See full poll results here:
http://www.politico.com/polls/politico-george-washington-university-battleground-poll.html
What a shocker! Obama and Obama-lite tied.
You have got to be sh##ting me. Are there that many freaking Marxists in this country?
Did they over poll Rats? I don’t see how if Romney has a 10 pt. lead among independents that the race could be tied.
politico and AP/Al-Reuters will be calling it a dead heat if it were 55/40..
so, which side has the dead voters ?
“What is the likelihood of your voting in the elections to be held this November— are you extremely likely,
very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to vote?
Extremely Likely ................................................ 76%
(CONTINUE) Very Likely ........................................................ 21%
Somewhat Likely.................................................. 4%”
One admirable thing about the French is that their presidential elections are mercifully short. Our two-year+ election campaigns are becoming more ludicrous with each election. Even the Mexicans are more efficient, with their elections coming up in seven weeks.
Obama’s campaign is in deep trouble, and a Romney landslide is possible. Many people who tell pollsters they support Obama are just giving the politically correct answer, and will either stay home or vote for Romney in the privacy of the voting booth. They may even tell exit pollsters they voted for Obama.
Still doesn’t answer the question. If Obama leads by 7 among women and Romney by 7 among men, it’s a wash, and Romney leads by 10 among independents. If the same number of women and men, and Republicans and Democrats were polled, Romney should be winning unless Obama gets Republican votes or more Rats. Were polled than Republicans.
Anyone know the party breakdown for this poll?
"Today's employment numbers, confirmed by Rasmussen's polling on unemployment, about to be echoed Friday by the larger employment numbers for April, following on the heels of the downward revision of GDP, coupled with high gas prices at the pump, all spell defeat for the incumbent.
"I think in retrospect you will see this moment as the turning point in the polls and all of those yellow states on the electoral college map will go to light blue and even the light blue states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will turn yellow."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2879045/posts
This is the second nationwide poll that puts the candidates in this position and it is in my judgment that it is not the stasis position but actually the crossing of the lines. Although the trends will not be straight-line I think we will see an increasing momentum for Romney.
As this trend becomes increasingly clear to Obama by virtue of his internals (which explains his behavior in recent weeks), he is much more likely to pull the trigger on an October Surprise:
Nevermind the Ides of March Beware The Surprises of October
Forget this poll and all others taken before. Mitt Romney has not yet begun to really fight Obama. Until we get into August, it’s useless to follow any poll. The vast numbers of American voters are not yet tuned in to the POTUS election.
However, things to note: Obama had a dismal campaign opener in Ohio where he addressed a half filled college arena. Obama poll numbers have been underwater for months, the economy is in deep recession, Obama cannot hold a campaign rally in public, other then on a college campus arena or labor union hall, etc. I predict things will get a lot worse for this failed POTUS, Obama on a number of fronts.
My own demograpics suggest he will lose big time to Romney, not because Romney is overpowering, but... because Obama should be a dogcatcher rather then USA POTUS. Right now, I predict: Romney, 55%, Obama, 45%. Over time, and, as Romney ramps up and gets better known, the polls will really start shifting in Romney’s direction. With luck, Romney could garner 57% of the votes cast versus 43% percent for Obama. Millions of young voters and American Blacks will sit on their hands, come election Day, November, 2012.
Obama will lose, that is certain. But.....the real damage will be the almost destruction of the current Democrat Party. Obama will drag down literally hundreds of Democrat officeholders all across the country. IMHO, The Democrat Party would be wise to broom Obama right now, either by forcing him out of office or, having Obama decline to run for re-election. Anything less means a “train wreck” of devastating dimensions for the Democrat Party.
Romney should do what Reagan did against Carter, one debate a week or so before the election. All he has to do is look like he’s not a complete idiot and he can win it big.