Posted on 02/08/2012 7:55:36 AM PST by Jeff Head
I have been keeping my own record of the 2012 GOP Primary results, adding each primary as it occurs.
I have created an html/internet version which I have posted here on FR a few times. I have been asked by a number of FR members to post a thread where I can update this file regularly, so this is that thread.
Last night we saw what could be a bell weather for this primary election. Rick Santorum, agruably the most conservative candidate left in the field, had a clean sweep, winning the popular vote in Colorado, Missouri, and Minnesota...and doing so convincingly. He certainly will, and deserves to make the case that with five out of eight popular vote wins, he could be considered the Romney alternative. Here's the table as it sits today. I have it going out through the Primary in Texas, but will extend it as necessary. I will update it on this thread when the final totals are in for yesterday's (Feb 7, 2012) races as they are 99% and 95% complete now, when the delegates are apportioned (later for each of the last three states), and when other primaries occur.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Romney | Gingrich | Santorum | Paul | Huntsman | Perry | Bachman | Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | 16,163 | 13.33% | 4 | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 25 |
New Hampshire | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Carolina | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 | |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 | |
Main | 0 | 24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 8,394 | 12.84% | 26,372 | 40.35% | 7,713 | 11.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 36 | |||||
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 5,134 | 10.76% | 21,436 | 44.94% | 13,030 | 27.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 40 | ||||||
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 9,859 | 4.05% | 138,957 | 57.12% | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | |||||||
Airzona | 2/28/2012 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Michigan | 30 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Georgia | (Super Tues) | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Idaho | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Massachusetts | 41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota | 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ohio | 66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oklahoma | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vermont | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virginia | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wyoming | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 3/10/2012 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guam | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virgin Islands | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MIssouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 1,182,900 | 39.06% | 99 | 847,970 | 28.00% | 35 | 568,943 | 18.79% | 11 | 336,239 | 11.10% | 15 | 49,894 | 1.65% | 2 | 23,628 | 0.78% | 0 | 10,854 | 0.36% | 0 | 10,036 | 0.33% | 0 | 3,028,620 | 1450 | |
I have been keeping my own record of the 2012 GOP Primary results, adding each primary as it occurs and I have created an html/internet version which I have posted here for others to see and track.
After the Feb 7, 2012 primaries which saw Rick Santorum sweep all three and establish himself as the top tier candidate de jour to challenge Mitt Romney, all eyes were on the February 28 primaries in Michigan (Romney's native state), and in Arizona. Arizona was winner take all, and Michigan was proportional. Earlier Romney was expected to easily win Michigan, but after Santorum's February 7th wins, he surged to a double digit lead in Michigan, trailing badly in Arizona. Many analysts felt that a loss in Michigan would strongly weaken Romney and establish Santorum for a big Super Tuesday. Romney won the caucus in Maine before Feb 28th.
Romney fought back and coupled with a poor debate showing and gaffes by Santorum, his lead in Michigan dwindled. Romney ended up winning both. In Michigan he won by about 3 1/2% and in Arizona he won by over 20%. All of Arisona's 29 delegates went to Romney. He had Santorum split 30 delegates in Michigan. Newt Gingrich did not really contest either Arizona or Michigan. He's campaigning in Georgia, a must win for him, and conducting a comeback strategy for super Tuesday involving Georgia, Tennessee and Oklahoma. By the way, Romney also won Wyoming, meaning he has won the last four contests.
In Michigan we saw again that Santorum's and Gingrich's votes combined defeat Romney. While in Arizona, Florida and Nevada Romney's lead was too great to allow it, still, in other contests, a united strong conservative candidate would have beat him casuing the delegate count to be much closer. As it is, Romney has won 7 of the 12 races with 181 delegates. Rick Santorum has won four contests for 61 delegates. Newt Gingrich has won one for 39 delegates. Ron Paul has not one any but has 33 delegates.
Super Tuesday, March 6th will see ten states vote. Romeny is expected to win Mass (his home state), Vermont, Virginia (Gingrich and Santorum are not on that ballot), and Idaho. He wants to win Ohio, a critical swing state in November. Santorum is challenging him there and the race is close. Santorum is also battling Newt for Tennessee and Oklahoma, and Newt is expected to win Georgia (his home state) and battle for Tennessee and Oklahoma based on his southern strategy. Alaska is up for grabs. The proportionality of these races means that each candidate will win some delegates.
Nonetheless, if Romney wins Mass, Vermont, Virginia, Idaho, and Ohio (fully half of the states on Super Tuesday) and Gingrich and Santorum split the rest, Romney will clearly be in the driver's seat and be positioned for a chance to win the nomination outright. On the other hand, if a united Santorum and Gingrich vote would beat Romney in some states, then a clear strategy for either Gingrich or Santorum to throw in with the other will be the only path to stop Romney and have a stronger conservative potentially win the nomination.
