Posted on 07/03/2014 4:02:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Arthur becomes the first hurricane of the 2014 Atlantic season. Independence Day travelers and revelers up and down the U.S. Atlantic coast are eying the path of the storm. Forecast models are in good agreement that Hurricane Arthur will dampen July 4th festivities along the N.C. Outer Banks. Mandatory evacuation of the Outer Banks has begun. Warm waters from the Gulf Stream are adding fuel to the storm development.
Sea Surface Temps
Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 2m
Eye getting better organized, will dance into Onslow by next 3-6 hours
About 35 miles S of Cape Fear NC
Max sustained winds 90mph, 979mb
Moving NNE at 13mph
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Nantucket Island
and for Cape Cod from Provincetown to Chatham.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
#2 daughter is working at a Boy Scout camp near Washington, NC. It looks like they’ll get some heavy weather out of this - just what she thinks is fun - but nobody’s called us to say we need to evacuate her back to Charlotte.
When are we gonna have a Hurricane Newt?
I can’t wait for the weather forecasters to talk about the ‘Eye of Newt’................
Got the all clear about 11:00 this morning so I decided to go shopping about 1:30. Stopped to smoke a cigarette before I left as I don’t smoke in the car. Heard a loud crash. At the end of my driveway was a 22 foot dead branch. Not saying I would have been killed but the heavy end was where my car would have been had I left when I was going to. Was a high branch and would at least caused major damage to my car.
A catastrophic male, non-Hispanic “N” hurricane name would have to be retired. The odds are pretty low we would see all of those stars collide in our lifetime, even with global warming, climate change and collapse of the world economy.
I’m guessing you didn’t go shopping as planned today. ;o)
Drug the branch out of the way and went shopping. Just finished cutting it up.
Keep'em somewhere else for another year.
Hah! It missed us!
9PM Update - Now a Cat 2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12B
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
900 PM EDT THU JUL 03 2014
...ARTHUR BECOMES A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SURF CITY TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF LITTLE
RIVER INLET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* PAMLICO SOUND
* EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO CHATHAM
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO POINT ACONI
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NOVA
SCOTIA...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES ARTHUR A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE
IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...ARTHUR IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING FRIDAY NIGHT AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SATURDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM. NOAA BUOY 41036 RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 65 MPH...105 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 81 MPH...130 KM/H.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. A
BUOY OPERATED BY THE COASTAL OCEAN RESEARCH AND MONITORING PROGRAM
JUST REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 978.3 MB...28.89 INCHES...FROM INSIDE
THE EYE.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE
GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
NORTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...3 TO 5 FT
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...1
TO 3 FT
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 3 FT
COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD.
THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE
SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
THE NEW EXPERIMENTAL POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FLOODING MAP FOR MORE
DETAILS.
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL AREAS OF
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS
OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE
COAST OF GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO NORTH CAROLINA. THESE SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Bouy 41036
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
Clearly smoking doesn’t always kill you...
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