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2013--- The amazing, surprising, Africa-driven demographic future of the Earth, in 9 charts
.washingtonpost. ^ | July 16, 2013 | Max Fisher

Posted on 04/19/2014 9:55:28 AM PDT by dennisw

Traffic moves through downtown Lagos, Nigeria.

The United Nations Population Division, which tracks demographic data from around the world, has dramatically revised its projections for what will happen in the next 90 years. The new statistics, based on in-depth survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, tell the story of a world poised to change drastically over the next several decades. Most rich countries will shrink and age (with a couple of important exceptions), poorer countries will expand rapidly and, maybe most significant of all, Africa will see a population explosion nearly unprecedented in human history.

If these numbers turn out to be right – they're just projections and could change significantly under unforeseen circumstances – the world of 2100 will look very different than the world of today, with implications for everyone. It will be a place where today's dominant, developed economies are increasingly focused on supporting the elderly, where the least developed countries are transformed by population booms and where Africa, for better or worse, is more important than ever.

Here is the story of the next 90 years as predicted by UN demographic data and explained in nine charts. The charts are interactive; move your cursor over them to track and compare the data.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: africa; demographics
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To: dennisw

Africa has been The Next Big Thing since 1960.


21 posted on 04/19/2014 10:43:38 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: dennisw

And we can’t overlook the AIDS epidemic going on there. . .and with illegal aliens flooding in from places like Africa, carrying with them all sorts of nasty diseases and such, and with third-world mind-set when it comes to keeping he body clean, we in the states will suffer an explosion of ‘eradicated’ third-world aliments.

Oh joy. . .


22 posted on 04/19/2014 10:44:29 AM PDT by Hulka
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To: dennisw
If you could go back in time to a bookstore of the 1970s (i.e. Paperback Booksmith), the shelves would be full of books proclaiming the coming overpopulation "bomb", world famine, global cooling (ice age coming!), that we were running out of something vital to our existence, whether it be oil, oxygen, water, or fish, and so on.

According to all those alarmist paperback books by "renowned" scientists, experts and other over-educated twerps who were allergic to real work, we were all supposed to be dead by 1990, give or take.

Then along came skeptics/satirists like P.J. O'Rourke and Tom Wolfe, to make fun of them all and make their alarmist pronouncements seem silly. But that didn't stop them from getting Nobel prizes and Pulitzers for their dopey theories.

23 posted on 04/19/2014 10:45:37 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: nooooo
That maybe true, but ? how about the infrastructure ?

2 big things though, Food and Water.

How much farm land do they actually have ?


24 posted on 04/19/2014 10:47:05 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: bert

Dos India have the exportable middle class for that? I can understand the logic since it would be a cheap move comparatively versus Europe or Americas but without a glut of mobile professionals and a hospitable environment, it seems like Africa would chew them up.


25 posted on 04/19/2014 10:48:43 AM PDT by Bogey78O (We had a good run. Coulda been great still.)
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To: bert

Got to protect the wildlife there in Africa.... got to take huge swaths of land and turn it into animal refuge, like the Federal government is doing here in the USA.


26 posted on 04/19/2014 10:49:21 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: SamAdams76

In my view, there is a difference in Africa. Africa has not the means to prevent nor stop some terrible plague that could kill millions in the large cities once begun.


27 posted on 04/19/2014 10:49:35 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: SamAdams76

The big difference between then and now is that they control the gov’t and they’ll be damned if it’s going to be avoided.

We gave thew keys to the church to Jim Jones and we’re surprised the Kool-Aid at the mixer tastes funny.


28 posted on 04/19/2014 10:50:21 AM PDT by Bogey78O (We had a good run. Coulda been great still.)
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To: dennisw

Wishful thinking from the We H8 Whitey crowd at WaPo.

Absent massive material aid from the exterior of Africa, they will end up living in thatched huts on meager food supplies as their population outruns the capability of their ‘societies’ to feed them.