In my opinion, the tough primary is strengthening the candidates, keeping the GOP message in the news (despite attacks on each other), and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dimsal failures. So, here's the table as of March 1st, 2012. I have it going out through the Primary in Texas, but will extend it if necessary.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 | |||
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 | |||
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 | |||
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 | ||||
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 | ||||
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |||||
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 | ||||
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | 5,134 | 10.76% | 2 | 21,436 | 44.94% | 6 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |||||
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |||||
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 451,756 | 29 | |||||||
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 15 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | 377,521 | 38.99% | 15 | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 968,148 | 30 | ||||||||
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 7 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | 3 | 0.14% | 2 | 0.09% | 2 | 0.09% | 2 | 0.09% | 2,108 | 26 | ||||||||
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Georgia | S | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Idaho | u | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Massachusetts | p | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota | e | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ohio | r | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oklahoma | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | T | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vermont | u | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virginia | e | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 3/10/2012 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guam | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virgin Islands | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 1,812,616 | 40.66% | 181 | 7 | 987,610 | 22.15% | 39 | 1 | 1,070,214 | 24.01% | 61 | 4 | 493,139 | 11.06% | 33 | 0 | 49,897 | 1.12% | 2 | 23,630 | 0.53% | 0 | 10,856 | 0.24% | 0 | 10,038 | 0.23% | 0 | 4,458,000 | 1450 |
Newt has a lot of great idaes and excites people. Romney will probably draw more independents and moderates and knows economic issues from the private sector standpoint better than any other. Paul is very constitutional in his approach to money and economics and foreign policy, but his achillies heel for me is his stance on Iran where he would in essence ignore their nuclear efforts and allow them to proceed unhindered. Santorum has waged a campaign of hard work and faith. He's not "stellar" and does not project a lot of glitter...but he's very steady.
If you have a mind, please ping others to this GOP PRimary Tracker page.
America is at the crossroads of history and we must choose aright
(http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm)
Jeff Head
March 1, 2012
Once agaion, a combined more conservative vote would have defeated Romney. As it is, he took the lion's share of the delegates.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | 0 | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | 0 | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | 0 | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | 0 | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | 0 | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | 0 | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | 0 | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | 0 | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | 0 | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | 0 | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | 0 | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | 0 | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | 0 | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | 0 | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | 0 | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | 0 | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | 0 | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | 0 | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | 0 | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | 0 | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | 0 | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | 0 | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | 0 | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | 0 | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | 0 | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | 0 | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 38.99% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.65% | 0 | 0 | 12,089 | 24.66% | 5 | 0 | 12,594 | 25.69% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 49.015 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | 0 | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | 0 | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Georgia | S | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Idaho | u | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Massachusetts | p | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota | e | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ohio | r | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oklahoma | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | T | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vermont | u | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virginia | e | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 3/10/2012 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guam | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virgin Islands | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 1,831,727 | 40.64% | 213 | 8 | 992,831 | 22.03% | 39 | 1 | 1,082,303 | 24.01% | 85 | 4 | 505,733 | 11.22% | 44 | 0 | 49,897 | 1.12% | 2 | 23,630 | 0.53% | 0 | 10,856 | 0.24% | 0 | 10,038 | 0.23% | 0 | 4,458,000 | 1450 |
Once agaion, a combined more conservative vote would have defeated Romney. As it is, he took the lion's share of the delegates.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | 0 | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | 0 | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | 0 | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | 0 | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | 0 | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | 0 | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | 0 | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | 0 | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | 0 | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | 0 | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | 0 | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | 0 | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | 0 | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | 0 | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | 0 | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | 0 | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | 0 | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | 0 | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | 0 | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | 0 | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | 0 | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | 0 | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | 0 | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | 0 | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | 0 | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | 0 | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 38.99% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.65% | 0 | 0 | 12,089 | 24.66% | 5 | 0 | 12,594 | 25.69% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 49.015 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | 0 | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | 0 | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Georgia | S | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Idaho | u | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Massachusetts | p | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota | e | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ohio | r | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oklahoma | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | T | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vermont | u | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virginia | e | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 3/10/2012 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guam | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virgin Islands | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 1,831,727 | 40.64% | 213 | 8 | 992,831 | 22.03% | 39 | 1 | 1,082,303 | 24.01% | 85 | 4 | 505,733 | 11.22% | 44 | 0 | 49,897 | 1.12% | 2 | 23,630 | 0.53% | 0 | 10,856 | 0.24% | 0 | 10,038 | 0.23% | 0 | 4,458,000 | 1450 |
Thanks for the ping!
In the popular vote, to date Romney leads with over 3.2 million votes which is right at 40%. Santorum is second with 2 million votes or 26% , Gingrich is third with 1.8 million votes or 22% and Ron Paul is fourth with 900 thousand votes or 11%.
The effectiveness of Romney's campaign however, can be measured in his delegate count. Although he has only one 40% of the popular vote, this has translated to date into 431 delgates or 54% of the total delegates awarded to date. Santorum follows with 176 delegates or 21%, Gingrich with 126 or 15% and Paul with 79 delegates or 10%. At this rate, Romney has a good chance of winning the delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the convention, but it will go on until late in the season.
So, after Santorum's three win in February, Romney bounced back with five straight wins. On March 6th, Super Tuesday, Romney added six more wins, Santorum three more, and Gingrich one more. Romney is estatic about coming from behind and winning Ohio, though it was a near thing. Because of the closeness of the Ohio votes, and his other three wins, Santorum vows to stay in. Gingrich because of his strong win in his home state of Georgia also vows to stay in, and there was never any question, even with no wins, that Ron Paul will stay in on principle.
