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Poll: Romney slipping in South Carolina, holds just 2 point lead over Gingrich
thehill.com/blogs ^ | 1/12/2012 | Justin Sink

Posted on 01/12/2012 7:12:19 AM PST by TBBT

Despite a historic sweep of the first two nominating contests in the GOP field, Mitt Romney holds just a two percentage point lead in South Carolina, his smallest lead of 2012.

Romney is the favorite of 23 percent of South Carolina voters, narrowly edging Newt Gingrich's 21 percent, according to the latest poll from Insider Advantage. Rick Santorum pulls 14 percent of Palmetto state voters, while Ron Paul rounds out the top four with 13 percent. Jon Huntsman's seven percent and Rick Perry's five percent trail the pack.

The numbers could indicate that Gingrich's aggressive strategy - which has included controversial attacks on Mitt Romney's business and abortion records - is gaining him traction by hurting the GOP frontrunner.

In the three other major South Carolina polls completed in the new year, Romney was earning 37 percent, 27 percent, and 30 percent, according to Real Clear Politics - meaning his 23 percent in the latest poll marks a precipitous decline.

Gingrich, meanwhile, has maintained a steady band of support between 18 and 23 percent.

The poll may also signal the beginning of the end of the Santorum boomlet, who has fallen 10 percentage points from a Rasmussen poll released just after his near-win in the Iowa caucuses. That too could help Gingrich, who hopes conservatives in South Carolina will rally around his campaign as an alternative to Romney.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2012; gingrich; poll; romney; southcarolina
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To: TBBT
The value of South Carolina has less to do with the delegates won (even though it is winner take all) than the perception of momentum going into Florida, where every GOP nominee has been decided since at least 1960.

Newt is expected to do well here for the same reason that Mitt was expected to do well in New Hampshire: nearly home turf.

Santorum can still survive to fight in Florida with a respectable third place finish.

21 posted on 01/12/2012 8:09:42 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: faucetman

Guess what I just saw? Martha McCallum on America’s News HQ had Jim Talent with the Romney campaign on and they are making an ad to counterattack on the Bain ad by Newt. Well...remember when Newt sent out legal notice to all news media not to run the ad in which it says he was fined by the ethics committee because it is false and there will be legal ramifications? Well, Fox showed the whole ad at 10:30am just prior to Talent coming on and it said “Web ad” at the top of it. Isn’t that underhanded!! I just sent an email to Newt. Martha said “That was the old ad. They are coming out with a new one.”


22 posted on 01/12/2012 8:09:42 AM PST by sheikdetailfeather ("Kick The Communists Out Of Your Govt. And Don't Accept Their Goodies"-Yuri Bezmenov-KGB Defector)
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To: TBBT

Great news for the morning. Newt is going to do it.

GO NEWT GO.......


23 posted on 01/12/2012 8:09:51 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~..... GO NEWT GO.....!)
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To: TBBT
[Anti Newt headlines are ramping up in the media.] Photobucket ...and Rush is helping
24 posted on 01/12/2012 8:11:54 AM PST by RetSignman (I take responsibility for what I post not for what you understand.)
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The Most Electable?!


Click The Pic To Donate

He Faced Voters 22 Times And Lost 17 Of Those Times

Support FR, The Truth Serum

25 posted on 01/12/2012 8:14:28 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: dfwgator
Go, Newt, Go!

DITTO !!!!! We are not going to say - as Hewitt was saying yesterday - that Romney will be the candidate. ONLY TWO STATES HAVE VOTED !!!!
26 posted on 01/12/2012 8:14:37 AM PST by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Venturer
The first two—Iowa and New Hampshire—are a joke.

Always have been. Their shenanigans with cross voters, dead voters, vote buying, bussing in voters, coupled with the "gotta be first" bs have relegated them to "who gives a shiite" status.

The media pupmps it up because they have copy to sell, and commercial time to sell.

But, in the end, they mean absolutely nothing regards a general national election.

