Gingrich lead jumps to 16% [Gingrich 39%, Romney 23%, Poll Position 12/11]

Here is Sunday's Poll Position compared to last week's Fox News poll:

Poll		Date		Sample	Gingr. 	Romney 	Paul 	Perry 	Bachmn.	Santo. 	Huntsm.	Undecided/Other
FOX News	12/05 - 12/07	356 LRV	36	23	12	8	5	4	2	10
Poll Position	12/11 - 12/11	582 LRV	39.3	23.3	10.8	4.8	6.1	3.6	1.8	10.3

Gallup daily polls run 20% (undecided or other) for some reason, so they are not well suited for comparison.

Another Poll Position poll taken Sunday seems to explain why Romney and Perry are flat or down: (because of their childish $10,000 bickering in Saturday's debate).

Boos for Romney’s $10k bet offer

Likely 2012 Republican voters are frowning on Mitt Romney’s controversial offer to make a $10,000 bet with GOP rival Rick Perry.

Forty-three percent of them say Romney’s effort to make that bet has diminished their view of him.
Here is the question we put to registered voters who say they’ll vote in their state’s 2012 Republican primary or caucus: “In last night’s Republican presidential debate, Mitt Romney offered to make a $10,000 bet with Rick Perry about whether something was or was not in Mitt Romney’s book. Does the offer of that bet improve or diminish your view of Mitt Romney?”
Here’s how they responded: 43% said the bet offer diminishes their view of Romney, 16% said it improves their view of him, 36% said it makes no difference, and 5% were undecided or had no opinion.
In the scientific telephone survey conducted last night, we questioned 582 registered voters nationwide who said they’d vote in their state’s Republican primary or caucus. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4%. The full crosstabs for the poll: Poll Position crosstabs – Romney bet.

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with Sunday, Dec 11th Poll Position added...

Weighted 4-Poll Rolling Averages of the latest
20+ Polls listed at RCP [as of Dec 12th]
plus
YouGov polls 12/3, 11/26 11/19, 11/12, 11/5, 10/29, 10/22, 10/15, 10/08, &
Poll Position 12/11, 12/04, 11/27, 11/22, 11/8, 11/1 polls inserted chronologically
Also the 11/9 - 11/14 Pew poll was broken into two, (3-day) polls

(Example methodology for this chart will be on my profile page)

Much like what the government does with unemployment statistics, this chart represents a 4-poll "rolling average" for the latest 20+ polls listed at RealClearPolitics.com (plus other recent national polls).
I also weighted the polls by their size. For example, a poll with a survey size of 1000 was weighted proportionately heavier than an 324 survey size.

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Romney’s bet may have been fatal for his campaign.

I think you’re right. Like someone else said, if he had bet a dollar or a bottle of (root) beer, it would have worked.

But offering to bet $10,000 just reminded everyone that he is one of the rich and gives ammunition to people who say he is “buying the nomination”.

I still am not totally sold on Newt, but if Romney folds anytime soon, it’s a whole new race.

Bull, why do you not actually let people vote first.

How can anyone let people vote?

I’d rather have Bachmann, but at this point I’ll take Newt if that’s what it takes to get Obowmao out of office before he completely destroys this beautiful country.

People should vote and vote for whom they think is best to lead the Republicans.

But I tend to think if Romney had potential to be the one, his polling wouldn’t show him to always be the bridesmaid.

I do not think anyone here supports willard, unless they be very well hidden. But we still have a vote thing to go, no coronation.

"Supporting Gingrich Overturns Everything FR stood for in the 1990s"

Now THAT is a great tagline.

Great map..but I am concerend most of Ron Pauls climb again.....though he’ll never do well enough to take a lead...will he run 3rd party and take enough votes to usher in Obama?... We need all the votes possible...would he be vile and go third party? And if he does will it actually stand the chance of getting that many voters at this stage of the game?

offering to bet $10,000 just reminded everyone that he is one of the rich and gives ammunition to people who say he is “buying the nomination”.

That's exactly my first thought when he said that. I can remember a time where $10,000 was a years wages for me and I worked dang hard for it!

Thus Romney has no concept of what money is to the average man...none....and he even said he had a middleclass upbringing and didn't know what want is... Creep!

Go Newt....do not let this creep crawl back out of the sewer which he comes from!

Maybe Gingrich wins the 2012 Presidential election...

...but come 2016, the Democrats will be nominating Hillary Clinton as the supposed “People’s Choice”, a candidate that will appeal to women voters, liberals, minorities, and independents.

What kind of political strategy will Gingrich use then to attract voters? moderation? progressivism? RINOism? or conservatism?

You know what Gingrich is going to do. You know what the GOP RINO establishment is going to do do. They will both scream that only RINO moderation will get him re-elected.

Remember the above. It’s going to happen if Gingrich is elected.

And the consequences will touch us all, conservatism vanquished, the Tea Party gone, and America lost.

Sad, so sad...

Anybody but RINOmney!!

>> "Supporting Gingrich Overturns Everything FR stood for in the 1990s"

>>Now THAT is a great tagline.

If I were you, I wouldn't be so quick to declare what FR's opinion is of Newt...

Sunday, December 11, 2011 9:44:12 PM · 25 of 52
Jim Robinson to TheBattman

As Speaker, Newt and his new Republican Revolution after 40 years of Democrat domination cut the deficit, cut the taxes, reformed welfare, balanced the budget four years running, blocked HillaryCare, stymied President Clinton, and extended the soaring Reagan Economy through the nineties. Not bad for a “RINO.” And he’s admitted the couch deal was a dumb idea.

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Sunday, December 11, 2011 4:23:15 PM · 109 of 188
Jim Robinson to BuckeyeTexan

Not surprisingly, that’s exactly the problem with our current Republican majority in congress. They’re acting as if they are still the minority. No offense whatsoever. We need someone with Newt’s spunk to spur them into action.
Nominate and elect pro-life, Reaganite Newt Gingrich and give him veto proof congressional majorities and a clear mandate to bust the socialist Democrats and take our freedom back from the godless liberals!!

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Sunday, December 11, 2011 2:21:01 PM · 12 of 188
Jim Robinson to PapaNew

I think the tea party is beginning to warm up to him. Newt is a pro-life, Reagan Coalition Christian conservative and he’s knowledgeable, experienced, fully vetted (sought redemption and is largely forgiven), is battle tested and rip-roaring ready to hit the ground running. No on the job training necessary. He’s a deficit cutting, tax cutting, budget balancing, welfare reforming, socialist healthcare program (HillaryCare) blocking, small government, big defense dynamo. He’s already taking the battle to the enemy. In short, we’re desperate and he’s exactly what we’re looking for.

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And the consequences will touch us all, conservatism vanquished, the Tea Party gone, and America lost.
Sad, so sad...

You must be a scream at a party. There's no point in investing in defeatism; this kind of handwringing is not merely counterproductive, it's virulently destructive. Only a liberal would encourage us to throw in the towel the way you have.

How many Tea Partiers did you see in November of 2010 sobbingly wringing towels as they watched the election results come in?

All I saw were millions of Gadsden flags leading the charge of conservatism in America.

Yeah, I’m the life of the party, the Tea Party!

Why don’t you rain on Obamas parade instead of going after one of our own?

23% STILL for Mittens - even after his disastrous debate? Who are these idiots?

Not being a complete fool, I won't pretend Newt's a conservative. Still, it's wise to not let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

No, we won't hit a home run with Newt but a triple wouldn't be a bad thing considering the rate of deterioration of freedom the republic is now suffering.