IMPORTANT GOP House Primary Races: And How You Can Help (Mountain West)

[campaignPete R-CT]

THIS IS FOR THE MOUNTAIN WEST (Rest of the country is in separate threads and Pacific Coast coming later, see links below)

There are numerous important House Primary Races! And places where we can WIN! PLEASE contribute! And if you can't contribute money ... the least we can do is go to their pages and give them a "like" or a tweet. All of these candidates are involved in primaries that are close (or could be close) against generally more moderate or liberal Republicans. All of these districts are winnable in November.

Nevada:
NIGER INNIS, NEVADA-4, June 10th .... winner faces DEM Horsford

NIGER INNIS -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE

"We cannot have a meaningful discussion about the legalization of millions of immigrants here illegally until we secure the border and that includes tightening oversight on those visiting on visas."

IDAHO:
BRYAN SMITH, IOWA-3, MAY 20th ... opposing incumbent GOP Mike Simpson

Bryan Smith -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE

Endorsed by: Club for Growth PAC, FreedomWorks PAC, Citizens United, National Association for Gun Rights, Senate Conservatives Fund

Smith says: "Mike Simpson was one of three Republicans who voted in favor of ACORN funding. Simpson has repeatedly voted to raise taxes including voting with liberal Democrats in 2010 against cutting one hundred billion dollars from the federal budget."

Texas:
Francisco "Quico" Canseco, TEX-23, he is in the May 27 run-off

QUICO CANSECO -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE

Has endorsement of Texas Right to Life. Former congressman has best shot to win the seat back.

"I look forward to being on the campaign trail the next 12 weeks as I seek to secure the Republican nomination. Texans deserve the best nominee to stand up against government waste and Gallego's Obamacare and I believe I am the best candidate for that."

Montana:
MATT ROSENDALE, MONTANA-at large, June 3rd .... either Rosendale or Stapleton needs to defeat Republican Zinke.

MATT ROSENDALE -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE

"Montana represents the best of what we as a family believe in: God, liberty and a fundamental right to living our lives without the pressing hand of an intrusive government."

Conservatives are alarmed that moderate Zinke could win the primary. Read article here.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Ose is an establishment RINO hack of the worst sort, and was willingly used by ex-Gov. Ah-nold S. to try to prevent Tom McClintock from winning his current House seat. Birman is indeed the one to back in this adjacent district.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://www.frcaction.org/frcapacinternal/frc-action-pac-endorses-igor-birman-for-congress

Family Research Council endorses Birman
“Igor Birman’s positions on the issues of the family and religious liberty are to be commended. His invaluable experience living under an oppressive regime makes him uniquely qualified to defend our cherished rights and values. As someone who knows first-hand the dangers of a government unaware of its limitations, we believe Mr. Birman will defend the Constitution in a manner consistent with his experience.

“We are confident that Mr. Birman will continue to be a strong advocate for limited government, for individual and religious liberties and for family values.”

FreedomWorks spending money on Birman

http://blogs.sacbee.com/capitolalertlatest/2014/05/in-four-way-primary-republican-igor-birman-gets-some-outside-help.html

Birman endorsements
http://igorbirman.com/endorsements
Sen Mike Lee
Rand Paul
GOA
etc.

[campaignPete R-CT]

Here is pro=lifer EMKEN, big opponent of Obamacare, lobbying in favor of Obamacare with Obambi

[campaignPete R-CT]

CA 31 ... HOW bad is Lesli Gooch and can Chabot win in NOV? prob face Baca

[campaignPete R-CT]

https://www.facebook.com/PaulChabotCalifornia
Paul Chabot

[campaignPete R-CT]

conservatives are dumb. They should get a moderate-conservative Hispanic DEM and run him against Chu in CA27 primary. when it gets to NOV ... and 2 DEMS on the ballot, the Latino could win.

The theory is good, but there are no donors. East LA has gone Chinese.

[campaignPete R-CT]

Simon and DeMaio are bothed loaded with cash ...

Simon supports gay marriage ... not sure what he says about it

http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2014/Apr/25/congressional-candidates-election-challengers/2/?#article-copy

[campaignPete R-CT]

I have a typo for Bryan Smith ... he is Idaho-2, not Iowa

[Impy]

Birman is a very interesting candidate.

I’d back him unless it was clear Emken had a better chance to stop Ose.

Fred Simon being pro-gay marriage and pro-choice is a disappointment.

Jorgensen needs more money to compete with him and De Maio (and Peters of course). Though rather than the conservative vote being split I guess the moderate vote will be split.

[campaignPete R-CT]

I am going to post both Jorgensen and Simon on my post unless the Simon supporters want to throw in the towel.

Nat Org for Marriage, Brian Brown is backing Jorgensen of course.
http://www.nomblog.com/39079/

the problem is that Jorgensen is a first-time candidate. Objective, the best scenario might be DEM Peters getting re-elected and Jorgensen wins in ‘16 ...

