too close
a “tie” can be tipped by fraud
WTH is it with the people of Ohio?????
They want 4 more years of THIS?
ping
WTH?
As I said to a woman in our church who has an Obama bumper sticker, "Where do you buy your gas and groceries?"
Yep. I got the blank stare I expected. Totally clueless 47%-er.
Rasmussen Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 45%
Ohio Romney 48% Obama 48%
Swing States: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Where I've highlighted the states where Obama is believed to be either ahead or the race is tied.
So where in the heck it our 5% advantage? Is Romney up by 10% in the non-highlighted states? It doesn't add up.
The Marxist is pouring everything into Ohio.
Money, his time, his ginormous ego, fraud and the dreams of his Communist fathers, (no telling who the heck they are...lol).
I’m praying he loses Ohio and the election in a landslide.
Lord, hear our prayers.
The trend is with Romney. Romney was down 4-5 before first debate. He closed it to 2-3 after 2nd debate. It’s now tied.
A president, less than 2 weeks out, under 50, is in big trouble.
Romney will win Ohio by 3-4.
, it occurred to me that almost all of the other polls in Ohio are based on the 2008 party identification turnout which was Dems +8 (an historic high). HERES the rub Ohio does not have registration of party members. SO, HOW did the pollsters gather this information? Heres how - in primary elections you must ASK for either a Democrat ballot or a Republican ballot. The 2008 party identification statistics are based on these numbers established in the primary.
NOW do you recall what was happening in the primary season in March of 2008? McCain had locked up the GOP nomination and Rush Limbaugh was heavily promoting Operation Chaos encouraging conservatives to cross over and vote for Hillary. I did. So, I am one of the people counted in the Dem +8 poll weighing going on this year.
How many of you actually think I will vote dem on November 6?
What percentage of that +8 number actually represents conservative crossovers participating in Rushs Operation Chaos? Id sure like to know, but Im willing to bet its at least 100,000 people.
Here in Ohio Romney is NOT tied, hes AHEAD. Throw in the undecided breaking at least 2 to 1 for Romney and hes safely ahead (for now).
There are many more Romney/Ryan signs on the east side of Cleveland (in the Democrat stronghold of Cuyahoga County), and more popping up each day. Folks, these are areas that were just littered with Obama signs in 2008.
Over Labor Day, the county fair in Mahoning County (Canfield Fair) - of all places - had many vendors featuring an Anti-Obama, pro-business sign hanging in windows.
If Romney keeps his 3-4-5 point lead in Gallup and Rasmussen, the state poll watching will not matter.
There is no way that Romney will lose the electoral college vote while winning nationally by 3-4 points.
With Obama at 48 and the undecideds breaking for Romney, this looks like a Romney win. Is this why Obama is talking about how to win without Ohio?
Quinnipiac has it O+5 in their new poll this a/m
Wait to see the internals before panicking though
Who knows what they’ll be
Even the Washington Post/ABC News is getting on the bandwagon.
And Nate gayboy Silver is down to a mere 68% likelihood of obama winning.
The whells are falling off the wagon!
Don't forget a couple of things that were harbingers of what's coming: 2010 and the Wisconsin recall.
Dick Morris can be a nut, but I actually agree with him right now. Romney wins by 4-7 points and gets over 300 EVs
Apparently the numbers coming from Ohio don’t make any sense.
Ohio typically gave to the GOP candidate a slightly better than the national average result.
A GOP candidate claerly leading nationally shouldn’t have any problem carrying Ohio.
Either these numbers aren’t accurate or the car-factor is bigger than expected.
Additional information from this survey:
Whom do you trust more to handle the economy .Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle national security issues Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
46% Mitt Romney
50% Barack Obama
4% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle energy policy .Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not sure
If Mitt Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
46% Better
36% Worse
14% Stay about the same
4% Not sure
If President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
37% Better
40% Worse
20% Stay about the same
3% Not sure
Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1% Excellent
17% Good
38% Fair
43% Poor
1% Not sure
Are economic conditions in the country getting better or worse?
41% Better
35% Worse
20% Staying the same
4% Not sure
Sometimes, unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election Day. Are you certain that you will vote in this years elections, or is it possible that something could come up that would prevent you from voting?
97% Certain
3% Something could prevent you from voting
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job hes been doing?
36% Strongly approve
15% Somewhat approve
7% Somewhat disapprove
41% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure
Additional informations for this survey:
Whom do you trust more to handle the economy .Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle national security issues Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
46% Mitt Romney
50% Barack Obama
4% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle energy policy .Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not sure
If Mitt Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
46% Better
36% Worse
14% Stay about the same
4% Not sure
If President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
37% Better
40% Worse
20% Stay about the same
3% Not sure
Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1% Excellent
17% Good
38% Fair
43% Poor
1% Not sure
Are economic conditions in the country getting better or worse?
41% Better
35% Worse
20% Staying the same
4% Not sure
Sometimes, unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election Day. Are you certain that you will vote in this years elections, or is it possible that something could come up that would prevent you from voting?
97% Certain
3% Something could prevent you from voting
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job hes been doing?
36% Strongly approve
15% Somewhat approve
7% Somewhat disapprove
41% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure
“The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote.”
THIS is the change I was waiting to see (along with Ras’ report today that Iowa is now 48-48, as well).
So long as Obama held his lead in both of the above states, it was going to be a tough climb for Romney to “run around him”.
But now that Mr. Romney has pulled neck-and-neck, getting to the finish line ahead of Obama becomes MUCH easier for the Romney campaign (because of the “uncommitteds” who will break in favor of the challenger).
I think we may have both Ohio and Iowa. If so, Obama is defeated.
(Aside — Obama will likely still win PA, MI, MN, NV and WI, but it won’t matter so long as Romney wins both IA and OH).
I’ll predict the final Electoral College tally as Romney - 277, Obama - 252 (assuming Mr. Romney gets the one Congressional district in Maine that is leaning towards him, otherwise, it will be 276-253).
A very tight win — but still a victory.