CNN Poll: Obama up six points over Romney

CNN ^ | 09/10/2012 | CNN Political Unit

[nhwingut]

(CNN) – A new survey indicates President Barack Obama moved up four points following the Democratic National Convention last week, and now has a six point advantage over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday, 52% of likely voters nationwide back the president, compared to 46% for Romney. Just before the convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, Obama was tied with Romney 48%-48%.

[Izzy Dunne]

Ideology
Conservative 21% 70% 7% 3%
Moderate 56% 34% 8% 1%
Liberal 88% 3% 9% 1%

... maybe some poll-faulting going on here?

Maybe these "Conservative" folks are having a little fun with the pollsters?

[spel_grammer_an_punct_polise]

Good! I hope that the msm keeps saying that Obemba is up 10 points, 20 even 50 points.

That’ll make most dims stay home and not vote.

[Not A Snowbird]

If this is a national poll, I bet they’re oversampling blue states.

The question is where they are state by state.

[Sarah Barracuda]

As Judge Judy would say “Dont pee on my hand and tell me its raining” there is NO WAY one single Conservative would vote for Obama, Moderate Republican, maybe, but Conservative, HELL NO..ANY Conservative who would vote for Obama needs to be taken to the wood shed and beaten with a sledge hammer. There is NO WAY in hell thats true

[1035rep]

(CNN) - With 12 days to go until the recall election of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, two new polls indicate the Republican governor holds a single digit advantage over his Democratic challenger.

Clinton will be the most high profile Democratic surrogate to travel to Wisconsin to campaign for Barrett.

CNN says exit polls show Wisconsin recall election tied

Scott Walker’s triumph in Wisconsin Tuesday night beating out Democratic challenger Tom Barrett 53%–46%

Walker +7

[InvisibleChurch]

[rushmom]

I believe as of 8/31 he said it was 37R, 33D, 29I.

[cranked]

Grain of salt...... =.=

[nhwingut]

I’m hearing on Twitter and blogs (HotAir and Ace) that Obama’s bump is due to blue state fever. And they most of the swing state numbers have not moved. Which is good news.

[mrsmith]

“apathetic Democrats who missed the likely voter screen last week suddenly became enthusiastic “

Well, not ‘enthusiastic’ IMO but less unenthusiastic.

If Bubba Clinton was running again it might last but not for the Zero.
Media’s going wild with nationwide polls with the ‘Clinton bounce’. Bucking up the dispirited Dems before Romney’s ads move the numbers, especially in the battlegrounds.

[rushmom]

No independents?

[SoFloFreeper]

Hold on, I looked at the internals....it appears there were 441 Demonrats, 397 Republicans...which leaves only 184 independents....for 1,022 adults.

That means 43% Demonrat, 38% Republican, 18% other.

A crap sample.

[rushmom]

Forget about Romney. I don’t care if he’s a cardboard cutout. This election is about getting rid of Obama.

[what's up]

Following are the internals for the poll. This is a new trick they're pulling.

Note they have polled TWO groups and mixed them together. The first group 1022 people, the second 1584. The first group could be 100% Dem for all we know...they don't give a breakdown:

Interviews with 1,022 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on September 7-9, 2012. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 875 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points) and 709 interviews among likely voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points).

Scam!

[nhwingut]

Hold on, I looked at the internals....it appears there were 441 Demonrats, 397 Republicans...which leaves only 184 independents....for 1,022 adults. That means 43% Demonrat, 38% Republican, 18% other.

Repolling: If sample were 35 D(-8) 35 R(-3) 30 I(+12), Romney would be up by 3 points.

[nhwingut]

Forget about Romney. I don’t care if he’s a cardboard cutout. This election is about getting rid of Obama.

Rush said today he didn't care if it was Elmer Fudd. Obama must go. LOL!

[ROCKLOBSTER]

I bet they’re oversampling blue states.

They could sample any states you might choose. Then, to skew the numbers, all they'd have to do is poll just the cities

[smoothsailing]

Yep, ignore. It’s a hodgepodge of LV, RV, A respondents. I’d guess 7-10 points out of whack in Zero’s favor.

Here’s more from the pdf-

......

Interviews with 1,022 adult Americans conducted by telephone
by ORC International on September 7-9, 2012. The margin of
sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or
minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 875 interviews among registered voters
(plus or minus 3.5 percentage points) and 709 interviews among
likely voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points).
The sample includes 765 interviews among landline respondents
and 257 interviews among cell phone respondents.

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/09/10/rel10a.pdf

[manc]

that peice of crap show called the five is still on???????

who watches that?