They will resort to collectivist solutions run by Big Chief Strongmen like South America, ending in food shortages, panics, massacres and chaos.

Throw in intertribal hostility and you get 1000 Rwandas.

The population will thus self control through the usual evolutionary mechanisms.


29 posted on 04/19/2014 10:56:32 AM PDT by Regulator
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To: Bogey78O

You raise a good question.

I base my thoughts on Indian populations here and Saudi Arabia. We have an explosion of multigenerational Indian families that pretty much have taken over the running of hotels/motels. There are professionals and doctors forming the basis of Indian communities in some rather small American cities. The same is true of doctors and engineers and accountants and such in the Gulf region.

In my thought some will migrate from where they are to Africa where they will be in control rather than in the background. They will expand in to large colonies in East Africa drawing others from their home in India.

They will grow and get control over time.


30 posted on 04/19/2014 10:57:17 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: dennisw


......strongly suggest that U.S. leadership within the developed world will only strengthen...



Now it all makes sense.
As usual the US is far ahead of the game.
Even there president is ::
strong African, Indian, Asian, (looking).
little Europian,
just like the next 90 years.
I have to start believing in Conspiracies.

31 posted on 04/19/2014 11:03:49 AM PDT by Koracan
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To: bert
It has long been my thought that there will be migration into Africa by the growing populations in Asia,specifically India.

Africa has wide open spaces and what seems to be a passive, less educable population that can be dominated by the middle class Indians.

They've come and gone and won't be going back any more than the English and French governments will.

Look up what happened in Uganda under Amin.

China, though, probably will play a major role in African development.

32 posted on 04/19/2014 11:05:49 AM PDT by x
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To: bert

There are indeed a lot of descendants of South Asians in Africa. Not only that, there is some movement towards Africans converting to Hinduism, even though Hinduism does not proselytize and there is no traditional way to ‘convert’ to it.


33 posted on 04/19/2014 11:15:34 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: Regulator

The easily farmable land is already in use. They can grow more using irrigaion and fertilizer, but the resulting food will cost more than Africans can pay.

Perhaps the Chinese will come in and play “cowboys and Africans”?


34 posted on 04/19/2014 11:18:34 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Socialists want YOUR wealth redistributed, never THEIRS!)
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To: SauronOfMordor

Probably.

They will be ruthless in ways the Indians and Europeans will not, and no one will criticize.

The Africans will end up as slaves in everything but name only.

But it’s either that or regular overpopulation / starvation cycles for them.


35 posted on 04/19/2014 11:29:41 AM PDT by Regulator
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To: Regulator

More likely the Africans will be exterminated.


36 posted on 04/19/2014 11:34:03 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Socialists want YOUR wealth redistributed, never THEIRS!)
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To: expat2

The article is a pro immigration piece-——suggests that immigration will save the USA.

.


37 posted on 04/19/2014 11:34:36 AM PDT by Mears
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To: SauronOfMordor

Now now...not supposed to breathe the truth....


38 posted on 04/19/2014 11:41:14 AM PDT by Regulator
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To: nooooo
They’ve got the natural resources at least.

They've also got rampant corruption, a socialist attitude that scares off business, widespread laziness, and a tendency to kill one another in large numbers.

Don't see that changing, even in 90 years.


39 posted on 04/19/2014 12:15:57 PM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: dennisw

Right now, with a couple of exceptions, Africa’s population density is relatively low; it’s a very big continent more sparsely populated than, say, Europe or East Asia. That’s changing very quickly. The continent’s overall population is expected to more than quadruple over just 90 years, an astonishingly rapid growth that will make Africa more important than ever.

And it’s not just that there will four times the workforce, four times the resource burden, four times as many voters. The rapid growth itself will likely transform political and social dynamics within African countries and thus their relationship with the rest of the world.


Not to mention eradicating all non-human life on the continent. Even now with it’s “low” population density and being “sparsely populated”, wildlife is being erased at a staggering level to make room for people.


40 posted on 04/19/2014 12:41:57 PM PDT by chessplayer
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