In my opinion, the tough primary season, despite pundents prognostications, continues to strengthen the candidates, keeping the GOP message at the top of the news cycle, and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dismal failures. Here's the GOPTracking results now after Super Tuesday.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | - | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | - | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | - | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | - | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | - | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | - | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | - | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | - | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | - | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | - | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | - | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | - | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | - | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | - | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | - | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | - | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | - | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | - | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | - | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | - | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | - | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | - | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | - | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | - | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | - | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 37.65% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.28% | 0 | - | 12,089 | 23.81% | 5 | - | 12,594 | 24.81% | 5 | - | 924 | 1.82% | 0 | 437 | 0.86% | 0 | 198 | 0.39% | 0 | 190 | 0.37% | 0 | 50,764 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | - | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | - | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | - | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 4,285 | 32.52% | 8 | 9 | 1,856 | 14.09% | 3 | - | 3,860 | 29.30% | 7 | - | 3,175 | 24.10% | 6 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,176 | 24 |
Georgia | S | 225,926 | 25.18% | 15 | - | 417,364 | 47.81% | 47 | 2 | 172,473 | 19.76% | 10 | - | 57,125 | 6.54% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 872,888 | 76 |
Idaho | u | 27,514 | 61.61% | 32 | 10 | 940 | 2.11% | 0 | - | 8,115 | 18.17% | 0 | - | 8,086 | 18.11% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 44,655 | 32 |
Massachusetts | p | 260,509 | 73.29% | 41 | 11 | 16,756 | 4.71% | 0 | - | 43,6114 | 12.27% | 0 | - | 34,575 | 9.735 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 355,455 | 41 |
N. Dakota | e | 2,691 | 23.71% | 7 | - | 961 | 8.48% | 2 | - | 4,510 | 39.74% | 11 | 5 | 3,186 | 28.07% | 8 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 11,349 | 28 |
Ohio | r | 453,927 | 38.93% | 32 | 12 | 174,606 | 14.78% | 10 | - | 441,908 | 37.42% | 20 | - | 110,633 | 9.37% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 1,181,074 | 66 |
Oklahoma | 80,291 | 28.34% | 13 | - | 78,686 | 27.77% | 13 | - | 96,759 | 34.15% | 14 | 6 | 27,572 | 9.73% | 13 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 283,208 | 43 | |
Tennessee | T | 153,889 | 28.46% | 18 | - | 132,142 | 24.43% | 12 | - | 204,978 | 37.90% | 26 | 7 | 49,782 | 9.21% | 2 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 540,791 | 58 |
Vermont | u | 22,533 | 41.01% | 9 | 13 | 4,606 | 8.39% | 0 | - | 13,401 | 24.39% | 4 | - | 14,407 | 26.22% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 54,949 | 17 |
Virginia | e | 158,050 | 59.52% | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 107,470 | 40.48% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 265,520 | 49 |
Kansas | 3/10/2012 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guam | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Virgin Islands | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 3,221,342 | 39.61% | 431 | 14 | 1,820,751 | 22.39% | 124 | 2 | 2,071,921 | 25.48% | 183 | 7 | 921,744 | 11.33% | 78 | 0 | 50,821 | 1.13% | 2 | 24,067 | 0.53% | 0 | 11,054 | 0.25% | 0 | 10,228 | 0.23% | 0 | 8,131,928 | 814 | |
To Date % of | Delegates | Romney | 53% | Gingrich | 15% | Santorum | 21% | Paul | 10% | Huntsman | <1% | Perry | 0% | Bachman | 0% | Cain | 0% |
Romney will most probably at this point begin to pivot and focus more and more on going head to head with Obama and concentrating on finding a VP pick that will solidify as much of the party and base as he can for the general election.
Only by uniting, can Santorum and Gingrich now prevent Romney from having a real strong chance of winning the nomination outright. At this point I think the best they can hope for is a brokered convention...otherwise, mathematically, I believe Romney will ultimately eak out a win...probably at the 50-55% range of delegates needed. It seems at this point, for whatever reason, that Gingrich and Santorum are unwilling to unite, so they will continue to split the more conservative vote and allow Romney to win more contests and win a larger proportion of delegates in so doing. In the end, I will support any of the GOP candidates, whichever wins the nomination against the abject marxist ideolog, Obama, as any one of them will be far better than Barack Obama. Four more years of his horrific leadership and fundamental change could easily put this nation in a economic, debt, foreign policy, and energy hole we will have a very difficult and very painful time of digging our way out of...and at the cost of decades of heavy burden placed on our children and grandchildren.
If you have a mind, please ping others to this GOP Primary Tracker page.
America is at the crossroads of history and we must choose aright
(http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm)
Jeff Head
March 7, 2012
For pete's sake, the two of them are combined getting nearly 50% of the popular vote added together, and Romney barely gets past 39%.
