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Was the Facebook Deal Overhyped? (0.6% Gain)
CNBC ^ | 05-18-2012 | By: Kate Kelly, Kayla Tausche

Posted on 05/18/2012 1:18:23 PM PDT by Red Badger

With Facebook shares trading close to their $38 offer price and revelations that retail investors got a larger-than-expected slice of the $18.4 billion IPO, market watchers are questioning whether the social network’s debut was overhyped — not just in the media, but in the investor community.

Buy-side anticipation of a huge Day One price pop was high, and yet as of lunch time on Friday, Facebook shares hadn’t crested $45.

Experienced bankers say that with a new issue of this size, moving the shares beyond the single-digit percentage range can be tough, and that Morgan Stanley [MS 13.35 -0.11 (-0.82%) ], the lead bookrunner on the deal, has done an admirable job at keeping the stock trading in relatively stable condition.

GM [GM 21.18 -0.43 (-1.99%) ], for instance, which was an $18.1 billion IPO, only traded a few percentage points above its new issue price on its first day of trading late in 2010. Prior to the first day of trading, bankers said they didn’t expect a more than 10% upsurge on day one, given the deal’s size.

However, with anecdotal reports that some institutional investors got more shares than they were expecting, and new revelations that, according to two people close to the matter, the retail allocation of Facebook IPO shares was more than 20 percent, marking an all-time high for a new issue, some market participants are wondering whether the investor excitement toward the deal was overplayed earlier this week.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; US: New York
KEYWORDS: facebook; ipo
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1 posted on 05/18/2012 1:18:29 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Is it wrong that I want it to plummet on Monday?


2 posted on 05/18/2012 1:20:54 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: EEGator

“Wrong” is a strong word, “unkind” might be more appropriate. :)


3 posted on 05/18/2012 1:23:26 PM PDT by Sudetenland (Anybody but Obama!!!!)
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To: EEGator

All those insiders needed someone to sell to today...


4 posted on 05/18/2012 1:23:29 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Red Badger

Shades of the dot-com bubble!


5 posted on 05/18/2012 1:24:45 PM PDT by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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To: EEGator

Monday moring will be very interesting for FB...


6 posted on 05/18/2012 1:24:53 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Red Badger

0.6% per day x 250 trading days per year = 150% per year.


7 posted on 05/18/2012 1:25:09 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Do I really need a sarcasm tag? Seriously? You're that dense?)
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To: Red Badger

How the hell does Facebook make that kind of money?????


8 posted on 05/18/2012 1:27:09 PM PDT by New Jersey Realist (America: home of the free because of the brave)
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To: Red Badger

Traders in a down economy are not hopping on this band wagon as would have years past, then what do I know.


9 posted on 05/18/2012 1:30:22 PM PDT by boomop1
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To: Red Badger

The Facebook IPO was way over-hyped. It was even over-hyped by several shows onFox Business Channel that focused on how over-hyped it was.


10 posted on 05/18/2012 1:30:43 PM PDT by henkster (Wanted: Politicians willing to say "No" to people. No experience required.)
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To: New Jersey Realist

Ads ? No Ads so sad


11 posted on 05/18/2012 1:31:17 PM PDT by molson209
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; EEGator

After today’s poor showing, I’d expect Monday to be a sell at the bell...........


12 posted on 05/18/2012 1:31:29 PM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Exactly. Everybody bought at the bell, computerized trades, then waited for the pop-up price that never went anywhere. They were expecting it to double in and hour............


13 posted on 05/18/2012 1:33:40 PM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: Red Badger

Not so much hype as obsession. I say BFD. If it goes up, it goes up. If it goes down, it goes down.

It is what it is. Anyone who invests more than they can afford to lose is a fool or very lucky.


14 posted on 05/18/2012 1:33:52 PM PDT by Larry Lucido
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To: New Jersey Realist

Ads and eyeballs............


15 posted on 05/18/2012 1:34:43 PM PDT by Red Badger (Think logically. Act normally.................)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Underwriters bought Facebook’s stock to keep it from falling below the IPO price ?


16 posted on 05/18/2012 1:38:10 PM PDT by molson209
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To: Red Badger

It’s the karma of being associated with Obama.


17 posted on 05/18/2012 1:38:10 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Red Badger

If so, we’ll buy more.

We didn’t buy very many shares today. But I think there will be steady FB use and thus a steady increase to the shareholders.

We bought today not looking for a quick buck, but because we think the business will remain profitable.


18 posted on 05/18/2012 1:38:25 PM PDT by Jemian
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To: Red Badger

BUT FOR, the underwriters, FB would have tanked today.

Too many shares and way overpriced.


19 posted on 05/18/2012 1:40:00 PM PDT by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

It’s only VHT activity in the markets ,, no retail customers ... don’t know how long they can pretend..


20 posted on 05/18/2012 1:42:06 PM PDT by Neidermeyer
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