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Why Gingrich Remains Most Likely to Win
thestreet.com ^ | 12/29/2011 | Anton Wahlman

Posted on 12/29/2011 6:20:16 AM PST by TBBT

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Don't worry, Gingrich supporters -- despite the falling poll numbers in Iowa over the last week, your guy remains most likely to win the Republican nomination. Let me explain why and how.

First of all, let's stipulate that this race isn't about the issues anymore. Newt Gingrich's positions are mostly similar to Mitt Romney's positions, both of whom are to the left of most of the other candidates, such as Perry and Bachmann in particular.

A few days before the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, people have come to peace with the candidates' ideological positions, and it's all about electability and willingness of primary voters to cast the ballot. The conventional wisdom is of course that Romney is the most "electable" candidate, and that is probably true in some sense. But only in some. Romney clearly has many fine merits, including years of being vetted, having a distinguished business background, a first-class family, and he is a generally very smart and polished man.

(Excerpt) Read more at thestreet.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: gingrich; newt; newtgingrich
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1 posted on 12/29/2011 6:20:23 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

I have no problem in voting for Gingrich or Perry. I know Santorum is a good choice, too...Just not the right time.


2 posted on 12/29/2011 6:24:58 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: TBBT

I hope so! Romney makes me ill.


3 posted on 12/29/2011 6:25:43 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: TBBT
Newt Gingrich's positions are mostly similar to Mitt Romney's positions, both of whom are to the left of most of the other candidates . . .

Yep. And that's what worries me. One has better presentation skills, the other has better hair.

4 posted on 12/29/2011 6:27:22 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: TBBT

Nice, article that I agree with completely


5 posted on 12/29/2011 6:28:09 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: Vigilanteman

Worries me too. Dont know if I could pull the lever for Gingrich. After last election I vowed “Never Again”.


6 posted on 12/29/2011 6:30:54 AM PST by mouse1
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To: TBBT

I tend to agree! What a pleasure it will be to watch and listen as Newt EVISCERATES Obama in debates!


7 posted on 12/29/2011 6:33:59 AM PST by WellyP (REAL)
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To: mouse1

just keep thinking about the word KENYAN over and over. you’ll know what to do when the time comes


8 posted on 12/29/2011 6:34:51 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Sacajaweau

I have no problem voting for Gingrich either. The Press and its master the democrat party will make the issue about Gingrich, rather than the referendum on zero.


9 posted on 12/29/2011 6:36:24 AM PST by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: TBBT
Santorum continues his rise in the polls, while Paul & Romney are stuck in the low 20's and Newt has fallen to the mid teens:

Average of latest polling:

First tier
Mitt Romney 21.8
Ron Paul 20.8

Second tier
Newt Gingrich 15.3
Rick Santorum 12.3
Rick Perry 10.5
Michele Bachmann 9.5

10 posted on 12/29/2011 6:44:41 AM PST by Crichton
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To: CPT Clay

You can learn a lot about a man by who his enemies are, and the intensity of their hatred.

The media is doing everything in their power to spoil the public on Gingrich. They know he has the ability to inspire and lead people like no other candidate. He could single-handedly in a four year term re-educate the American public on the uniqueness and greatness of America.

The MSM is evil.


11 posted on 12/29/2011 6:45:15 AM PST by TruthFactor (The Death of Nations: Pornography, Homosexuality, Abortion)
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To: TBBT

The one candidate who has led in the polls all along is “Anybody But Romney.” Ergo, as this article says, the Not Romney who is strongest when the dust settles is the winner (most likely Gingrich since Paul is a nut and Gingrich still leads the rest of the pack).


12 posted on 12/29/2011 6:45:34 AM PST by RoosterRedux
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To: Vigilanteman
"Newt Gingrich's positions are mostly similar to Mitt Romney's positions" . . . Yep. And that's what worries me. One has better presentation skills, the other has better hair.

It would worry me if true, but the facts don't match the assertion. Newt talks liberal far too often, but he governs 90% conservative and is effective at that. Romney talks conservative when running for office, but he governs from the very far left. I'll trust their actions and assume Newt's record in Congress is a true representation of his values, and that RomneyCare and big government are a true representation of Mitt.