The Democrats did this in 1972 and 1976 against George Wallace. Classic reverse case. A conservative, anti establishment candidate was racking up a terrible storm in state by state, taking on the moderate/liberal Dem. ESTABLISHMENT, so they got behind closed doors and they said "you take Wallace on this state and the rest of us will stay out", and "you take Wallace down in this state (i.e. Carter), and the rest stay out", etc. etc. It was called the ABW movement. Anybody but Wallace. And for all intents and purposes, it worked.
The “ABW” strategy within the Democrat Party may well have been in 1976 rather than in 1972, I forget which, although I do know in 1972 he was stopped by an assailant in a shopping center. So I assume their anti-Wallace powows were in 76.
Thanks for this summary and update Jeff. Interesting.
Right now with the delegate count, Romney is playing a disciplined and smart campaign for himself, ammassing over 50% of the delegates with just 40% of the vote. the two of them together (Newt and Rick) could stop that if they come together and one of them steps back for the betterment of the country.
That's 177 more delegates in the next five days. Important stuff and we will see how the candidates fair. If Santorum can take Alabama and Mississippi, then Newt will probably be compelled to drop out and throw in behind Rick. If not, then I guess they keep on splitting the vote.
Got it. I look forward to your post.
As I have stated, Santorum and Gingrich have to unite soon to stop Romney. If Santorum can upset Gingrich's southern strategy and win Mississippi and Alabama, perhaps then Gingrich will throw in behind Santorum.
Here's the latest data.
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | - | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | - | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | - | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | - | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | - | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | - | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | - | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | - | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | - | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | - | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | - | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | - | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | - | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | - | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | - | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | - | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | - | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | - | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | - | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | - | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | - | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | - | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | - | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | - | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | - | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 37.65% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.28% | 0 | - | 12,089 | 23.81% | 5 | - | 12,594 | 24.81% | 5 | - | 924 | 1.82% | 0 | 437 | 0.86% | 0 | 198 | 0.39% | 0 | 190 | 0.37% | 0 | 50,764 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | - | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | - | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | - | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 4,285 | 32.52% | 8 | 9 | 1,856 | 14.09% | 3 | - | 3,860 | 29.30% | 7 | - | 3,175 | 24.10% | 6 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,176 | 24 |
Georgia | S | 225,926 | 25.18% | 15 | - | 417,364 | 47.81% | 47 | 2 | 172,473 | 19.76% | 10 | - | 57,125 | 6.54% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 872,888 | 76 |
Idaho | u | 27,514 | 61.61% | 32 | 10 | 940 | 2.11% | 0 | - | 8,115 | 18.17% | 0 | - | 8,086 | 18.11% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 44,655 | 32 |
Massachusetts | p | 260,509 | 73.29% | 41 | 11 | 16,756 | 4.71% | 0 | - | 43,6114 | 12.27% | 0 | - | 34,575 | 9.735 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 355,455 | 41 |
N. Dakota | e | 2,691 | 23.71% | 7 | - | 961 | 8.48% | 2 | - | 4,510 | 39.74% | 11 | 5 | 3,186 | 28.07% | 8 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 11,349 | 28 |
Ohio | r | 453,927 | 38.93% | 32 | 12 | 174,606 | 14.78% | 10 | - | 441,908 | 37.42% | 20 | - | 110,633 | 9.37% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 1,181,074 | 66 |
Oklahoma | 80,291 | 28.34% | 13 | - | 78,686 | 27.77% | 13 | - | 96,759 | 34.15% | 14 | 6 | 27,572 | 9.73% | 13 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 283,208 | 43 | |
Tennessee | T | 153,889 | 28.46% | 18 | - | 132,142 | 24.43% | 12 | - | 204,978 | 37.90% | 26 | 7 | 49,782 | 9.21% | 2 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 540,791 | 58 |
Vermont | u | 22,533 | 41.01% | 9 | 13 | 4,606 | 8.39% | 0 | - | 13,401 | 24.39% | 4 | - | 14,407 | 26.22% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 54,949 | 17 |
Virginia | e | 158,050 | 59.52% | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 107,470 | 40.48% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 265,520 | 49 |
Guam | 3/10/2012 | 215 | 100% | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 215 | 9 |
Marianna Is | 738 | 87.03% | 9 | 16 | 29 | 3.42% | 0 | - | 27 | 3.18% | 0 | - | 54 | 6.37% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 9 | |
Virgin Is | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Am Somoa | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DC | 4/3/2012 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maryland | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 155 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
At large Del's | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 3,222,295 | 39.62% | 455 | 16 | 1,820,777 | 22.39% | 125 | 2 | 2,071,948 | 25.48% | 177 | 7 | 921,798 | 11.33% | 90 | 0 | 50,821 | 0.62% | 2 | 24,067 | 0.30% | 0 | 11,054 | 0.14% | 0 | 10,228 | 0.13% | 0 | 8,132,988 | 849 | |
To Date % of | Delegates | Romney | 54% | Gingrich | 15% | Santorum | 21% | Paul | 11% | Huntsman | <1% | Perry | 0% | Bachman | 0% | Cain | 0% |
I will post more after Kansas results are in tonight.
Thanks Jeff.
Bttt
All eyes now on Tuesday and Mississippi and Alabama, though, once again in delegates, if Romney takes Hawaii and Samoa, then with the proportion he wins in Mississippi and Alabama, he will probably add up to slightly more delegates for him overall.
