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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: gswilder
So it’s OK to talk up Newt who really isn’t conservative?

Newt may be a flawed conservative, but he is a conservative. Romney, on the other hand, is a liberal progressive with an R behind his name. Jim Rob owns this domain, and it's his right to ban any and all pro-liberal/progressive postings.

I think Jim Rob has been more than fair with regards to Romney. He didn't abolish pro-Romney posts here, until about six months ago, if I recall correctly. The Romney supporters had their say about him for years and years.

1,481 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:20 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: JDW11235

I had a clear feed on cnn.com but Governor Perry said he is going back to Texas to reassess his campaign and see if he should go forward or not.


1,482 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:24 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: nicmarlo

P.P.S. For Paul to go anywhere, I mean.


1,483 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:24 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have Ingsoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: parksstp

What’s going on? Is Perry really out?

...wow. If this is true, my condolences to his supporters.


1,484 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:39 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: make no mistake
Stop that. Perry is not going to drop out

Did you hear his speach? He's out.

1,485 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:46 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: Tramonto
Perry is trying to split the conservative vote so Mitt can win. He is a stalking horse for Mitt.

ROFL...That's more like horse manure.

1,486 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:46 PM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: JDW11235

Yep. He said he is going home to Texas to see if there is a path forward for him. He was very subdued reading and choking up over a Marine’s letter written to him. He is out, I am sure. Money people I am sure, more of showing than the 10%. I love Rick Perry.


1,487 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:51 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Income tax and Freedom. Huh?

Go Army! :-} Happy New Year grunt.


1,488 posted on 01/03/2012 9:13:56 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: Antoninus; gswilder

I was quoting “gswilder” and pointing out his shilling for romney.


1,489 posted on 01/03/2012 9:14:38 PM PST by free me (heartless)
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To: Mozilla

Wow, that’s big news for Rick and Newt.


1,490 posted on 01/03/2012 9:14:49 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Engraved-on-His-hands

I just heard on the radio that whether Santorum wins, or loses in Iowa, he has STUNNED the political world, and I agree. Plus, this will help Santorum raise even MORE $$.


1,491 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:00 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Windflier

Trust me they are trying to figure out how to make it look normal that Romney is winning the Western districts.


1,492 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:06 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail. | FR Class of '98 |)
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To: Mozilla

So who will Perry endorse, sounds like he’s out?


1,493 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:06 PM PST by topfile
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To: VinL

Governor Perry is going back to Texas to consider his next steps... to see if he thinks there’s a pathway forward.

He’s going to pray about it, too.


1,494 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:14 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Prokopton

I heard every word, and he said he was going to pray over it.

A concept the Fox News commentators seem not to understand...you?


1,495 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:14 PM PST by bigbob
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To: DeepInTheHeartOfTexas
According to FoxNews, we are waiting on some guy in a truck out in Iowa to decide the race. He is apparently delivering the votes to the processing center in Ames County. I can just picture some old farmer in bib overalls listening to George Jones on the truck radio, taking his sweet old time.

With 97% in, only 37 votes separate Santorum from Romney.

1,496 posted on 01/03/2012 9:15:31 PM PST by SamAdams76 (I am 34 days away from outliving Marty Feldman)
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To: tcrlaf

The fags hate Rick Santorum. But they are only 2% of the population, so who cares?

They’re too busy with their filthy sexual practices to go out and vote anyway.


1,497 posted on 01/03/2012 9:16:08 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: World'sGoneInsane

Yea, Perry is only running to try and help Mitt out? Not.

Sounds like he is “reassessing”. which probably means the end. Too bad. I really liked Perry and thought he had a chance to beat Obama, until all the gaffs. Bachman and Huntsman probably next to go.


1,498 posted on 01/03/2012 9:16:24 PM PST by gswilder
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To: Cato in PA

He said he’s going back to TX.

Final results in IA now won’t matter. Santorum gets a share of delegates.


1,499 posted on 01/03/2012 9:16:39 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: gswilder
http://news.yahoo.com/?fr=

Refreshes realtime. By the way, I agree with your comments on possibilities. History repeats - remember McCain in ‘O8 - . Not much hope that most on FR will get solidly behind any candidate right now - no candidates are stellar. Way too early to say what will happen at this point.

1,500 posted on 01/03/2012 9:16:48 PM PST by Sleeping Freeper
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