Posted on 09/27/2012 6:54:24 PM PDT by profit_guy
Executive summary: the process is ongoing, and what’s being tracked are absentee/early ballot REQUESTS, not turned-in ballots. So it’s not telling us who’s ahead in Ohio; it’s merely telling us what we know of which party’s members are asking for ballots. In other words, it’s a possible measure of voter enthusiasm in Ohio. So…
(Excerpt) Read more at moelane.com ...
I think the deadline is Nov. 1........either way the Dems are at 61% of 2008, while the GOP is at 101% of 2008 - so far...
Earlier today, prominent Freeper LS had a Google doc spreadsheet of absentee ballot requests by county in Ohio. Very informative. Let’s see if I can ping him to post that link here too.
WOW! Just wow!
Is there a link to that chart? I’d like to take a look at it.
Type in LS in search under “user” and you should find it.
and 97% of those 61% went to the same three addresses.
I was just able to confirm the deadline is Nov 3. Does anyone have the info for the other counties?
The GOP seems to be much more organized than the corrupt MSM would have us believe. I don’t buy their “resistance is futile” narrative.
In the article linked, the link to the google docs spreadsheet is on the line under the article title. That’s the same google docs spreadsheet that LS, LdSentinal and Ravi here at FR are analyzing daily.
It’s great to see this info get out into a conservative blog because the data implies a republican voter intensity and a democratic voter lack of enthusiasm that the skewed polls are NOT showing.
Well, we. Found out where that spreadsheet cm. from-—should have guessed-—Jay Cost. Fine by me, as I don’t car who assembles the data. But this guy’s approach I a little different, where I tend to stress the gap between D and Rs, he is looking at total turnout % in requests from 2008 to now. But we get to the same point.
Thanks for this.
Same spreadsheet only now I know where it came from. Before, I didn’t have a name. It’’s Jay Cost. Good data guy.
Of all the number-crunching analysts, I trust Jay Cost. I remember him from the 2000 (or 2004?) election prelude and he was just starting out. I followed his analysis a lot back then. He’s got quite big in the conservative blog world now. This is good because he seems dependable. He can get the word about the OH data coming in, because it blows away the assumptions of the polls.
With Romney saying he didn’t need to change his campaign, makes me think he’s pulling a Rope-A-Dope on nobama.
Its great info about the absentee vote percentages 2008 to 2012. MSM reporters are as lazy as nobama to not see this too and realize the polls are not showing a true picture, i.e. Ohio.
Yes, he made his bones in 04, really didn’t have much to say in 06 or 08, and now is back to his number crunching strength. BTW, isn’t it interesting.that a week after we start discussing this, everyone else picks it up?
Team Romney has been doing polling for nearly two years now and, as the economy has gotten worse, I bet their internals have gotten better and better. We won't know for sure until election day, but I think Romney has had a pretty solid game plan all along.
LS, do you have any thoughts (or info) on how well organized we are on the ground in OH vs. Obama’s team?
And how we stack up to McCain’s efforts?
I am not sure it’s a winning strategy but what I think the Romney doctrine is in regards to winning the election is this. Ads be damned. There is a certain amount of people who are going to vote for him no matter what. A certain amount who will vote for Obama no matter what. The game is about turnout. I believe that the vast majority of Romney’s “war chest” is going into organizing an amazing GOTV campaign. I don’t think you will see a major ad buy ramp up from the campaign because it’s all about getting boots on the ground to get people to the polls. I don’t know if this is a winning idea (and I think it would be much better if he had a way to get the base excited before attaching himself to this idea) but this is the approach I believe he is taking. It would be nice to see it work. Not because I think he’s a good candidate, not because I think he’d be a good President or save the Idea that is America but because it would be really nice to listen to the drive by’s explain away an Obama loss. I might actually watch CNN again (that night only)
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