That's how he is playing it. He has the organization and the money to be in all the places, including the small ones like Samoa where another 9 delegates goes down almost completely uncontested.
Rick and Gingrich simply have to unite if they hope to stop Romney having the chance to win the nomination outright.
Here's the latest as of this morning, the 11th from my GOP PRIMARY TRACKER (I have commentary there too):
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | - | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | - | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | - | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | - | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | - | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | - | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | - | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | - | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | - | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | - | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | - | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | - | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | - | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | - | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | - | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | - | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | - | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | - | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | - | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | - | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | - | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | - | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | - | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | - | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | - | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 37.65% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.28% | 0 | - | 12,089 | 23.81% | 5 | - | 12,594 | 24.81% | 5 | - | 924 | 1.82% | 0 | 437 | 0.86% | 0 | 198 | 0.39% | 0 | 190 | 0.37% | 0 | 50,764 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | - | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | - | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | - | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 4,285 | 32.52% | 8 | 9 | 1,856 | 14.09% | 3 | - | 3,860 | 29.30% | 7 | - | 3,175 | 24.10% | 6 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,176 | 24 |
Georgia | S | 225,926 | 25.18% | 15 | - | 417,364 | 47.81% | 47 | 2 | 172,473 | 19.76% | 10 | - | 57,125 | 6.54% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 872,888 | 76 |
Idaho | u | 27,514 | 61.61% | 32 | 10 | 940 | 2.11% | 0 | - | 8,115 | 18.17% | 0 | - | 8,086 | 18.11% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 44,655 | 32 |
Massachusetts | p | 260,509 | 73.29% | 41 | 11 | 16,756 | 4.71% | 0 | - | 43,6114 | 12.27% | 0 | - | 34,575 | 9.735 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 355,455 | 41 |
N. Dakota | e | 2,691 | 23.71% | 7 | - | 961 | 8.48% | 2 | - | 4,510 | 39.74% | 11 | 5 | 3,186 | 28.07% | 8 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 11,349 | 28 |
Ohio | r | 453,927 | 38.93% | 32 | 12 | 174,606 | 14.78% | 10 | - | 441,908 | 37.42% | 20 | - | 110,633 | 9.37% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 1,181,074 | 66 |
Oklahoma | 80,291 | 28.34% | 13 | - | 78,686 | 27.77% | 13 | - | 96,759 | 34.15% | 14 | 6 | 27,572 | 9.73% | 13 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 283,208 | 43 | |
Tennessee | T | 153,889 | 28.46% | 18 | - | 132,142 | 24.43% | 12 | - | 204,978 | 37.90% | 26 | 7 | 49,782 | 9.21% | 2 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 540,791 | 58 |
Vermont | u | 22,533 | 41.01% | 9 | 13 | 4,606 | 8.39% | 0 | - | 13,401 | 24.39% | 4 | - | 14,407 | 26.22% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 54,949 | 17 |
Virginia | e | 158,050 | 59.52% | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 107,470 | 40.48% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 265,520 | 49 |
Guam | 3/10/2012 | 215 | 100% | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 215 | 9 |
Marianna Is | 738 | 87.03% | 9 | 16 | 29 | 3.42% | 0 | - | 27 | 3.18% | 0 | - | 54 | 6.37% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 9 | |
Virgin Is | 132 | 46.32% | 7 | 17 | 18 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 23 | 8.07% | 0 | - | 112 | 39.30% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 8 | |
Kansas | 6,250 | 21.11% | 7 | - | 4,298 | 14.52% | 0 | - | 15,290 | 51.65% | 33 | 8 | 3,767 | 12.72% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 29,605 | 40 | |
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 50 |
Am Somoa | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
Hawaii | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
Mississippi | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 40 | |
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 69 |
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 46 |
DC | 4/3/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Maryland | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 37 | |
Wisconsin | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 42 | |
Conn | 4/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Deleware | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
New York | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 95 | |
Pennsylvania | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 72 | |
Rhode Il | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 | |
At large Del's | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 3,228,677 | 39.55% | 471 | 17 | 1,825,093 | 22.36% | 125 | 2 | 2,087,261 | 25.57% | 208 | 8 | 925,677 | 11.34% | 89 | 0 | 50,821 | 0.62% | 2 | 24,067 | 0.29% | 0 | 11,054 | 0.13% | 0 | 10,228 | 0.13% | 0 | 8,162,878 | 896 | |
To Date % of | Delegates | Romney | 53% | Gingrich | 14% | Santorum | 23% | Paul | 10% | Huntsman | 0.22% | Perry | 0% | Bachman | 0% | Cain | 0% |
Thanks for the update Jeff.
On Tuesday, March 13, 2012, four Primaries and Caucuses were held for the GOP Presidential Primary, Alabama (50), Mississippi (40), Hawaii (20), and American Samoa (9) for a total of 119 delegates. This marked the big test of Newt Gingrich's "Southern Strategy" wherein he hoped to begin winning the majority of the southern states in order to place himself back in contention. For Romney it offered the opportunity for a potential "knock out punch" if he could win both Southern states by showing he could win in the very conservative south. For Santorum it offered the opportunity to solidify himself as the clear conservative alternative to the leader, Mitt Romney.
