Remember when it was Katrina...
Posted on 11/02/2012 2:52:57 PM PDT by drewh
President Obama stands to lose as many as 340,000 votes as a result of Hurricane Sandy, not enough to affect the outcome in heavily Democratic Northeastern states, but something that could make a difference in the popular vote if the results of Tuesday’s presidential race are as close as polls indicate, a First Read analysis finds.
“Sandy has the potential to reduce Obama's national popular vote share by depressing turnout in highly Democratic areas along the Eastern Seaboard,” Dr. Michael McDonald of George Mason University, who studies turnout, told First Read. “The storm is unlikely to change the Electoral College outcome, as Obama is heavily favored to win the affected states. A turnout drop could be the difference in a close national election, and thus could shape the political discourse over important policy issues in a possible Obama second term.”
For example, assuming 2008 vote totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout in the coastal counties most affected by Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Rhode Island, Obama would lose a net of 340,000 votes, including 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 from New Jersey, 29,000 from Connecticut, and 3,600 from Rhode Island.
Officials in states hit by Hurricane Sandy are now deciding how to hold an election next Tuesday in communities where residents have been displaced and there's still no power. NBC's Tom Curry discusses. Officially, four times in American history has a candidate become president while losing the popular vote -- John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and George W. Bush in 2000. (Some political scientists believe it’s actually five, and that John F. Kennedy lost the popular vote in 1960.)
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.nbcnews.com ...
Romney takes New York:
Conservative will crawl over broken glass to vote Obama out.
Liberals will be too busy looting to vote.
Remember when it was Katrina...
If not for hurricane Sandy, Obama would have won.
If not for republican voter suppression ads about the penalties for non-citizen vote fraud, Obama would have won.
If not for increasing racism as voters discovered that Obama was black, Obama would have won.
If not for Obama being so brilliant that mere mortals don’t understand how good his rule is for us, Obama would have won.
It’s a shame those little things didn’t work out for him.
Oh no... this cannot be... I saw two asses named krauthammer and kristol saying that Sandy has reelected obama and that Mitt should have been attacking on Benghazi all along and how obama is so lucky to have had Sandy and it would add 5% to his vote totals. I cannot wait to smash that obama turd right into both of their grinning faces on Tuesday night.
LLS
I always thought NY was acheivable. Between the AF1 low altitude buzz over NYC, ground zero mosque, 9/11 terrorist trials, and with Bloombergs antics, I always thought they had alienated enough New Yorkers to stay home or vote for someone other than obama. Combine that with upstate which is mostly Conservative.
The states mentioned go blue regardless of what loser is running. I’m sure the commie insiders have wished this could have happened in a battleground state.
...the vast majority of which would be fraudulent. It's hard to go from one voting place to another when the subways are down and several roads are impassible.
Obama hates C-130's. Wouldn't fly 'em over Benghazi either.
That is right: the libs are going to stay away in droves. I wager that this 340,000 initial estimate is going to be recomputed as being well over a million about 2-3 weeks from now, when ththe postmortem is complete.
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