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Could Los Angeles withstand a “megaquake’?
BBC News ^ | 10 December 2013 | Last updated at 19:03 ET | Simon Redfern

Posted on 12/15/2013 4:01:58 AM PST by Olog-hai

As cities grow and technology evolves, the increasing level of complexity enhances vulnerability to earthquakes. It’s not a question of if the San Andreas fault ruptures in Southern California, but when. […]

Seismologists at the US Geological Survey have simulated the effects of the next big Californian earthquake in a program of study called ShakeOut. One of their computer models assumes that the next big event on the San Andreas fault will be magnitude 7.8, with a single event in which a rupture starts in Southern California near the Salton Sea and then shoots north along the fault to hit Los Angeles. […]

The end result would be that around half the buildings in the area would have to be abandoned. But the model’s most disturbing results show that beyond the building damage there would be significant disruption of interdependent infrastructure. Transportation, gas and electricity supplies, sewerage systems, water supplies and communications would all be affected. Whether a modern civic society could operate under such conditions is questionable. …

(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: earthquake; lofan; losangeles; megaquake; quake; sanandreasfault; temblor
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1 posted on 12/15/2013 4:01:59 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai
But the model’s most disturbing results show that beyond the building damage there would be significant disruption of interdependent infrastructure. Transportation, gas and electricity supplies, sewerage systems, water supplies and communications would all be affected.

Hey, easy. Just like after Katrina all those homeys, new Americans (illegals) and celebrities would have to be moved out of the LA area and sent to infest other parts of the country.

2 posted on 12/15/2013 4:06:05 AM PST by raybbr (I weep over my sons' future in this Godforsaken country.)
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To: Olog-hai

I was actually in Palo Alto at SRI when the 89 quake hit.

It knocked out power, gas, water, etc. for quite a while afterwards. The destruction of that double-stacked highway was horrendous. That quake was a 7.9.

If the same thing hit LA, I’d say that devastation will be especially bad. My first guess is the expressway flyovers would be taken out nearly everywhere.


3 posted on 12/15/2013 4:07:32 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: Gaffer

Nothing compared to the supervolcano under Yellowstone.


4 posted on 12/15/2013 4:09:01 AM PST by Ueriah
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To: Olog-hai
As cities grow and technology evolves, the increasing level of complexity enhances vulnerability to earthquakes.

Bull puckey.

Poor countries and their crappy buildings are far more vulnerable.

Admittedly it's difficult visually to tell the difference between Haiti pre and post earthquake, but the people are just as dead.

5 posted on 12/15/2013 4:11:11 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: Ueriah
"Nothing compared to the supervolcano under Yellowstone."

OR...a third term for OBozo!!

6 posted on 12/15/2013 4:12:18 AM PST by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: Sherman Logan

Maybe BBC HQ needs a 7.6 temblor.


7 posted on 12/15/2013 4:13:12 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Ueriah

Yeah, the one that nobody ever saw erupting.


8 posted on 12/15/2013 4:13:52 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

I have noticed recently that interruption of electricity is reported increasingly breathlessly.

40 years ago it was expected that we’d lose power for hours or days several times a winter. No particularly huge giant deal.

But I guess we’ve gotten increasingly dependent, and view such interruption as enormous suffering.


9 posted on 12/15/2013 4:14:06 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: Olog-hai

The 1666 fire of London ended the Black Death. The 2001 attack on the World Trade Center alerted us to the Islamic Jihad. What would be the effect of taking much of uber-liberal California out of the 2014 election cycle?


10 posted on 12/15/2013 4:14:16 AM PST by Gen.Blather
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To: Ueriah

Probably true, but I don’t plan to be anywhere near either place.


11 posted on 12/15/2013 4:16:09 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: raybbr

Anything less than a 9.0 is a baby quake.


12 posted on 12/15/2013 4:16:41 AM PST by lefty-lie-spy (Stay metal. For the Horde \m/("_")\m/ - via iPhone from Tokyo.)
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To: Olog-hai; Allegra; big'ol_freeper; Lil'freeper; shove_it; TrueKnightGalahad; Cincinatus' Wife; ...
Re: Could Los Angeles withstand a “megaquake’?

Of course, that's Obama Country with both legal and illegal worshipers galore, so he would starve... everyone else in the Red States to keep his Blue Buds' ability to cast either an alive, dead or illegal vote for him in his coming third, forth or fifth term--

13 posted on 12/15/2013 4:16:42 AM PST by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: Olog-hai

Divine-ordered “urban renewal”


14 posted on 12/15/2013 4:18:22 AM PST by faithhopecharity
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To: Olog-hai

Could Los Angeles withstand a “megaquake’?

No.


15 posted on 12/15/2013 4:21:10 AM PST by Conspiracy Guy (Did the ancients know they were ancients? Or did they see themselves as presents?)
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To: Olog-hai

LA is a desert that depends on water from N Cal by aqueduct. If that goes its uninhabitable. The year I lived in LA I made sure I had 10 gallons of water stored in my apartment. I had friends come over and they would see the stack and ask me what’s up, I’d tell them the above and they would look at me dumbfounded because they had never thought of that. Can’t imagine what the hordes of Obama voters would be like in that city after a real big quake.


16 posted on 12/15/2013 4:21:57 AM PST by Kozak ("Send them back your fierce defiance! Stamp upon the cursed alliance! To arms, to arms in Dixie!)
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To: Olog-hai

The Yellowstone supervolcano first erupted 2.1M years ago, followed by one 1.6M years past, with the last occurring 640,000 years ago.

It doesn’t take a mathematical genius to calculate that another is likely sometime in the next few hunded thousand years. When it goes, it will wipe out much of the US.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellowstone_Caldera

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellowstone_Hotspot


17 posted on 12/15/2013 4:22:37 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: Ueriah

Supervolcanes erupt every couple of hundred thousand years. LA can expect a big quake at least every 100 years.


18 posted on 12/15/2013 4:23:36 AM PST by Kozak ("Send them back your fierce defiance! Stamp upon the cursed alliance! To arms, to arms in Dixie!)
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To: Olog-hai

So is your contention it never happened, or it can’t happen?


19 posted on 12/15/2013 4:25:19 AM PST by Kozak ("Send them back your fierce defiance! Stamp upon the cursed alliance! To arms, to arms in Dixie!)
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To: Sherman Logan

Nobody’s ever seen an alleged supervolcano. As far as scientists go, they aren’t able to verify their witchcraft, as they say in the industry, so I take wild theories with a grain of salt.


20 posted on 12/15/2013 4:26:41 AM PST by Olog-hai
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