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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: BenKenobi
“Conservativism never loses”

We lost in 1992, 1996, and 2008. Insist on too far right and we will lose in 2012. And we are losing states which used to be red, then purple.

881 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:08 PM PST by Aroostook25
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To: onyx

Check this out...
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2828362/posts


882 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:21 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: Rational Thought

4 years ago Rick Santuckabee was named Mike Huckatorum.


883 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:21 PM PST by TitansAFC (Mitt Romney gets less bang for the buck than John-Freaking-Huntsman.)
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To: Prokopton

FOX projects Gingrich will finish 4th, Perry 5th.
Both of them “out of the money”.

*************

Luckily for Newt and conservatives, a new race starts tomorrow. Iowa will be so yesterday.


884 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:36 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: Theodore R.

” If there had been no Bachmann, Santorum would have a little cushion tonight.” <<<

You know you’re right about that!


885 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:36 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Reagan69

And I repeat myself. Romney and Santorum will get destroyed
in SC. This is without Palin’s endorsement. Newt is a good ole Southern boy, was a Georgia congressman for years and knows most people in SC by their first name.

Newt wins SC and Florida and will be the nominee.

Not Romney. Not Santorum. Perry had a chance and blew
it in the debates.


886 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:57 PM PST by NKP_Vet
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To: Sioux-san
Supreme Court rulings have said that both my parents needed to be citizens at the time of my birth.

Show me that citation.

887 posted on 01/03/2012 7:45:57 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: RitaOK
Shocked he has what he does, but his ceiling is in the basement in reality.

It's funny, his ceiling is in the same place Paul supporters come from, sans the bathrobe and blogging finger...:-)

888 posted on 01/03/2012 7:46:08 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: Deo volente

Beautiful!

He is the traditional values candidate!


889 posted on 01/03/2012 7:46:19 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: Aroostook25
YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SITE!!!
890 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:00 PM PST by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture (Could be worst in 40 years))
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To: bray
Obviously, I favor Santorum over Gingrich. But, I could vote for and support Gingrich against Obama.

What I really wonder about now is what Perry is going to do? I keep hearing he has money, but how long will that last after tonight?

891 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:03 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: katiedidit1
You seem to be saying that Rick Santorum is another Huckabee.
892 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:13 PM PST by danielmryan
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To: CainConservative

51% in,
Santorum 25%, Mittens 24%, Wrong Paul 22%, Newt 14%, Perry 11%, Michele 6%


893 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:13 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: jennychase
Sarah is creating real mess for establishment. Last week she endorsed Santorum, before that she praised Newt. Both gained after her endorsement. Today she had called MB to go back to Congress, (sweet revenge).

She didn't endorse anyone. She gave her opinion on strengths and weaknesses. She did however say that Michele should consider dropping out unless she wants to spend her own money.

894 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:25 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: Free Vulcan

Karl “Tokyo” Rove’s head is actually growing in size with each of his incremental appearances on the Fox coverage tonight. If this lasts all night, it could get ugly!


895 posted on 01/03/2012 7:47:25 PM PST by PaleoBob
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To: Yankee

“I wonder much longer some people are going to keep looking to her as if she’s the Oracle of Delphi?”

No one is. But her insights are more relevant than most.


896 posted on 01/03/2012 7:48:02 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Curse you, Norm Lenhart! Im slain, crumpled in a ditch by your obvious superiority - Humblegunner)
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To: Free Vulcan

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012/iowa-caucus-jan-3/

Santorum 25%


897 posted on 01/03/2012 7:48:10 PM PST by ATOMIC_PUNK (Any man may make a mistake ; none but a fool will persist in it . { Latin proverb })
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To: Pappy Smear

I’d overlooked Jefferson County. It was the only county Paul carried in ‘08. Paulbots were flying high in the golden dome. Oddly Huck came in second there.


898 posted on 01/03/2012 7:48:20 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Change!)
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To: Pappy Smear

I’d overlooked Jefferson County. It was the only county Paul carried in ‘08. Paulbots were flying high in the golden dome. Oddly Huck came in second there.


899 posted on 01/03/2012 7:48:27 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Change!)
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To: RitaOK

Michele needs to endorse Santorum pronto!

Santorum/Bachmann is a ticket I would be more than happy to support.


900 posted on 01/03/2012 7:48:27 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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