[campaignPete R-CT]

CA=7 Birman over Ose
CA31 Chabot. this race needs more research on Booch
CA-52 Jorgensen over DeMaio

I don’t wanna post Simon on JimRob’s site ... if he is a gaymarriage prochoice GOPer. Unless somebody has convincing arguments.

Those are the only 3 real interesting races on the Pacific coast ... primaries that is.

[AuH2ORepublican]

It will be a lot more difficult for Jorgensen to beat Peters in a one-on-one general election in 2016 (a presidential election, and with Peters having been in office for four years instead of being a freshman) than in 2014. Now’s the time to beat Peters.

If Simon is pro-abortion and pro-same-sex-marriage, how the heck is he an improvement over Sicko DeMaio (I just thought of that nickname!)? Just because Simon is straight doesn’t mean we want him as a Republican co gressman. Jorgensen is the clear choice.

[fieldmarshaldj]

CA-31 is regarded as a likely loss for the GOP. Dems Aguilar and Reyes have over $900k and $800k in the bank. Gooch is a distant 3rd with $200k and Chabot has just $100k. Oddly, ex-Congressman Baca has just $145k, which makes you wonder if he’s going to seriously contest it. If money turns into votes, which it usually does, we may not have a candidate in the runoff.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://calcoastnews.com/2013/12/former-lois-capps-supporter-mounting-2014-challenge/

Dale Francisco is interesting ... he might have a lock on the primary .... researching

Mitchum ... prochoice pro-marriage
http://votesmart.org/candidate/political-courage-test/16679/chris-mitchum/#.U2-oLjoU9jp

I need to call Justin fareed campaign

[AuH2ORepublican]

Even if we got a candidate into the general, whichever first-tier Hispanic Dem makes it would be the prohibitive favorite. Pretty much our only chance is to get two Republicans into the top-two general (with the three or four prominent Dems splitting the Dem vote fairly evenly); that is exactly what happened in 2012, which is how Gary Miller managed to be reelected despite the new Dem district lines.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_Miller_(journalist)

I am supporting Matt Miller in CA-33, Waxman’s seat.
There are 5 well-financed Leftists in the primary and one well-financed GOPer and then Miller is the 7th candidate.

It looks like it will be a DEM vs GOP in NOV, which we cannot win. If Miller got into the top-two, he could beat the usual lefty in NOV.

http://mattmillerforcongress.com/about/

I don’t see Freepers having any interest in this one. But I’m keeping an eye on it. Maybe the GOP Carr will get first in the primary, so maybe Miller has to beat all the DEMS. CA33 is D+11. He was my classmate, he was A.B. Econ, which is the non-quantitative degree. I vaguely remember him at the moment.

other people must be more familiar with him, Fortune mag, CNN etc.

[Impy]

<<<<<I am supporting Matt Miller in CA-33, Waxman’s seat.There are 5 well-financed Leftists in the primary and one well-financed GOPer and then Miller is the 7th candidate.”<<<<

Never heard of him, “radical centrists” seem like preachy progressives to me. Whatever.

2 polls for CA-6

An Ose internal poll from April 28th shows

Bera 43%, Ose 24%, Birman 8%, Emken 6%

An DCCC poll from May 6th shows

Bera 47%, Ose 22%, Birman 17%, Emken 7%

Gooch looks like the only play in CA-31, we need a Republican to make the runoff.

As for CA-52, Jorgensen is the only play. Simon is just a straight De Maio, in fact I’d probably prefer De Maio to him because he’d have a better chance of beating Peters.

[campaignPete R-CT]

Gold, that Montana race is fascinating ... rural politics is something special. Stapleton or Rosendale ... who can beat Zinke ?

Rosendale moved to eastern Montana from Maryland in 2002 and got elected to the state senate. That could be his biggest hurdle ...

[Impy]

In WA-1 Pedro Celis is the only viable Republican, he shouldn’t need help making the runoff (WA has the same stupid system as cali) since the other 2 Rs are broke.

In WA-4 the lone D is broke, R v. R general is therefore possible, which would result in the more liberal R winning.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/five-republicans-face-off-in-primary-for-daines-u-s/article_76585042-c81e-11e3-9c3f-0019bb2963f4.html

backup evidence that it will be a 2-man race In MT and Rosendale has a fighting chance.

Zinke has the resources and a compelling background,” Parker said. “The man was a Navy SEAL. In the hierarchy of military experience, that’s darned near the top.”

Rosendale, a real estate developer, has Libertarians and Republican” Young Guns.” a group of younger party members, helping form a solid organization behind him, Parker said.

“At the end of the day, you can do it with a grass-roots organization like Rosendale, or you can do it with money, like Zinke,” the MSU professor said.