U.Va. analysis: Obama has already won (Dems can stay home)

Washington Examiner ^ | 09/27/2012 | Paul Bedard

[nhwingut]

They won't officially declare the election over, but the experts at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics Thursday declared that President Obama's surge in key battleground state polls has pushed him well over the magic mark of 270 Electoral College votes, meaning his reelection is all but a lock.

"We are not calling the race," said the experts, but the polls currently show "a decisive Obama victory."

The team of Larry Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley said if the election were held today, Obama would win 290 Electoral Votes, Mitt Romney 204. And the 42 toss-up Electoral Votes would not be enough to help Romney even if he took them all.

Theirs is the first to essentially declare Obama the winner and it comes after they switched several battleground states from toss-up to leaning Democrat, including Virginia, Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada. The change mirrors new polling in those states and caps a two-week trend favoring Obama in state polls.

[nhwingut]

This is getting ridiculous... We have had 4 years of economic malaise not seen since the Carter days. It looks like we're on the verge of another recession. And yet Obama is going to win in a landslide?

I have never seen anything like this. It's bizarre. It does not make any sense, historically or statistically.

I need to call it a day.

[blueyon]

Please let’s push this...Democrats CAN stay home, Yes They Can LOL

[DallasBiff]

And the Mets could never win the World Series in 1969, despite the media.

[MissMagnolia]

Larry Sabato aka Larry Sabotage .....

[MissMagnolia]

Larry Sabato aka Larry Sabotage .....

[SandRat]

May they have a Harry Truman moment.

[Sarah Barracuda]

Give enough people free Obamaphones and Obama money and that is pretty much all it takes. If Obama wins re-election America as we know it is finished

[barmag25]

We are bound to hear a few progressive pundits say that to cut spending we should cancel the election.

[tgusa]

bullsh!t

[null and void]

Isn’t that the guy who looks like Mr. Creosote?

[DallasBiff]

BTW, how much wealth has toupee Larry Sabato created while he sucks and lives on on the VA taxpayer teet?

[taildragger]

Can we hack those 12 million Obamaphones and remind them to vote on the 7th? :-)>

Just kidding!!!!

[Signalman]

And the University of Colorado says Romney will win:

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-election-factors-points-romney-win-university-colorado-study-says

[MNJohnnie]

Good, remember this. Cause when election day turns out quite different we are going to go back and tuck these predictions so far up their backsides their names and professional reputations will be the punchline of political jokes for at least a decade. They don't seem to realize that they are going WAY WAY out on a limb with these predictions. This time we aren't going to simply forgive and forget after the election There is going to be a reckoning after election day with these propagandists.

[Signalman]

And unlike Larry Sabato, their predictions have been correct in every presidential election since 1980.

[MissMagnolia]

LOL - that would be correct!

[nhwingut]

Larry Sabato at UVA in 1974, a student politico pundit.

[Aevery_Freeman]

It was predicted when LBJ implemented the "Great Society" programs.

Ain't it great!

[Starboard]

If Obama wins re-election America as we know it is finished
*******
This is no longer the America I grew up in. Secular America has lost its way. Sadly, it’s going to take a major and painful crisis to wake people up if we are ever to reverse course.

[dontreadthis]

I picked a bad day to give smoking crack