Posted on 11/04/2012 7:09:03 PM PST by tcrlaf
PPP's final polls in Ohio and Virginia find Barack Obama ahead in both states, 52/47 in Ohio and 51/47 in Virginia. PPP has conducted four polls in each of these states over the last three weeks and has found an average lead of 3.75 points for Obama in Ohio and an average advantage of 3.5 points for him in Virginia.
In Ohio Obama's already built up a large lead during the early voting period. He's up 60/39 with those who already cast their ballots. Romney's ahead 51/48 with people who plan to vote on election day but he's going to need a much wider margin than that to take the state.
Obama's winning thanks to leads of 54/44 with women, 86/11 with African Americans, and 61/33 with voters under 30. And although he trails Romney with independents (49/47) and white voters (51/47), he's holding Romney to margins well below what he would need to win those groups.
It's a similar story in Virginia. Obama's up 56/43 with women and 92/8 with African Americans and he's holding Romney to a 58/40 advantage with whites, which is below what we've generally been finding for him nationally recently. When you combine Obama's relative strength among white voters with Virginia being one of the more racially diverse states in the country it's the formula for a lead.
Democrats are also well positioned to win the US Senate races in each of these states. Tim Kaine leads George Allen 52/46 in Virginia's open seat race and Sherrod Brown's up 54/44 for reelection against Josh Mandel. It's a similar story in both states. Voters like the Democratic candidates- Brown has a 48/43 approval rating and Kaine has a 50/40 favorability rating. They don't much care for the Republican contenders- Mandel's favorability is 36/50, Allen's is 42/48.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
I think he would probably do either if given the chance.
I’ll post some pics.
Laying the groundwork for "The election was stolen by Romney - voters were disenfranchised" meme. That will make Obama's army of lawyers' job easier as they spread across the nation like locusts Wednesday morning.
I’m loathe to say “Ignore the polls” like I did in 2008. But if you look at demeanor of campaigns, in 2008 it was obvious Obama was acting the winner and McCain the loser. It is the other way around this year.
Anyways, at this point no use in even looking at any polls. We’ll know who was right and who was wrong soon and if it’s very close the Democrats and their fraud machine will win it.
I really had a blast. Everyone was well behaved and in great spirits. (Note - disregard times on pics as I havent set it in years)
Note - we had a pool running on how many times the guy to the left was going to adjust his tie.
Please make sure everyone you know in Ohio gets out and votes today and doesn't take a Romney victory for granted! Turnout in my polling place was lighter than I've ever seen :(
PPP not only oversamples Dems to a ridiculous extent, but they oversample woman by around 10-12 points.
You do the math.
Thank you for posting! Great pics! Looks like a great event!!!!
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