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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Cato in PA

I jokingly call Huntsman “Mr Celophane”, after “Chicago”.


1,061 posted on 01/03/2012 8:13:46 PM PST by perplyone
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To: Mozilla
and Pslin will never do it either. She wants Trump running. That’s what she said the other day.

Again, she did not say Trump should run. She likes his fiscal policy and putting America first, but would not endorse him as an independent because she said that Obama must be defeated.

1,062 posted on 01/03/2012 8:13:46 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: altura

I totally do not understand this surge for Santorum.

He was not THAT great a senator. He lost his last election by a large majority.

He’s got almost no zest, verve, charisma or personality.

He does not seem like a leader.

Has Iowa gone mad?? Or did they just hate everyone else?


He’s partly cashing in on the fallout from the blitz of anti-Newt ads run by Romney. Not to say Santorum isn’t a good man on the meat and potato issues. But the Newt vote had to go somewhere and they weren’t going to Mittens, that’s for sure.


1,063 posted on 01/03/2012 8:13:48 PM PST by PaleoBob
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To: Signalman

I don’t think Santorum is bad enough to lose to Obama but it would be close.

He’s a horrible choice. Nice enough guy but ...

All I can say is that Iowa has to be an aberration.


1,064 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:19 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: tennmountainman

Amen.


1,065 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:27 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: altura

Santorum is conservative and has character. Ask the “Great One” Mark Levin who would pull his lever in VA as would I.


1,066 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:39 PM PST by Frank Sheed (Fr. V. R. Capodanno, Lt, USN, Catholic Chaplain. 3rd/5th, 1st Marine Div., FMF. MOH, posthumously.)
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To: Free Vulcan
LATEST RESULTS:

Iowa, 82.81% reporting

Romney, 25,335 votes, 25%

Santorum, 24,745 votes, 24%

Paul, 21,634 votes, 21%

Gingrich, 13,625 votes, 13%

1,067 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:45 PM PST by Wolfstar
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To: altura

Yes, Iowa voted for the Huckster last time, remember?


1,068 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:49 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Think free or die

Wow... Thanks great story. I don’t think he has had the money to play the markets either like many in Congress with that brood of kids, it doesn’t seem like he has a lotabucks. Am I right on this?


1,069 posted on 01/03/2012 8:14:52 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: Sioux-san
In the Happersett case you quote:

Some authorities go further and include as citizens children born within the jurisdiction without reference to the citizenship of their parents.

And in the Ark case, Ark was born in California to Chinese parents, and was indeed confirmed to be a natural born citizen in that case by being born in the U.S. to non-citizen parents.

Both of these cases would confirm that Marco Rubio is a natural born citizen.

1,070 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:27 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: Palladin

” Carry on the boycott of FOX! “

At last. We agree on something! Happy NEWT year! :)


1,071 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:39 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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Perry has two counties now

Newt has none


1,072 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:45 PM PST by mamelukesabre
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To: altura

Well lets’ see.

Zest - Herman Cain
Leader - Herman Cain
Charisma - Herman Cain
Personality - Herman Cain.

Ballot? I don’t see any Herman Cain on it.

Santorum is simply the most conservative man left on the ballot. If you want zest and charisma - go with Herman Cain. Since he’s not available (sold out), so they say, you grab yourself some Santorum instead. Filling, nutritious. :)


1,073 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:45 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Palladin

I changed the channel when Sanford came on.

The Fox brand has become very sick. I’ll avoid them as much as I can.


1,074 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:53 PM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~..... GO NEWT GO.....!)
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To: eyedigress

Ron Paul speaking now - he’s more like an actor (a bad one) trying to play the role of a candidate than the real thing


1,075 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:53 PM PST by bigbob
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To: Diogenesis

“... Soros-backed, DNC-posing saboteur.

Romney is a guaranteed Loss for the GOP.”

BINGO!

Go Newt! Go Santorum! Double Team Willard!!


1,076 posted on 01/03/2012 8:15:53 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Diogenesis

No, he isn’t a loss for the GOP. Paul would have been though.

Here is what nobody is mentioning. Someone posted earlier that Paul got something like 48% of votes that only registered Republican today. That means that his total of Republican votes would actually put him lower than Perry. He is toast!

Go Santorum!


1,077 posted on 01/03/2012 8:16:06 PM PST by chilepup
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To: eyedigress

Okay, thanks very much!


1,078 posted on 01/03/2012 8:16:07 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Windflier

I’ve been posting here since 1998 and donated money to keep this site going over the years. If someone wants to ban me for stating my opinion so be it. I used to think FR was a free and open forum. Not like the police at DU.


1,079 posted on 01/03/2012 8:16:28 PM PST by gswilder
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To: RitaOK

Elaine Benise to Mrs. Ron Paul....”Is that real fur?”


1,080 posted on 01/03/2012 8:16:31 PM PST by Texas Songwriter (Ia)
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