Santorum won both Alabama and Mississippi, but by small marins, 2-5%. Romney, though hoping for perhaps at least one victory, did not win either...but still did relatively well staying very competitive to the other two and getting close to a third of the delegates. In fact, all three men basically spit the votes and the delegates into thirds, with Santorum winning a few percentage points (and delegates) more than that.
It was heralded as a big victory for Santorum, and it was, because he can and will bring much more pressure to bear on Gingrich to unite with him and throw his weight and campaign behind Santorum's. To date Gingrich indicates he will not do that. In the two southern states Santorum took 31 delegates, Gingrich took 24 and Romney got 23.
But later in the night (actually the early morning) the results from Hawaii and American Samoa came in. They completely blunted Santorum's delegate win. Romney won Samoa taking all 9 delegates, and he handliy won Hawaii by over 20 points and took 15 of the 20 delegates there. This means that for the night, ROmney picked up 47 delegates, Santorum got 32, and Gingrich got 25, and Pual got 4. Romney increased his delegate lead count significantly, even though Santorum won Alabama and Mississippi. This shows that Romney's bull dog tactics, taking advantage of Gingrich and Santorum splitting the more conservative vote are working, further increasing his lead in delegate counts, which he is focused on like a laser, with each set of contests.
In the overall race to date, Romney now leads in popular vote with over 3.5 million votes with 38.50%. Santorum is second with 2.4 million votes or 26.35% , Gingrich is third with 2.1 million votes or 23% and Ron Paul is fourth with 974 thousand votes or 10.7%. But, although he has only won 38.5% of the popular vote, this has translated to date into 520 delgates or 52% of the total delegates awarded to date. Santorum follows with 249 delegates or 21%, Gingrich with 148 or 15% and Paul with 83 delegates or 11%. At this rate, Romney has a clear chance of clinching the nomination before the convention.
In my opinion, this tough primary season, despite pundents prognostications, continues to strengthen the candidates, keeping the GOP message at the top of the news cycle, and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dismal failures. Here's the GOPTracking results as of Sunday, March 11, 2012:
2012 GOP Primaries | Date | Mitt Romney | Newt Gingrich | Rick Santorum | Ron Paul | Ron Huntsman | Rick Perry | Michele Bachman | Herman Cain | Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Win | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | % | Del's | Votes | Del's | ||
Iowa | 1/3/2012 | 29,805 | 24.58% | 7 | - | 16,163 | 13.33% | 2 | - | 29,839 | 24.61% | 7 | 1 | 26,036 | 21.47% | 7 | - | 739 | 0.61% | 0 | 12,557 | 10.36% | 0 | 6,046 | 4.99% | 0 | 58 | 0.05% | 0 | 121,243 | 23 |
New Hamp | 1/10/2012 | 97,601 | 39.81% | 7 | 1 | 23,291 | 9.50% | 0 | - | 23,362 | 9.53% | 0 | - | 56,872 | 23.20% | 3 | - | 41,783 | 17.04% | 2 | 1,764 | 0.72% | 0 | 350 | 0.14% | 0 | 160 | 0.07% | 0 | 245,183 | 12 |
South Caro | 1/21/2012 | 168,152 | 27.86% | 2 | - | 244,133 | 40.44% | 23 | 1 | 102,492 | 16.98% | 0 | - | 78,362 | 12.98% | 0 | - | 1,173 | 0.19% | 0 | 2,534 | 0.42% | 0 | 491 | 0.08% | 0 | 6,326 | 1.05% | 0 | 603,663 | 25 |
Florida | 1/31/2012 | 776,059 | 46.44% | 50 | 2 | 534,040 | 31.96% | 0 | - | 223,208 | 13.36% | 0 | - | 117,410 | 7.03% | 0 | - | 6,199 | 0.37% | 0 | 6,773 | 0.41% | 0 | 3,967 | 0.24% | 0 | 3,492 | 0.21% | 0 | 1,671,148 | 50 |
Nevada | 2/4/2012 | 16,486 | 50.12% | 14 | 3 | 6,956 | 21.15% | 6 | - | 3,277 | 9.96% | 3 | - | 6,175 | 18.77% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 32,894 | 28 |
Main | 2,190 | 39.65% | 9 | 4 | 349 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 989 | 17.90% | 3 | - | 1,996 | 36.13% | 7 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 5,524 | 19 | |
Colorado | 2/7/2012 | 22,875 | 35.00% | 13 | - | 8,394 | 12.84% | 1 | - | 26,372 | 40.35% | 17 | 2 | 7,713 | 11.80% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 65,354 | 32 |
Minnesota | 8,096 | 16.97% | 2 | - | 5,134 | 10.76% | 1 | - | 21,436 | 44.94% | 25 | 3 | 13,030 | 27.32% | 9 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 47,696 | 14 | |
Missouri | 63,826 | 26.24% | 0 | - | 9,859 | 4.05% | 0 | - | 138,957 | 57.12% | 0 | 4 | 30,641 | 12.59% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 243,283 | 0 | |
Arizona | 2/28/2012 | 216,805 | 47.99% | 29 | 5 | 74,110 | 16.40% | 0 | - | 122,088 | 27.03% | 0 | - | 38,753 | 8.58% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 451,756 | 29 |
Michigan | 409,899 | 42.34% | 16 | 6 | 65,016 | 6.72% | 0 | - | 377,521 | 38.99% | 14 | - | 115,712 | 11.95% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 968,148 | 30 | |
Washington | 3/3/2012 | 19,111 | 37.65% | 30 | 7 | 5,221 | 10.28% | 0 | - | 12,089 | 23.81% | 5 | - | 12,594 | 24.81% | 5 | - | 924 | 1.82% | 0 | 437 | 0.86% | 0 | 198 | 0.39% | 0 | 190 | 0.37% | 0 | 50,764 | 40 |