27 posted on 01/12/2012 8:18:09 AM PST by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: TBBT

Dont want Romney?

Want someone that fights?

Here you go.


28 posted on 01/12/2012 8:20:07 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: TBBT

I think SC has an OPEN PRIMARY which means democrats (dead and alive) and independents can vote.

So the Paul and Romney votes will pile on.To spoil any conservative from winning.


29 posted on 01/12/2012 8:25:08 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

The vast majority of SC democrats are black. They won’t crossover and vote. The few white libs that do crossover will vote for Paul. This isn’t Iowa or New Hampshire. I don’t think the number of democrats voting will have a significant impact, other than boosting Ron Paul a few percentage points.


30 posted on 01/12/2012 8:35:44 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: TBBT

I do NOT want Romney or Obama but could someone tell me why Gingrich called Ryan’s plan right wing and why he now endorses it?And is there anywhere in his contract with America that reigns in the senate and congress and cuts they’re pay?I don’t want a flame war.I realize it is all getting desperate.But I would like to know these things before I can support him.

http://www.newt.org/sites/newt.org/files/contract/21st_Century_Contract_Legislative_Proposals.pdf


31 posted on 01/12/2012 8:42:04 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

About all I know is that congressional salaries are not high enough to make them rich. They get rich because of inside deals and crony capitalism. However I believe their insurance and retirement are spectacular.


32 posted on 01/12/2012 8:54:12 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: bereanway

Like other things Perry has said and was trounced for by the media, his denouncement of the Bain Capital claims by Romney will be vindicated.


33 posted on 01/12/2012 9:06:08 AM PST by varina davis (Elect a real American patriot in 2012 -- Gov. Rick Perry)
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To: TBBT

IMHO, SC is the big test. Iowa was a close contest, and NH is next door to Massachusetts. How Romney does in South Carolina will mean more than either of the two previous races.

If he loses, or ekes out a plurality in a three-way horserace between Newt and Santorum, then I think the race is still very much open and there’s no real momentum for
Romney. In fact, if he loses by a large margin, it may start unraveling his campaign a bit.

OTOH, if Mitt Romney wins by a comfortable margin (8+ points or thereabouts) in SC, then I think it will mean there is something to the notion that some voters are seeing an inevitability to Romney as nominee, and will translate into momentum heading into Florida.

We’ll see, though.


34 posted on 01/12/2012 9:07:02 AM PST by DemforBush (May I have 10,000 marbles, please?)
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To: DJ MacWoW

Agreed. Cantor was supposed to pass a bill after the holidays (which would be now...)to end insider trading within.So with more tea party conservatives in there there is hope we can clean it all up.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45612773/Why_Is_Eric_Cantor_Blocking_the_Congressional_Insider_Trading_Act


35 posted on 01/12/2012 9:16:08 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

Absolutely. It’s disgusting that they get rich while giving America the shaft.


36 posted on 01/12/2012 9:24:40 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: TBBT
Gingrich-Santorum
 
or
 
Santorum-Gingrich

37 posted on 01/12/2012 9:28:16 AM PST by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: TBBT

Romney is not going to win in SC. If his campaign was the Axis powers in WWII, New Hampshire was his 1941. It’s all strategic retreat from here.


38 posted on 01/12/2012 9:32:25 AM PST by Antoninus (Defeat Romney--Defeat Obama.)
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To: All

It’s now or never for me and Palin.

She needs to use some political clout and endorse Gingrich prior to the South Carolina Primary.

This is too important to merely sit on the sidelines.

Political clout = Use it or lose it.


39 posted on 01/12/2012 9:35:00 AM PST by rbmillerjr (Conservative Economic and National Security Commentary: econus.blogspot.com)
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To: Mountain Mary

You are right. PPP’s numbers for Romney in Iowa and NH were much lower than the real outcome. Just sayin’.


40 posted on 01/12/2012 9:49:54 AM PST by CitizenReporter
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