approx 50 days away.
I believe Romney will win Fla., MO. and Wisconsin. Virginia will be a battle and a lot will depend on the grassroots voters in VA. They should turn out in droves.
It is normal for the Democrats to have a large lead in Sept and the GOP to close the gap in Oct.
As it is, the virtual tie in the polls shows that the GOP is really ahead since they save their ad's for the end of the campaign.