13 posted on 12/29/2011 6:46:23 AM PST by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: Lib-Lickers 2
just keep thinking about the word KENYAN over and over. you’ll know what to do when the time comes

I work with a (former) Kenyan who is honest, patriotic, Christian, and hates socialism with a passion at least as great as my own. The problem with Obama is COMMUNISM.

14 posted on 12/29/2011 6:48:54 AM PST by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: Vigilanteman
Wrong. Gingrich and Romney are complete polar opposites.

Romney is well known for pandering to the Left. He did that his entire Gubernatorial career in Mass. He chose extreme Liberal Circuit Court judges and thumbed his nose at the good Conservatives who he also had to choose from. Romney picked the Liberals to keep the Democrats in his state happy.

Romney has also admittedly said in Liberal Press interviews recently, that he will “reach across the isle” and find “common ground” with Liberals and Democrats. (Romney's favorite word is “Progressive”)

But in all of the ads in Iowa, on FOX, etc, Romney claims he is NOTHING but “CONservative”. He will “balance” the budget. He also says he will “cut” spending, which is Romney double speak for “reduce the amount of spending” but still exceed deficit spending.

And will Romney reduce taxes? Absolutely not. He will increase them like he did in Massachusetts to pay for his cloned rendition of Obamacare, AKA Romneycare.

And as far as Newt? his career and actual record is a complete opposite of Romney. And all these fools here who claim the opposite have never really researched Newt but lie and say they have. Because if they truly would have they would understand how much good Newt has done for the Conservative cause in his career. As President. Newt will be honest and will listen to the Conservative agenda, because Newt has lived the Reagan years and has first hand experience in how to make that happen again.

15 posted on 12/29/2011 6:49:29 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: mouse1

would you rather pull the lever for soetoro/obama/barry/soebarkah/shabbazz/bounel?

Won’t you choose Gingrich’s balanced budget to obumo’s 16 trillion deficits/debts?

Won’t you want to remove all obumo’s czars/thugs/agencies/marxists/commies?

Won’t you want to get rid of obamacare?

won’t you want USA to have jobs and a good economy?

Do you want to suffer thru 4 more years of lies/hyprocrcies from obumo the usurper?

It is NOT just obumo but all his thugs you will be removing!

Gingrich will never empower or embolden the union thugs!


16 posted on 12/29/2011 6:49:40 AM PST by chrisnj
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To: RoosterRedux

Here in SW Florida, folks seems to be going to Romney. Since the loss of Herman Cain the sizzle seems to have gone out of the election.

Our primary is 1/30 and right now I would place my money on a Romney win in Florida.


17 posted on 12/29/2011 6:50:05 AM PST by not2worry
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To: TBBT

“Newt Gingrich’s positions are mostly similar to Mitt Romney’s positions, both of whom are to the left of most of the other candidates”

This statement is very misleading. The first mistake is to use the campaign platform of a candidate to judge how conservative he is.

Not only is Gingrich more of a true conservative—he has a lot more fight in him than Romney does.

We need both qualities in a president—conservative views and the ability to fight—if we want to get our country back.


18 posted on 12/29/2011 6:52:47 AM PST by reasonisfaith (Or, more accurately---reason serves faith. See W.L. Craig, and many others.)
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To: not2worry
Santorum seems to be the new sizzle.
Probably because he's been running under the media radar...
19 posted on 12/29/2011 6:55:17 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Gimme that old time fossil fuel.)
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To: Crichton

Sure... But that’s just Iowa...

Even if Santorum does well in Iowa... It’s highly unlikely to translate into anything down the road.

You’ve got two recent polls so far for Iowa. The CNN poll was castigated yesterday by analyst and other pollsters for it’s sampling. That’s the Poll showing Santorum in 3rd. The other poll - PPP - had Santorum tied for 4th with his more normal polling number of 10%.

We’ll see how Santorum does. But even with better than expected success, with no money or organization (and not enough time left to build either), he’s not likely to go far beyond Iowa.


20 posted on 12/29/2011 6:55:17 AM PST by TBBT
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