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Times/Bay News 9/Herald exclusive Florida poll: Romney 51, Obama 44 (mason-dixon poll)
times bay news ^

Posted on 10/11/2012 3:24:51 PM PDT by sunmars

Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.

Conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. That’s a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent — and a direct result of what Obama himself called a “bad night” at the first debate.

The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.

“There’s no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.

“It’s a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another,” said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Take Tampa Bay, the battleground region that invariably mirrors statewide results. A month ago, Obama had a 4 percentage point lead in Tampa Bay. This week, Romney led by 8 percent, 52 to 44. In Central Florida, Romney now leads by 6 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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To: comebacknewt
Sorry, I don't see any way Romney loses OH with the numbers we've been posting. Ds down 175,000 NET votes in absentees alone from 08?? Our walkers in D/I neighborhoods are saying they are getting almost 2:1 Romney answers to "Who will you vote for?" This is seconded by another precinct walker in Dayton. Now, this is just Dayton, but it's a pretty good barometer of where OH is.

Montgomery Co. actually GAINED GOP absentee votes when all the rest of OH lost (Ds lost far more). I think Romney is, and has always been, up 3-4 in OH.

41 posted on 10/11/2012 4:37:06 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: WashingtonSource

Cautious optimism from here on out!


42 posted on 10/11/2012 4:37:30 PM PDT by Michigander222
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To: LS

I know you do great work LS, and I enjoy conversing with you about the polls every election year.

You are definitely closer to the ground in Ohio, and have much better insight into what is going on there than I do, and I really respect your opinion. I pray you are correct.

Ohio is the one state that keeps haunting me. I can potentially see everything else falling into place and then Ohio narrowly going for the Kenyan.

Please make sure you keep sharing your good news, because my confidence there still needs some bucking up. ;)


43 posted on 10/11/2012 4:42:13 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Michigander222

Well said, bro, well said!


44 posted on 10/11/2012 4:43:42 PM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: sunmars

WOW even after the fake unemployment rate and the fake unemployment numbers put out by the Obama thugs,maybe voters are smarter than I thought.


45 posted on 10/11/2012 4:45:46 PM PDT by mandaladon (PalinGenesis)
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To: LS

Yes that’s it! Do u happen to know their polls numbers for R n O?


46 posted on 10/11/2012 4:48:39 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: comebacknewt
This MI news is really interesting. Last poll had Zero up 3, but that's within MOE and R could actually be up. But if what we see in OH among absentees and what I'm hearing from the chairwoman is right, the Is are going huge for Romney. Now we see that FL is a 7-point Romney lead? That Jews are breaking 47-40 for Romney? I don't believe that, but I do believe Zero is way down among Jews.

That said, to get to my prediction of 320 EVs, Romney is going to have to really squeeze NV and WI. Right now, Ds have a big margin in Clark County, though a significant amount don't vote.

47 posted on 10/11/2012 4:51:45 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: WashingtonSource
"... when Obama is “buried” in a landslide that will break all records...

Too many large states (Illinois, California, New York) will be in Obama's column, along with usual liberal states, to make it a blowout. But a reverse of 2008 (53-46) would be sweet.

48 posted on 10/11/2012 4:53:05 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: RoseofTexas

I don’t. All I know is the last poll they did had Romney up HUGE among middle class, like 14 points or so.


49 posted on 10/11/2012 4:53:31 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: sunmars

Seems to me we saw barely any polls after the last debate, and even the ones we saw were gamed.

You just wait to see what happens if Joe does well tonight. They’ll have some poll results by they time they start the printing presses tomorrow morning.

If Ryan wins, they’ll find a reason to wait to do more polls.


50 posted on 10/11/2012 5:02:54 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Obama got Mitch-Slapped in that first debate. 70% to 19% (Gallop)? That's going to leave a mark.)
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To: cmsgop

If Nate the former Daily Koz crackpot pollster is resigned it must be way worse than this !
Nate is a dem push poll expert .
That clown was running around spreading the big lie that
Scott was close to
Losing recall on Election Day .


51 posted on 10/11/2012 5:03:28 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: onyx

In the Name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit, Amen.


52 posted on 10/11/2012 5:04:38 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: DoughtyOne

I think the come back stories are ready written and Martha has her marching orders from Axelrod !!
She hates Ryan .


53 posted on 10/11/2012 5:05:04 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: ken5050

I can only hope that the rubber stamp nelson is gone gone gone.


54 posted on 10/11/2012 5:07:09 PM PDT by Donnafrflorida (Thru HIM all things are possible.)
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To: ncalburt

Well, too bad for them, but the public can watch these debates, and a lot of people are. Does my heart good too...

Axelrod will go the way of Fisk and other Clinton assholes you never hear of anymore.


55 posted on 10/11/2012 5:09:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Obama got Mitch-Slapped in that first debate. 70% to 19% (Gallop)? That's going to leave a mark.)
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To: sunmars

Watch MSDNC call this for Obama before the polls close in the panhamdle. It’s the only way they can win this.

Romney *must* get two of Florida, Ohio and Virginia to have any chance with Florida the biggest prize.


56 posted on 10/11/2012 5:11:56 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: sunmars

Now that the gop-e know that people will follow whoever they choose, I’m afraid it will be Lindsey Graham in 2016!


57 posted on 10/11/2012 5:22:02 PM PDT by turn_to
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To: KansasGirl

thank you for the ping, my wife and I have not seen one obama yard sign yet in Flager county Duval or our county St Johns county.


58 posted on 10/11/2012 5:34:56 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: MissMagnolia

Bill Nelson was a walking, drawling skeleton six years ago.


59 posted on 10/11/2012 5:35:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Barack Obama--you are the weakest link. Goodbye!)
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To: yorkiemom

trust me I drive around y state every day and there is no obama yard signs, hardly ever see more than 3 oabma stickers on cars and the people who voted for him which I know have said not this time.

Obama is a fraud, useless and clueless and only the cult of obama have not woken up to who they are supporting or who he really is , but then again I don;t expect his cult to ever wake up because of their stupidity and only ever wanting to see the letter D


60 posted on 10/11/2012 5:37:52 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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