Posted on 01/10/2012 2:16:46 PM PST by Libloather
Obamas real reelection problem
By John Feehery - 01/10/12 01:41 PM ET
The Chicago Sun-Timess Lynn Sweet picked out an interesting morsel in Jodi Kantors book about the Obama family:
When Michelle Obama worked in Mayor Daleys City Hall in the early 1990s, she was 'distressed' by how a small group of 'white Irish Catholic' families the Daleys, the Hynes and the Madigans 'locked up' power in Illinois.
"She particularly resented the way power in Illinois was locked up generation after generation by a small group of families, all white Irish Catholic the Daleys in Chicago, the Hynes and Madigans statewide.
Obama White House Chief of Staff Bill Daley, one of those hated white Irish Catholics, resigned the same weekend the books juiciest tidbits leaked out.
It is probably all just a coincidence, but sometimes coincidences reveal bigger truths.
And the bigger truth is that Bill Daley left the White House because he lost to Valerie Jarrett and to the presidents wife in the battle for the philosophical direction of the Obama White House.
I dont know if Michelle Obamas antipathy toward white Irish Catholics finally became too much of a barrier to Daley or not. But I do know that Daley was only ineffective because his boss would not let him be effective.
Bill Daley is a political pragmatist. He cuts deals. Like his father and his brother, he is not a left-wing ideologue; nor is he a Republican in Democratic clothing.
He is a pro-business Democrat, an increasingly rare breed these days in Washington.
Obama is not a pro-business Democrat. His wife is not a pro-business Democrat. They dont like the business community. They dont trust the free market. They want to spread wealth around (other peoples wealth, I might add).
It has become increasingly clear over the last several months that Obama has little interest in tacking to the political middle to improve his standing with the broad center of the country.
He has decided that he wants his presidency to mean something different, and he has made the fateful decision that he will govern as a left-wing political populist. That is why he has embraced the Occupy Wall Street movement, why he keeps using class-warfare rhetoric, why he has given up on deal-cutting, why he has decided to run against Congress rather than on his accomplishments.
But the problem for the president is that this tactic is not working with crucial swing voters. More specifically, it is not working with white voters.
As Ron Brownstein pointed out, in writing about an Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll released on Dec. 16, Obamas approval ratings among all white voters are absolutely terrible:
In 2008, he carried 52 percent of those college-educated white women, but attracted much smaller shares among college-educated white men (42 percent), white women without a college degree, the so-called waitress moms (41 percent) and the non-college white men (just 39 percent).
"The new survey shows that with all four groups his approval rating is appreciably lower than his 2008 performance. Hes fallen to 42 percent of the college-educated white women, 37 percent among the college-plus white men, just 34 percent among the non-college white men and all the way down to 30 percent with the waitress moms.
"Looking at whites by age underlines the picture of broad-based weakness. In 2008, Obama carried a 54 percent majority of whites under 30; but in the new poll his approval rating with them has tumbled to 39 percent.
"His standing with white seniors now is almost identical: In 2008, he won only 40 percent of them, and his approval rating with them now is 41 percent. His numbers are lowest with whites in the prime working years: just 29 percent of whites [age] 30-44, and 35 percent of whites 45-64 say they approve of his performance. In 2008, he won 41 percent of the former and 42 percent of the latter.
"Among all whites, now just 35 percent approve of his performance and 58 percent disapprove. Thats virtually identical to the results in the 2010 congressional election, when whites gave 60 percent of their votes to Republicans and just 37 percent to Democrats, according to the National Election Pool exit poll conducted by Edison Research ... "
Some might conclude that these white voters dont like Obama because they are inherently racist, but I think that is a dangerous and stupid conclusion. After all, Obama won the majority of white voters in the last election.
I think it is because the Obama White House has made the decision that it doesnt need those white voters to win. That may be true in 20 years, but it is not true today.
The swing vote in this next election is the same as it has been in the last six elections. It is the white working-class voter.
Ignoring and marginalizing Bill Daley might have pleased the wife and Valerie Jarrett, but Daleys departure is very bad news for Obamas hopes for reelection.
Those white Irish Catholics whom Michelle Obama so despises are the key to her husband's campaign success. And getting rid of Bill Daley is one more example of President Obamas real problem this coming election year.
That's a shame.
Remove ‘white Irish Catholic’, which is irrelevant and she DOES have a point.
That would have to be widely reported. Calling Michelle a racist would be “racist” so the media won’t do it.
Moochelle is by far the all time leading bi*** ever in the white house.
~ Larry Elder, "The Ten Things you Can't Say In America"
And Michelle Antoinette is more racist than Blacks.
No, the real bitch there is Bacrock himself.
Obama's been telling us that people should not be judged by what they look like.. after three years of his administration and as a white American Scot-Irish I want to know that I won't be judged for what I don't look like.
Every pore in her body secretes “I hate whitey”....All she cares about is black and money and power.
She took copious notes at Rev. Wrights services.
Exactly. Why blame racism on Michelle. Bracko is plenty racist in his own rite.
Michelle is one nasty piece of work, and a racist bigot to boot, but so is Bracko.
That’s right Bill Daley, you white Irish pro bid ness POS, get out.
Then work your butt off getting this anti bid ness anti white antiAmerican pos re-elected? I don’t think so.
So, obuma has publicly stated that he doesn’t like working honkies. Bad ju-ju, Buckwheat. When the Northern racist unionists meet up with the racist DC black pampers, it won’t be a pretty sight at the DNC convention in Charlotte.
And there ain’t a damn thing Buckwheat can do about the imminent conflagration. Holder’s “peeples” are going to get stomped into the concrete. The DNC hootnanny will be the ugliest political convention in American history. Charlotte will burn to the ground. General Sherman will approve.
I know tons of “waitress moms” who are “colledge-educated white women”.
If a Republican First Lady, being white, made such a remark about a cabal of Black politicians, one could imagine the MSM. All fiery hell would have been let loose. The eager Andersons and Joys of this world, coupled with the usual suspects would have screamed blue murder.
They are in the bag, if they do not at least make something of this. Express regret at least.
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