Posted on 03/14/2012 6:08:00 AM PDT by mitchell001
Newt Gingrich has crafted a reasonable comeback strategy considering his predicament and his goals for the country. Here are the cards that Newt has. He has built a tremendous and growing volunteer network. He has the ability to frame the most important issues facing the government. Notice that the media loves to schedule and interview Newt. Also, President Obama and Jay Carney are replying to Newt Gingrich's $2.50 per gallon and oil drilling proposals. As Newt stays in the race, Romney has to spend money on negative ads to attack and bring down both Santorum and Gingrich. If Newt stays in Romney has little chance to garner greater than 30 percent of delegates in each primary. If Newt drops out, there is a greater chance that Romney will knock out Santorum and win. Now, if Romney does not get enough votes to clinch the nomination, there is a chance that Newt's stature will continue to rise, and he will continue to showcase his skills, plans and abilities and will appear more presidential and electable than Santorum. Newt's delegate count may approach or pass Santorum's delegate count. This is the 60 day discussion that will begin at the end of June at the end of the primaries. At that time, Gingrich and Santorum may agree to a joint ticket with one or the other at the top of the ticket. Newt owes this strategy to his large volunteer network and to the country. As time goes forward, more and more Americans will want Newt Gingrich on the National Ticket so we citizens can benefit from his experience, ideas, plans, reforms and doable goals for the country that we love.
Go Newt! I just gave more money.
“Newt lost in two of the ‘Reddest’ in the south”
Newt came in second in a 3 way race. I think Romney should drop out. I wonder how Santorum would do in a 2 way race with Newt?
I’m actually horrified at how few people are actually voting in these “must win” primaries. Most people aren’t even following this yet. They should start to wake up this summer in time for the brokered convention. Go Newt!
“The closer we get to Convention and with Mitt still stuck at less than any majority, more will see Mitt for the non-finisher he is.”
Agreed. The big story is that The Bishop came in 3rd in the last 2 primaries. It’s now a 2 way race; Newt vs Santorum. Go Newt!
Damn straight.
They always seem to be when Ralph posts them. I guess you could use the abuse button and ask the mods to move it to general/chat, if you’d like.
I’ve just come to accept that the ‘news/activism’ filter is worthless, because several contributers regularly post their vanities to news/activism, and others post their blogs that way.
Ya gotta chuckle once-in-a-while... While I’m sure your post is intended as an insult... it did make me chuckle... the real enemy is Obama, don’t forget... at the end of the day, you and I are fighting the same war. Choosing up our generals, and yours winning over mine ain’t gunna make me want to sit it out, believe me!! If we don’t fall in behind yours or mine, we can kiss it all goodby...
Of the 119 delegates assigned yesterday in the 4 contests (this includes a couple of known superdelegates, and it looks like a few districts in Alabama are not yet assigned):
Romney 43/119 36%
Santorum 36/119 30%
Gingrich 24/119 20%
Newt should have done much better. Being realist AL and MS should have been ‘give mes’ to Newt and he should have won handily or at least won. Also being realist you aren’t going to see a two way race between Mitt and Rick. It’s already set the race is now between Mitt and who ever. That’s our reality, that and the possibly of a brokered convention.
The way I see it Newt losing MS and AL is the same as if Mitt had lost Michigan and New Hampshire.
Was there spittle on those reports?
newt’s staying in because he knows romney is on the ropes and might not last the month. romney had a near death experience in michigan and another in ohio.
romney out spent newt and santo combined 3 to 1 in the south and still came in third. Romney will have to carpet bomb illinois like michigan and ohio. if he loses it could be the end for romney. his money men won’t back him forever. if he dips into his own pockets i think that would be political suicide.
at that point it’s newt vs. ricky, and with the lights turned up ricky looks very small.
buck up newtsters, this thing ain’t over til i say it’s over. did we give up when the germans bombed pearl harbor.
I’m a longtime Newt supporter. I’ve done the math, examined the delegate rules and concluded that Mitt Romney will get the minimum amount of delegates needed to be the nominee if the race continues at its current trajectory.
The only thing that MIGHT deny Romney enough delegates is a major shake-up, like either Newt or Rick dropping out of the race and endorsing the other one. Because that way, the remaining candidate could possibly deny Romney delegates in states with winner-take-all rules at the district level (Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, California, Texas, Maryland). Newt did that in South Carolina, winning 92% of the delegates with 40% of the vote.
Illinois is a case in point. Romney is currently polling ahead of the pack with 35% to Rick’s 31% and Newt’s 12%. That state has direct delegate election by district, which means delegates are on the ballot the same way Clinton/Bush/Perot were on the ballot. And if the votes spread out as shown in that poll in every district, Romney will win the entire state. Results may vary from district to district, but with the position we’re in numerically on delegates, we need to SWEEP that state and win almost every districts.
See my full analysis here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2858929/posts?page=124#130
Huh?
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