Wyoming | 822 | 38.99% | 10 | 8 | 165 | 7.83% | 1 | - | 673 | 31.93% | 9 | - | 439 | 20.83% | 6 | - | 3 | 0.14% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2 | 0.09% | 0 | 2,108 | 26 | |
Alaska | 3/6/2012 | 4,285 | 32.52% | 8 | 9 | 1,856 | 14.09% | 3 | - | 3,860 | 29.30% | 7 | - | 3,175 | 24.10% | 6 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,176 | 24 |
Georgia | S | 225,926 | 25.18% | 15 | - | 417,364 | 47.81% | 47 | 2 | 172,473 | 19.76% | 10 | - | 57,125 | 6.54% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 872,888 | 76 |
Idaho | u | 27,514 | 61.61% | 32 | 10 | 940 | 2.11% | 0 | - | 8,115 | 18.17% | 0 | - | 8,086 | 18.11% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 44,655 | 32 |
Massachusetts | p | 260,509 | 73.29% | 41 | 11 | 16,756 | 4.71% | 0 | - | 43,6114 | 12.27% | 0 | - | 34,575 | 9.735 | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 355,455 | 41 |
N. Dakota | e | 2,691 | 23.71% | 7 | - | 961 | 8.48% | 2 | - | 4,510 | 39.74% | 11 | 5 | 3,186 | 28.07% | 8 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 11,349 | 28 |
Ohio | r | 453,927 | 38.93% | 32 | 12 | 174,606 | 14.78% | 10 | - | 441,908 | 37.42% | 20 | - | 110,633 | 9.37% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 1,181,074 | 66 |
Oklahoma | 80,291 | 28.34% | 13 | - | 78,686 | 27.77% | 13 | - | 96,759 | 34.15% | 14 | 6 | 27,572 | 9.73% | 13 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 283,208 | 43 | |
Tennessee | T | 153,889 | 28.46% | 18 | - | 132,142 | 24.43% | 12 | - | 204,978 | 37.90% | 26 | 7 | 49,782 | 9.21% | 2 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 540,791 | 58 |
Vermont | u | 22,533 | 41.01% | 9 | 13 | 4,606 | 8.39% | 0 | - | 13,401 | 24.39% | 4 | - | 14,407 | 26.22% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 54,949 | 17 |
Virginia | e | 158,050 | 59.52% | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 107,470 | 40.48% | 5 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 265,520 | 49 |
Guam | 3/10/2012 | 215 | 100% | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 215 | 9 |
Marianna Is | 738 | 87.03% | 9 | 16 | 29 | 3.42% | 0 | - | 27 | 3.18% | 0 | - | 54 | 6.37% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 9 | |
Virgin Is | 132 | 46.32% | 7 | 17 | 18 | 6.32% | 0 | - | 23 | 8.07% | 0 | - | 112 | 39.30% | 1 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 848 | 8 | |
Kansas | 6,250 | 21.11% | 7 | - | 4,298 | 14.52% | 0 | - | 15,290 | 51.65% | 33 | 8 | 3,767 | 12.72% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 29,605 | 40 | |
Alabama | 3/13/2012 | 178,601 | 29.70% | 11 | - | 179,919 | 29.92% | 12 | - | 212,343 | 35,31% | 18 | 9 | 30,494 | 5.07% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 601,357 | 50 |
Mississippi | 85,922 | 30.66% | 12 | - | 88,676 | 31.64% | 12 | - | 93,182 | 33.25% | 13 | 10 | 12,498 | 4.46% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 40- | |
Am Samoa | 70 | 100% | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
Hawaii | 4,250 | 45.38% | 15 | 18 | 1,034 | 11.04% | 0 | - | 2,369 | 25.30% | 1 | - | 1,712 | 18.28% | 4 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 40 | |
Missouri | 3/17/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Puerto Rico | 3/18/2024 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Illinois | 3/20/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 69 |
Louisiana | 3/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 46 |
DC | 4/3/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Maryland | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 37 | |
Wisconsin | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 42 | |
Conn | 4/24/2012 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Deleware | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
New York | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 95 | |
Pennsylvania | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 72 | |
Rhode Il | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | - | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 28 | |
At large Del's | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTALS | 3,513,072 | 38.50% | 520 | 19 | 2,103,711 | 23.05% | 148 | 2 | 2,404,803 | 26.35% | 249 | 10 | 974,095 | 10.68% | 83 | 0 | 64,481 | 0.71% | 2 | 38,011 | 0.42% | 0 | 16,529 | 0.18% | 0 | 10,228 | 0.11% | 0 | 9,125,930 | 1002 | |
To Date % of | Delegates | Romney | 52% | Gingrich | 15% | Santorum | 21% | Paul | 9.7% | Huntsman | 0.30% | Perry | 0% | Bachman | 0% | Cain | 0% |
Again, it is even more clear after these primaries, that only by uniting, can Santorum and Gingrich prevent Romney from having the chance of winning the nomination outright. It would not have helped in Hawaii or American Samoa, but it would have given a much larger delegate count to the single more conservative candidate in Alabama and Mississippi. If they do not do this soon, mathematically, Romney will ultimately eak out a win and reach the golden number of delegates before the convention, sometime probably in late May or early June. It still seems, for whatever reason, that Gingrich is unwilling to do this.
