Posted on 11/02/2012 2:52:57 PM PDT by drewh
President Obama stands to lose as many as 340,000 votes as a result of Hurricane Sandy, not enough to affect the outcome in heavily Democratic Northeastern states, but something that could make a difference in the popular vote if the results of Tuesdays presidential race are as close as polls indicate, a First Read analysis finds.
Sandy has the potential to reduce Obama's national popular vote share by depressing turnout in highly Democratic areas along the Eastern Seaboard, Dr. Michael McDonald of George Mason University, who studies turnout, told First Read. The storm is unlikely to change the Electoral College outcome, as Obama is heavily favored to win the affected states. A turnout drop could be the difference in a close national election, and thus could shape the political discourse over important policy issues in a possible Obama second term.
For example, assuming 2008 vote totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout in the coastal counties most affected by Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Rhode Island, Obama would lose a net of 340,000 votes, including 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 from New Jersey, 29,000 from Connecticut, and 3,600 from Rhode Island.
Officials in states hit by Hurricane Sandy are now deciding how to hold an election next Tuesday in communities where residents have been displaced and there's still no power. NBC's Tom Curry discusses. Officially, four times in American history has a candidate become president while losing the popular vote -- John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and George W. Bush in 2000. (Some political scientists believe its actually five, and that John F. Kennedy lost the popular vote in 1960.)
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.nbcnews.com ...
Look, if Obamagabe had come to NYC in his spiffy Air Force 1 with loads of food and blankets and tents and stuff he’da been a he-ro. But no, he just comes in and does huggies with Christie and leaves. That’s presidential.
the Lord’s will
That Carl Rove; still up to his devious tricks!!
Actually the number will probably higher. Lazy liberals only need a minimal excuse not to get off their butts to do something. Conservatives are willing to crawl over glass to get to the polls this year.
Who else saw this coming?
They are starting to give up on Obama winning and are now casting around for a way to explain his loss. The narrative will be that he would have won if he hadn’t been distracted by Sandy, or if the voters hadn’t been so worn out, or if the polling places hadn’t been moved...
Anyhow, it’s NOT OBAMA’S FAULT.
But we can’t relax our guard. They have other tricks to try, they will use them all.
Someone said on Rush if Democrats can’t get to the polls, some Blue States on the East Coast could flip for Romney! If Sandy punished any one, it was Democrats, Obamatrons, women and minorities - the whole Democratic voting universe!
Just kidding! Now you know why they’re upset though.
And I suppose non of them had voted early. Early voting is the Democrats friend
O is never at fault! The chosen one always needs an excuse
All I can say is that a lot of Libs live on the coast. Maybe New Jersey goes republican?
well, they should have listened to the first wookie. She
told to them go earlyvote because their toilet might overflow.
now i read people have to poop in the hallways. guess she
knew what was up.
Conservative voting outfits (please accept as a statement of dedication to voting not making fun of our friends to the east)
in mysterious ways, indeed
This was a super opportunity for bHussein to really look really good. And he blew it royally. Didn’t give a damn for all the struggling people, had to rush away to more high-priced fundraisers to rake in more $$$$ for hisself to spend on himself (since its way too late to use any more $$ for this election, anyway). A real selfish ahole. Let the people eat cake (as long as they can find any dumster-diving). You’d think anyone as supposedly-bright as Bhussein or at least his handlers would have seized this opportunity to gain some serious votes helping people but no, its all about going away as fast as possible to make more $$ for himself
300,000 Obama supporters not getting to vote?
well, THAT’S TOO FREAKING BAD
If he had come in with a bunch of C-130’s with supplies he’d have the election locked big time. This showed the people of NYC how utterly shallow and out of touch a leader he is.
Hurricane Sandy Could Cost Obama 300,000 Votes In States He Was Expected To Win Anyway. Fixed it.
By Tuesday, Obama’s name will be Mudd in the NE!
That’s to cover their sorry a$$e$ in case their Messiah is not reelected.
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