IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (R 49 O 44, R +20 w Indies)

Investors Business Daily ^ | 10/10/2012 | Staff

[nhwingut]

Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.

Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.

Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.

Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.

The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.

[nhwingut]

Headline should be R 49 O 44...

Romney up 5!!

[Ingtar]

This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 48%, Obama 48%

[apillar]

39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.

My Lord! They oversampled democrats by 8 and still the best they could do is Romney +5%

[apillar]

White men 28%O 64%R 6%U

Lol! Obama losing white men by a 36 point margin, let this hold up till election day and watch the MSNBC crew's heads explode from screaming racism on election night.

[lquist1]

“This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.”

I can’t believe Romney is leading by that much with such a lopsided Dim sample. I think this is a bit of an outlier. But I do think the 49-44 lead in this poll is pretty close to the real number as the election stands today based on who will actually turn out. And that would leave about 7% 3rd party or undecided. Expect Romney to get at least half that and he ends up about 52.5%.

[RoseofTexas]

Father in heaven, continue to expose, confuse and put the Obumbler camp in disarray! While these evil men depend on the hand of anti-God, anti-Israel, and anti-America humans, we YOUR peopler trust solely in you...FOR you see Lord you ARE our only Source and hope! Thank you Lord for looking down from heaven favorably upon those who seek your face and YOUR HAND in time of need. NOW ON TO VICTORY!!

[tatown]

Wow!

[HokieMom]

BTTT!

[KC_Conspirator]

Btw, I thought the previous poll showed Romney up 3 over Obama in NH.

[SharpRightTurn]

Romney 48.7%
Zero 43.7%

Excellent.

Break-down:

Obama Romney Not Sure

OVERALL
43.7% 48.7% 6.1%

REGION
Northeast 49% 42% 9%
Midwest 47% 47% 4%
South 40% 54% 5%
West 43% 46% 9%

AGE
18-44 50% 44% 6%
45-64 40% 51% 7%
65+ 37% 54% 5%

GENDER
Male 36% 57% 6%
Female 50% 42% 6%

RACE
White 34% 58% 7%
Black/Hispanic 82% 13% 3%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Under 30K 50% 44% 5%
30K-50K 46% 49% 4%
50-75K 41% 48% 11%
75K+ 44% 51% 5%

PARTY
Democrats 86% 7% 5%
Republicans 3% 95% 1%
Ind./Other 34% 54% 12%

INVESTOR CLASS
Yes 44% 50% 6%
No 44% 47% 7%

AREA TYPE
Urban 48% 43% 7%
Suburban 47% 46% 6%
Rural 34% 58% 6%

WHITE
White men 28% 64% 6%
White women 39% 52% 7%

BLACK/HISPANIC
Black* 91% 6% 3%
Hispanic* 64% 30% 4%

WOMEN
Single women 58% 37% 5%
Married women 43% 47% 8%

EDUCATION
High School 41% 47% 9%
Some College 42% 52% 5%
College Degree+ 46% 48% 5%

IDEOLOGY
Conservative 18% 76% 5%
Moderate 54% 37% 8%
Liberal 89% 4% 5%

HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION
Upper/Upper Middle 52% 41% 7%
Middle 41% 51% 5%
Working 40% 50% 8%
Lower* 50% 45% 6%

RELIGION
Protestant 35% 60% 5%
Catholic 43% 46% 6%
Other Christian 40% 56% 3%
Jewish* 47% 25% 28%
Other* 51% 36% 11%
None 67% 27% 5%

UNION HOUSEHOLD
Yes 59% 33% 6%
No 41% 51% 6%

2008 VOTE
Obama 83% 9% 8%
McCain 2% 94% 4%

Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9

Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%

Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)

Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx#ixzz28vD6r3tO

[nhwingut]

The hits keep coming... This election turned on a dime. The news is only getting worse for Obozo with Libya.

[sharkshooting]

I'm a poll addict and I have to say this is the best poll top to bottom I have seen this election.

+8 Dem sampling and a 5 point lead for Romney means that at 2010 or Rasmussen affiliation numbers, Romney would win by 10+.

[justlurking]

I remember the IBD/TIPP polls from 4 years ago, but didn't remember how well they predicted the outcome.

Ironically, I was the one that posted the final results:

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%

The actual result -- Obama: 52.87%, McCain: 45.60%, Other: 1.53%.

[LS]

Wow. And take a look at this:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2942878/posts

[arrogantsob]

I think we are looking at a 10+ landslide.

[arrogantsob]

Romney wins in EVERY education level? The Disaster supported by ONLY those without h.s. education? I believe it.

[xkaydet65]

Romney has scored two TDs to go from down 4 to up 10 with 9 min to go in the 4th. But you do not go into the prevent D at this time and you do not seek to run time off the clock. Now you go for the win Big Time. Bring the Blitz Package on D and go run and then deep on play action for another six. Don’t let up till the whistle blows at 00:00.

[NY4Romney]

And RCP has now moved: New Hamphire, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all to toss-up status from lean Obama.

Everyday the Obamabots keep crying that his “post debate” bounce will fade soon. And everyday the gap is widening. This is so fun to watch.