Posted on 10/30/2012 11:28:49 AM PDT by Slings and Arrows
One would think that Gallup, Pew, Rasmussen, every sufficiently wealthy news organization and anyone else interested in conducting a poll would be familiar with the basics of the American electoral system. Why they all insist on continuing to waste precious ink on national polls, then, is completely mystifying.
Gallup's latest poll of registered voters reports that former Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are tied nationally, 48 to 48 percent. Gallup's latest poll of likely voters, based on a complex set of assumptions about voter turnout, has Romney leading Obama by 5 percentage points, 51 to 46.
These figures are based on a national sample, so they theoretically include voters from Ohio, Florida and Virginia. They also include voters from Wyoming, California, Alabama, Delaware and about 40 other states whose voters could not possibly be any less relevant to the outcome on Nov. 6.
At this stage in the election, like any sufficiently close election, the fate of the candidates rests with fewer than a half-dozen states. The continuing snapshots of national polls are useful for pollsters and academics, who are interested in things like expected vote share or the probability of victory in the national popular vote. Most stakeholders care only about the likelihood of victory in the Electoral College, and a national poll is not very useful at this point.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
” (And why is it I can almost hear an effeminate lisp and see the eyerolling as I read this article?) “
You conservatiths make me shick!
When they show Zer0 winning.
“the very thought of Obama losing is just unbearable to the liberals.”
You are NOT exaggerating. One of my ultra-lib Facebook friends said if Romney wins, she does not know if she can keep on living.
I find it hilarious that these guys are trying to tell Romney what he needs to win while Obama is losing PA, WI, IA, MI, and maybe Minn.
Seriously ppl??? We better hope the polls are wrong ( though I am on record saying that Romney will KILL conservatism) because Romney is going to get swept in the EC .. bad.
But, hey ... see ya in a week. I’m still furious the GOP elite stuck us with this moron.
I was wondering where you were. I noticed your drive-by posts stopped when Romney pulled ahead. Hey, do you still think we’ll get slaughtered?
Thank for the input troll.
Do you think Obama is going to win the Blue states with just a few hundred votes?
Romney is going to win this big.
You have no idea what you are talking about.
Oh look. You included Jim Robinson in your response. How special you must be. Is your next response going to demand someone be banned?
We can’t even have fun with this troll because he never responds.
Mind your own business.
Yes it can.It's certainly highly unlikely to happen but it's not impossible.Just consider how different two sates can be....for example:Massachusetts and Wyoming.
Romney is going to win this big.
If only.My gut tells me that things are looking good for Romney right now but it will be razor thin.
As long as the hurricane doesn’t dramatically shake up the dynamics of the race, I think Romney will indeed take Florida (lock), Virginia (near lock), and Ohio (close but a victory by a couple of points).
Wouldn’t surprise me to see him also pull off Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire. If he also brings in Pennsylvania and Minnesota, then the landslide is underway and Obama truly becomes Jimmy Carter 2.0.
The only thing keeping Buckwheat afloat are the mercenary secret service traitors. These America-hating infiltrators are not your daddy’s patriots. These pigs are living off the tradition of the former and dead secret service.
What does it matter how different the States are?
Romney is going to win big both in the popular vote and the EC.
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