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Rasmussen in FL: Romney 44, Gingrich 28
HotAir ^ | 1/29/2012 | ED MORRISSEY

Posted on 01/29/2012 8:01:41 AM PST by TBBT

Five weeks ago, this might have been a game changer. Is this a case of too little, too late?

Atlanta businessman and former presidential candidate Herman Cain endorsed Newt Gingrich Saturday night at a West Palm Beach Country Republican gathering after two months of wavering on whether he would offer his support to a fellow candidate.

The endorsement comes just three days before the crucial Florida primary, by far the largest state to vote so far in the GOP sweepstakes, and could help Gingrich energize tea party support. Gingrich campaign has flagged since his upstart, double-digit victory over front-runner Mitt Romney in the South Carolina primary a week ago.

“I had it in my heart and mind a long time ago” to endorse Gingrich, Cain said in a surprise appearance at the dinner. “Speaker Gingrich is a patriot, Speaker Gingrich is not afraid of bold ideas, and I also know that Speaker Gingrich is … going through this sausage grinder. I know what this sausage grinder is all about. I know that he’s going through this sausage grinder because he cares about the future of the United States of America.”

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: poll; worstprimaryever
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To: TBBT

The latest reporting about Santorum continues to suggest that he has no intentions of getting out. This bodes well for Romney. Santorum has no prayer, but the longer he stays in the more he guarantees a Romney victory. Certainly Santorum can’t be delusional enough to think he can eventually win. So the question becomes, what’s he angling for?

A few things. There are many caucus’ coming up that he thinks he can win. Second, he feels that if he has enough delegates going into the convention who knows what eventually will happen. Third he still believes that Newt will falter and he will take his voters. The third one probably won’t happen although Newt needs to get back on his debate performances. He cannot allow what happened Thursday Night to happen ever again.


41 posted on 01/29/2012 8:29:00 AM PST by napscoordinator (Go Newt! Go Patriots (America's Team)! America's is going the right direction in 2012!!!)
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To: Forever Army

No ga is proportional but in each cong dist it’s winner take all.

I think newt could take them all btw. a metro atl district will likely fall tho.

So newt will get nearly all the 76. Va is 49 but i dunno if Va is winner take all.

In any event, this fla primary is not make or break for anyone except _maybe_ santorum.


42 posted on 01/29/2012 8:29:30 AM PST by Principled
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To: tsowellfan

Trump is not what we need.


43 posted on 01/29/2012 8:30:17 AM PST by conservativebuckeye
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To: sheikdetailfeather

I am in Florida and all the people I know are voting for Newt. We won’t be looking for polls to determine who we vote for.


44 posted on 01/29/2012 8:30:39 AM PST by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: tsowellfan

“....look for Trump to run...”

I am for Newt, however wouldn’t mind Trump. ABR


45 posted on 01/29/2012 8:32:30 AM PST by stonehouse01 (Equal rights for unborn women)
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To: TBBT

More on Santorum.... I indicated back in Iowa that the Santorum effect would put us where we are today. He stood no chance then. He has no chance today. I took a lot of heat for it... But only the blind could not see this coming.


46 posted on 01/29/2012 8:33:14 AM PST by TBBT
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To: deport

I love the way all these polls did CYA at the last minute.


47 posted on 01/29/2012 8:33:47 AM PST by ILS21R (Never give up.)
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To: ILS21R
So what changed in two days?

Newt's stellar performances at the debates. Rick Perry dropping out and endorsing Newt. Two game-changers that didn't happen in Florida.

I've noticed that on these many "Romney leads" threads, people are quick to quote the old SC polls and not the more recent ones. People need to remember the polls were actually correct. They called it for Gingrich and he won. Even Romney himself woke up knowing he'd come in second that Saturday morning.

48 posted on 01/29/2012 8:34:40 AM PST by Drew68
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To: tsowellfan

Florida is not an end game for Gingrich. Tennessee has just as many delegates as FL this year and Gingrich can still sweep the rest of the South. A liberal Mormon isn’t going to get it.


49 posted on 01/29/2012 8:35:13 AM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: TBBT

This is an exact replay of 4 years ago. The establishment ‘moderates’ united early around one single candidate. Conservatives have failed to coalesce around a single candidate and instead the conservative alternatives have spent much of their time and resources beating up on each other.

The Florida polls are all over the place now, but Gingrich’s post-SC bounce has faded. The most optimistic Florida polls have Gingrich about even. The most pessimistic polls (like this one) have Romney with a significant lead. Given Romney’s ground game and push for early voting, it sure looks like Romney comes out on top in winner-take-all Florida Tuesday, barring a significant game changer.

Hopefully, Gingrich is able to fight on and Santorum recognizes that he can only play spoiler at this point. But the meme from the MSM media following Tuesday is going to be relentless that the race is over and Republicans need to all unite behind Romney. That message is likely to move the national polls that still show Gingrich with a slight lead.

