Posted on 12/15/2013 4:01:58 AM PST by Olog-hai
As cities grow and technology evolves, the increasing level of complexity enhances vulnerability to earthquakes. Its not a question of if the San Andreas fault ruptures in Southern California, but when. [ ]
Seismologists at the US Geological Survey have simulated the effects of the next big Californian earthquake in a program of study called ShakeOut. One of their computer models assumes that the next big event on the San Andreas fault will be magnitude 7.8, with a single event in which a rupture starts in Southern California near the Salton Sea and then shoots north along the fault to hit Los Angeles. [ ]
The end result would be that around half the buildings in the area would have to be abandoned. But the models most disturbing results show that beyond the building damage there would be significant disruption of interdependent infrastructure. Transportation, gas and electricity supplies, sewerage systems, water supplies and communications would all be affected. Whether a modern civic society could operate under such conditions is questionable.
(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.co.uk ...
My contention is that geologists are coming to wild conclusions. A supereruption actually occurring, of course, can’t be denied, but any event causing mass extinctions in the near future is most likely to be WW3.
By “actually occuring”, I meant to say witnessing one happening with one’s own eyes. (TV coverage would suffice too.)
Or an asteroid strike, or a comet strike, or a rouge black hole, or a gamma ray burst,or a supernova, or a Higgs field reversal...Lots of possible candidates, all low probability, but high lethality. Mother Nature can be a B#tch...
You mean like the one that breaks it off and it slides into the Pacific? That mega?
Well, there is an immense amount of lava, ash and other volcanic debris to be found scattered over a huge area.
Not to mention great numbers of animals preserved in ash. Here’s a site where thousands of animals are preserved in ash from an eruption over a 1000 miles away. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashfall_Fossil_Beds
To my mind that constitutes quite adequate verification that something happened.
Physical evidence of what happened in the past, and extrapolation as to the results if something similar happened today. This is quite different from designing a computer model to predict the future and then insisting it be accepted as fact.
By your standard, nothing that happened prior to the rise of modern science could be accepted as fact.
A “megaquake” would do much more damage in $$$ than in a less developed country. That’s how these folks measure it unless they directly make reference to carnage.
If LA and half of California slid off into the ocean, the majority base of liberals would be gone. I’m all for it.
A more conservative government in Washington? Either that or a permanent State of Emergency.
Science is supposed to be observation-based, and what I’m saying is that none of these geologists are eyewitnesses to supervolcanic eruptions, as they call them. There’s certainly evidence of past volcanism, but the cause certainly could be pyroclastic activity of the kind that has been witnessed even in modern times.
BTW, use Wikipedia sparingly; it’s not an authoritative source and relies on external sources for its verification. The article on the Antelope County fossil beds is severely lacking in sources and footnotes and has some unencyclopedic writing.
The kenyan doesn’t need the illegals for their votes any more. His people have control of the vote count from all the touch screen voting machines. The other electronic machines are all individually vulnerable to creative programming and hacking. It is all so much less obvious than hordes of non-English speaking voters from identical addresses.
If you have more stuff, there’s more stuff to break. That’s a shock.
I assume to reduce our “vulnerability” we should return to being hunter-gatherers.
Like hurricane Katrina, a major earthquake in LA would give us a view of the future of the world's largest cities. Many on FR believe an economic disaster is looming which could unleash the same social conditions as a hurricane or earthquake. Heck, a friend who endured hurricane Sandy in NYC felt the social order there was near collapse after the storm.
Or perhaps just a localized nuclear exchange between Pakistan and India.
Maybe you’d prefer this.
http://ashfall.unl.edu/ashfallstory.html
Chemical analysis indicates the source of the ash that killed the animals there. Forensics, just like on CSI.
I am aware of Wiki’s limitations. My experience has been that it’s quite good for most subjects that aren’t of politically or socially controversial, for which it is of little use.
Unless you’d care to point out inaccuracies in the article??
What he, the original guy that said it did not happen, is not saying is that the earth is only six thousand years old.
You or he are welcome to believe that if you wish.
I prefer to go with the actual evidence, thank you.
I hope not
Also the one where the evidence of prior catastrophic eruptions is all over the place. They blew a path through a mountain range in Idaho.
http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/yellowstone/yellowstone_geo_hist_52.html
I am with you...I was being sarcastic. Forgot the tag. It’s early here.
That is, the hotspot beneath Yellowstone moved through Idaho. Actually, the spot is more or less stationary. It’s the North American continental plate that’s doing the moving.
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