With Gingrich's "southern strategy" now in a shambles (He has won two (Georigia and South Carolina), Romney has won two (Florida and Virginia) and Santorum has won three (Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama)), the pressure on Gingrich to unite behind Santorum is going to grow in both strength and urgency. Seven southern states votes and Santorum i ss leading the pack with three and Romney and Gingrich with two each in the south.
Thanks again for this, Jeff. It’s interesting to see how it evolves.
I've added a US State and Territory map tracking the wins..
2012 GOP PRIMARY CAMPAIGN TRACKER JLHNews, March 19, 2012 On Saturday, March 17, 2012, Mitt Romney won the Puerto Rico GOP caucuses overwhelmingly, ammassing 83% of the vote and capturing all 20 delegates. Both Santorum and Romney had campaigned there, but the Island went overwhelming for Romney. It tuens out all of the US terrirories (four of them) have all gone overwhelmingly for Romney, with very high percentages and have given him 45 felegates altogether. Eyes are now on Illinois, a large state that is generally democratic (Barack Obama's home state), but where the GOP hopes to make in-roads. Santorum has campaigned heavily there hoping for an upset, and the polls had been close within the last two weeks, with Santorum within 4-5 points...but now that lead for Romney is growing. A large win by ROmney in Illinois would be another feather in his delegate cap. In the overall race to date, Romney now leads in popular vote with over 3.6 million votes with 39.40%. Santorum is second with 2.4 million votes or 26% , Gingrich is third with 2.1 million votes or 23% and Ron Paul is fourth with 975 thousand votes or 11%. But, although he has only won 39.4% of the popular vote, this has translated to date into 532 delgates or 54% of the total delegates awarded to date. Santorum follows with 237 delegates or 24%, Gingrich with 139 or 14% and Paul with 66 delegates or 7%. At this rate, Romney has a clear chance of clinching the nomination before the convention. In my opinion, this tough primary season, despite pundents prognostications, continues to strengthen the candidates, keeping the GOP message at the top of the news cycle, and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dismal failures. Here's the GOPTracking results as of Sunday, March 11, 2012:
It becomes clearer and clearer after each contest, that only by uniting, can Santorum and Gingrich prevent Romney from winning the nomination outright. If they do not do this soon, mathematically, Romney will ultimately win and reach the golden number of delegates before the convention, sometime probably in late May or early June. It still seems, for whatever reason, that Gingrich is unwilling to do this. With Gingrich's "southern strategy" failing (He has won two (Georigia and South Carolina), Romney has won two (Florida and Virginia) and Santorum has won three (Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama)), the pressure on Gingrich to unite behind Santorum is going to grow in both strength and urgency. Seven southern states votes and Santorum is leading in the south with three and Romney and Gingrich with two each. In the end, I will support whichever of these candidates wins the GOP nomination against the abject marxist ideolog, Obama, as any one of them will be far better. Four more years of his horrific leadership and fundamental change could easily put this nation in a economic, debt, foreign policy, and energy hole we will have a very difficult and very painful time of digging our way out of...and at the cost of decades of heavy burden placed on our children and grandchildren if we can do so at all and reverse the trends and mechanisms Obama is putting in place. If you have a mind, please ping others to this GOP Primary Tracker page. America is at the Crossroads of History Jeff Head |
My critique of your analysis is that, unfortunately, not enough of the Gingrich/Santorum voting bloc would remain intact in that eventuality. After either Gingrich or Santorum dropped out, sufficient numbers of their bloc would migrate into Romney's camp to put him at or above the 50% level for the remainder of the primary contests, ultimately securing Mitt the nomination.
We really needed someone like Sarah Palin to step up in 2012. In retrospect, I believe she really missed an opportunity, although I also think she may very well have another opportunity in 2016, regardless of whether Romney or 0bama wins the general election.
And Perry probably should have stuck it out for a while longer. He might have been able to recover.
I really feel sorry for Newt, who I believe is the only announced candidate who could have decisively dominated 0bama both ideologically and intellectually in the general election debates.
I continue to have significant reservations about Santorum, and sincerely and honestly believe that he is "not ready for prime time", and while I would support his candidacy if he were to be nominated, I don't think he could win the general election if put to that ultimate test.
Romney is, of course, simply abysmal, and unlikely to energize conservatives enough to defeat the incumbent, even though 0bama is quite weak.
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