Year after year, conservatives have torpedoed themselves in the presidential primaries by putting forward too many alternative candidates and always delaying pulling out and endorsing other conservatives.

Let’s hope there still is time to get out the message that Romney will not to a thing to undo Obama’s vast expansion of the welfare state.


50 posted on 01/29/2012 8:35:41 AM PST by CaptainMorgantown
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To: KeyLargo

“Will Jim ask freepers to stay home in November?”

This isn’t a cult, dude. No man gives me my marching orders.


51 posted on 01/29/2012 8:35:49 AM PST by Matt Hatter
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To: GoCards

I will prob. vote Romney but will send no money and will not have sign in front of house, no bumper sticker and absolutely no walking the trenches. I have no eagerness to wake up on election day and vote Romeny

______________________________________

I heard a portion of a George Soros interview(I think he was overseas). In this excerpt he said that there was very little difference between Obama and Romney and that neither side was excited about the election. Soros predicted that this will be a boring election due to the lack of excietment. I’m not sure if he predicted an Obama reelection but I believe he may have, but that’s only because Obama’s his guy.

I haven’t decided what I intend to do as yet. In the end, I may do as you in hopes that Romney will hold true to he promise to repeal Obamacare. It’s more than likely an empty promise on his part, but it is something at least. After last Thursdays’s debate, I absolutely despise Romney.

It truly appears to me that the country will need to get a lot worse off before enough people wake up and demand something better.


52 posted on 01/29/2012 8:35:58 AM PST by navymom1
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To: TBBT

So how did that Romney “win” in Iowa work out? You have to be an idiot not to see what is going on here.


53 posted on 01/29/2012 8:36:32 AM PST by ILS21R (Never give up.)
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To: TBBT
****Much blame goes Newt's way. He blew it in the last two (critical) debates****

I agree with that. Especially on thursday night.

54 posted on 01/29/2012 8:37:14 AM PST by fkabuckeyesrule (Lets institute SARAH-ia law in America!)
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To: KeyLargo

Putting the cart ahead of the horse eh? A fight to win doesn’t mean crying home after the first swing.


55 posted on 01/29/2012 8:38:19 AM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: stonehouse01

I’m for Newt too. Besides, Trump would not enter the race if Newt wins the nomination. Even if he did I’d be voting for Newt but I know he wont.


56 posted on 01/29/2012 8:38:35 AM PST by tsowellfan (If its between Obama and Romney, there isnt all that much difference - George Soros)
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To: ILS21R

That poll was actually on the 16th. By the 18th-20th, every poll including Rasmussen had Gingrich in the lead.
So what changed in two days?

Yes it did because Newt had a kick a$$ debate two days before SC primary. Unfortunately in Florida Newt had bad debates (two of them). That is the big difference between SC and FL.


57 posted on 01/29/2012 8:38:45 AM PST by napscoordinator (Go Newt! Go Patriots (America's Team)! America's is going the right direction in 2012!!!)
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To: Timaeus

“If Romney wins we lose in the form of a progressive who insists his policies are “conservative”.”

So absolutely correct you are as the Leftist RINO’s have been busily redefining Conservatism over the past number of years to fit their Leftist agenda. They want the word Conservative to define them, and their goals. They want to fool all the people all the time.


58 posted on 01/29/2012 8:38:51 AM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Doc Justice
I am thoroughly disgusted with the GOP Establishment.

If Romney is the GOP it marks the end of the Republican Party.

It marks the end of you not seeing through what the GOP has really become; you are remembering a GOP that no longer exists. It took FAR longer than I care to admit for me to start actually seeing the ring of scum floating around the top of the GOP bathtub. I actually had a glimmer of hope in 2010, but the Republican "corrupt bastards club" managed to use the tea party movement for their own aggrandizement, then proceeded to kick them in the balls and enlist help from their collegial chums in the "other" party to shut down that "small-government rabble."

Mr. niteowl77

59 posted on 01/29/2012 8:39:26 AM PST by niteowl77 (Mitt Romney: the horse the GOP intends to ride into the abyss. Or is it the other way around?)
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To: PapaNew

I agree, and have said it before. Newt pleaded nolo contendere at the debate when Romney fired off a hail of “resigned in disgrace” at him. He should have refuted that on the spot. You have the floor, a nationally televised debate, that’s no time to be providing a bibliography entry called newt.org.
Several people on FR jumped on me for suggesting that seniors in FL get their input from the tv, not the internet; but PPP comes to the same conclusion. Seniors are breaking for Counterfeit Mitt.


60 posted on 01/29/2012 8:39:30 AM PST by Lady Lucky (A tea party in name only is worse than no tea party at all.)
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