Posted on 09/17/2012 10:19:27 AM PDT by xzins
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Breakdown
Safe Romney | 178 |
Likely Romney | 3 |
Leans Romney | 15 |
Toss-up | 95 |
Leans Obama | 46 |
Likely Obama | 21 |
Safe Obama | 180 |
Toss-up-95
CO (9)
FL (29)
IA (6)
MO (10)
OH (18)
VA (13)
WI (10)
Leans Romney -15
NC (15)
Leans Obama -46
MI (16)
NH (4)
NV (6)
PA (20)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
All I know if that Romney seems absent. Where is he and Ryan?
Ryan is rarely on TV or radio lately.
What the heck are they doing w the 100 million a month?
Why would Obama spend money in Massachusetts? Shouldn’t that be an Obama safe state?
What Mitt needs to do... this election is not yet won nor lost because Romney hasnt closed the sale.
Campaigns could always do better. Romney’s message doesn’t need to be complicated, but it does need to be sharper:
1 Obama is a failed President and our economy is doing terribly.
2. Our lousy economy is a direct result of his bad jobkilling policies
3. I, Mitt Romney, will turn the economy and our country around with better policies and ideas
Clearly, there is a lot of real evidence on #1, and the messaging is
fine there. And on #3, I find the Obama campaign insistence on more
‘details’ from Romney (ie find more grist for their attacks) amazing in
that Obama has made his own campaign one about nothing - with a dash of
recycled borken promises thrown in.
Where Romney is weakest is #2. How many ads has Romney cut that point
out the 20 tax hikes in Obamacare, and point out the specific jobs lost
in the medical device industry because of the medical device tax? How
many speeches has Romney given that argue articulately for the
job-killing nature of the Obama policies, with the specifics lined up?
I’ve seen Santorum argue that, I’ve seen Newt argue that ... but Romney?
The bane of the weak moderate Republicans from GHWBush on down has
been their reluctance to ARGUE ideologically and MAKE THE CASE for
conservative policies as superior to liberal ones. This is where #2
comes in; this is why picking Paul Ryan was an exciting pick for
conservatives. “Aha!” we thought, “Someone who can articulate
conservatism!” And so Ryan has. But it hasnt permeated the whole
campaign and the ads are thin, weak, and to this conservative, often
off-key (like the claims about cutting defense spending being bad
because of lost jobs. Gack! That’s porkbarrel talk; we spend on defense
for national security, not as a jobs program.)
Romney needs to sharpen the argument and tie Obama’s egregious
taxing, spending and regulating, his killing of Keystone and his oil
drillign moratorium, etc.
to our 8% unemplyoment and worst recovery
since WWII. Bring sepcifics to bear to show how Obama’s policies have
killed jobs and hurt the economy. He needs a direct and correct rebuttal
to the misleading claims in the Clinton speech and out of the DNC. What
Romney camp fail to notice is that convention bounces disappear if the
arguments behind them are deflated.
It is not enough to say “Things are bad” since Obama has come back
with “Things are bad, but I care and the other guy is a rerun of what
got us in the mess.”
Where is Romney’s response? It’s as if lies
about Romney are left UN-answered and that’s enough. Obama treats voters
as too dumb and Romney as them being too smart.
Romney needs the 1,2,3 puch:
1. Thing are bad. 2. Obama is to blame, here is why. 3. I can fix, here is how.
If Mitt Romney gets 55% of voters to agree to that message, he wins BIG.
Yes. WTF is Romney doing? He’s throwing the game. I have seen two Romney ads in the past week and over 20 Obama ads.
Kind of like picking who is going to win the SB in Sept.
[ I believe one reason Obama is leading in NH is because Romney is holding back on advertising ]
I really don’t understand that. If he waits too long, it will be too late. People start to tune ads out after awhile.
I don’t know.
They are acting like they know the election is lost.
One of the things I dislike about FR is that it becomes an echo chamber. Every attacks the poles (with some reason), but at the end of the day they have been very close.
He has a good argument to make in Pennsylvania if he emphasizes Obama’s disastrous energy policy.
I am not sure the energy policy with the exception of gas is really hurting Pennsylvania. A lot of people are making big money on the fracking especially Western Pennsylvania where Romney COULD make inroads, but he should concentrate on VALUES! Social Issues would make Romney an easy pick for Pennsylvania but he does not talk much about them.
That, and the fact that early voting (a significant factor in many purplish or closely-contested states) begins, in many places, as soon as the next week or two.
If he talks about how Obama wants to kill coal it could help him in northeastern PA, a moderate Democrat stronghold.
approx 50 days away.
I believe Romney will win Fla., MO. and Wisconsin. Virginia will be a battle and a lot will depend on the grassroots voters in VA. They should turn out in droves.
Romney’s down 2 in Florida, Up 3 in MO, and down about 6-8 in Wisconsin, iirc.
We’re still 50+ days out.
Im an Ohioan. Let me assure you that Romney is running virtually no ads here that Im seeing.
Did you watch NFL football yesterday? Romney’s “China” ad was on constantly.
It’s on here in Fla too.
Hope it helps. My fear is that you need to care enough to think about it,
And relate to what is does to working people.
O has a built in percentage of freeloaders who could care less.
They believe they are getting theirs from the “ stash” and sticking it to “ the
Man” at the same time
It is normal for the Democrats to have a large lead in Sept and the GOP to close the gap in Oct.
As it is, the virtual tie in the polls shows that the GOP is really ahead since they save their ad's for the end of the campaign.
Years ago a judge ruled that liberals and socialists if they wish in NH could “paint over” the offensive “Live Free or Die” from the little license plates in that little state.
Folks Romney is all over NH radio & is on Boston TV which hits NH cable stations. I know cause I’m on vacation this week in NH.
Romney needs to start making outrageous statements that garner press coverage. They must distill those statements that seem to hurt Romney, so the press will broadcast them, but actually resonate with voters.
Similar to Reagan, who the press was sure would look like a doddering old alzheimers patient, but actually connected.
If it’s election night and around 11 pm EDT PA is called for Romney, go to bed. It’s over and Obama is out.
Let them pollute NH and then they’ll stay away from TN.
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