"Today's employment numbers, confirmed by Rasmussen's polling on unemployment, about to be echoed Friday by the larger employment numbers for April, following on the heels of the downward revision of GDP, coupled with high gas prices at the pump, all spell defeat for the incumbent.
"I think in retrospect you will see this moment as the turning point in the polls and all of those yellow states on the electoral college map will go to light blue and even the light blue states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will turn yellow."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2879045/posts
This is the second nationwide poll that puts the candidates in this position and it is in my judgment that it is not the stasis position but actually the crossing of the lines. Although the trends will not be straight-line I think we will see an increasing momentum for Romney.
As this trend becomes increasingly clear to Obama by virtue of his internals (which explains his behavior in recent weeks), he is much more likely to pull the trigger on an October Surprise:
Nevermind the Ides of March Beware The Surprises of October
