Posted on 10/31/2012 3:12:35 PM PDT by Arthurio
With less than a week before the election, the race for the White House is dead even: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney receive 46 percent each, according to a Fox News poll of likely voters.
Romney had a razor-thin 46-45 percent edge earlier this month, after the first presidential debate (October 7-9).
Interviews in areas affected by Hurricane Sandy were completed before Monday evening, when the hurricane made landfall.
Independents give the edge to Romney by seven percentage points (46-39 percent). That’s down from a 12-point advantage in early October.
There’s a gender gap in vote preference, as men back Romney by 51-42 percent, while women side with Obama by 50-42 percent.
The new Fox poll finds Obama under-performing compared to his 2008 exit poll numbers by 13 percentage points among independents, 9 points among white men, 6 points among women and 4 points among voters under age 30.
Among the subgroup of most interested voters, those who are “extremely” interested in the election, Romney leads Obama by 53-42 percent.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/31/fox-news-poll-race-for-white-house-dead-heat/#ixzz2AuxJtsiO
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
I don’t believe women could be that stupid.
If you dig through the results, respondents were 42D/37R/18I.
They oversampled Democrats by 5 points and undersampled Independents, most of whom will break for Romney. No matter how you cut it, the only way Obama stands a chance is by using outdated turnout numbers, and barring a miracle, he isn’t going to get that.
Obama is toast...to milquetoast (Mitt).
“Fox News poll: Race for the White House a dead heat”
No it’s not.
All of these polling outfits just MAGICALLY getting an even split over and over again is pure bullsh!t. This is done almost every election just to keep people tuning in to see what will happen next. More views = more $$$$.
Outside of 2000, these races swing for one or the other convincingly, and either person running KNOWS what the real story is by now.
Ok here is why
42/37/18 this poll breakout
40/39/18 last poll was this so changed result
I concur.
But this kind of headline makes for much better TV viewership between now and then...
Why is everyone so convinced that ALL the polls—aside from a handful at Rasmussen and Gallup—are woefully inaccurate? What if they’re not fibbing and it turns out to be true?
no one is questioning accuracy...
it’s the methods that are being questioned.
Check out post 5
Why is everyone so convinced that ALL the polls—aside from a handful at Rasmussen and Gallup—are woefully inaccurate? What if they’re not fibbing and it turns out to be true?
Because we use our brain , read the hundreds of posts that explain why, look at county by county current votes, have experience from 2010 and see that Romney is leading every poll of people that have already voted. I have spent 150 hours coming to my educated guess what brings you to your conclusion?
I probably should’ve used the word ‘unrepresentative’ (of the country’s electoral trends) instead of ‘inaccurate’.
I just have a difficult time believing that a dozen+ different polling outlets would all collusively employ inaccurate sampling.
If they are right then Obama is re-elected. It’s not difficult. 4 more years of Obama. Congratulations. The final tally, 51/48/1 but for who. I should add, the reason why people are suspicious is because of the sample. If you do a poll of 1000 people and 800 of them are democrats and Obama is winning democrats 90/10 then who do you suppose will do better in the poll? Do the same poll with 800 Republicans and Romney is winning them 90/10 then Romney will do better in the poll. That is what is being done by skewing samples (obviously on a much smaller scale). Get it? Good
Why? They are that stupid nearly every election. If it were up to women the Democratic party and collectivism would absolutely dominate politics in the US. Sorry to say that, but it's true. The truth is that white male voters are the only thing stopping this country from destroying itself - and there aren't enough of us to hold up the fort for too much longer.
To understand how easily women are fooled in the political realm, realize that in 1980 Ronald Reagan only won the women's vote by 1 point. Horrible as Carter was, he was essentially tied with Reagan for the ladies vote. It was men that overwhelming realized how awful Carter was and threw him out of office.
Yeah, but we’re all perceiving this within the context of an FR bubble.
My prior judgment had been that Romney would indeed win in a landslide. I don’t have a conclusion as of now—I’m only engaging in rational skepticism and questioning my previous outlooks.
“I just have a difficult time believing that a dozen+ different polling outlets would all collusively employ inaccurate sampling.”
Look at how almost all the media refuses to cover Benghazi.
Including Fox News?
Only 18% of the Independent voters polled. LoL.
I guess when Obama is losing up to 20% or more of the Indy vote in poll after poll, OBot pollsters just don’t count them.
“Yeah, but we’re all perceiving this within the context of an FR bubble.”
Did you really just say that? How the hell do you know what we read? There are people on this blog that have run national elections. I myself read hundreds of blogs. Don’t project your own ignorance on all of us.
Believe it..the media is evil is completely invested in Barry...Just curious...where have you been for the last 2 months? Every day there is thread upon thread here showing how the media and left wing sponsored polls oversample Dems in a manner not even close to reality...
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