealthy man, and you’d think the former head of the RNC would have more funding and political savvy. Instead, he’s running one of the most inept campaigns I’ve ever seen. In fact, a liberal PAC has purchased many of the ad slots next to Gillespie’s, so every campaign spot is immediately answered by an attack ad depicting Gillespie as a K Street lobbyist.
Another losing campaign, brought to you by Virginia’s GOP-E. One more thing: in his ads, Gillespie never identifies himself as a Republican. Who would have ever thought a Republican candidate in the Old Dominion would be running away from his party affiliation.
Doesn't much matter any more. The R's got us into the mess too, albeit somewhat less enthusiastically than the D's. There is nothing that can fix American politics now, except maybe running non-politicians. E.g. a medical doctor.
The only people for whom Tillis could 'close the deal' were those who think Hagen is a disaster and want an R controlled Senate.
What counts where I live in rural Virginia is enthusiasm. Gillespie has zero signs on lawns. Warner has some, not a lot of enthusiasm for him either, but more than zero. Unless something major happens, Gillespie loses by 20.
Every liberal group in the US has been in our neighborhood trying to get out the vote for Hagan. And the television stations are full of attack ads against Tillis.
Meanwhile, the Loser party is in full “do no harm” tip toe to the election mode.
Tom Tillis is running the most generic, bland meaningless ad campaign I have ever seen,straight from the Rovian playbook. Hagan is eating him alive on the airwaves.
Gillespie never identifies himself as a Republican.
THAT right there is part of the problem. Be a PROUD one at that. Stand up and have a pair of brass ones. Geesh. Squishy won’t get ANY votes..... sickening.
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