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Newt Gingrich will not be the Republican nominee — even if it means a brokered convention
The Washington Post ^ | 12/09/2011 | Ezra Klein

Posted on 12/09/2011 5:56:49 PM PST by katiedidit1

Silver doesn’t quite go so far as to say that it makes a brokered convention or a late-breaking establishment candidate likely, but I’m willing to go that far. There’s just no way the Republican establishment lets Gingrich become their nominee. As Andrew Sullivan pointed out today, you’re already seeing the anti-Gingrich mobilization among conservative thought leaders: Here’s George Will, Charles Krauthammer, David Brooks, Ross Douthat, Tom Coburn and Ann Coulter, just for starters. There’s this Politico story about all the Washington Republicans who hate Gingrich.

Now, I think it’s more likely that this mobilization leads to a Romney win then a brokered convention or a new entrant. But I think it makes a Gingrich win almost impossible to imagine. And if something once considered so impossible begins to look likely, then correspondingly extraordinary events — again, like a brokered convention — will become likely, also.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: andrewsullivan; anncoulter; backstabbingrinos; charleskrauthammer; davidbrooks; desperaterinos; dncspawnedrinos; ezraklein; georgewill; mittromney; natesilver; newt2012; newtgingrich; patheticrinos; politico; rickperry; romneysrinos; rossdouthat; saboteurrinos; stagemanaged; tomcoburn; whiningrinos
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To: katiedidit1
The Wapo really does not want Newt. Erza Klein is a weasel.

Rush has covered the possibility Occupy wallstreet was preplanned with Romney in mind. Cast Romney as a wall street guy, to focus against. This is who the left wants.

41 posted on 12/09/2011 6:29:11 PM PST by opentalk
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To: alarm rider
Brokered convention? BS, not likely

The primary process has largely rendered the brokered convention obsolete. At least as far as the GOP is concerned. The beltway rulers may not like it but the most they can do is shoot themselves in the foot. Which they did in 2008 and might well do again.

42 posted on 12/09/2011 6:31:32 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: Indy Pendance

Yeah. Did you check out that video link? It’ll do your heart good. Lately, I’ve been finding Reagan videos to be particularly delightful.


43 posted on 12/09/2011 6:32:19 PM PST by PapaNew
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To: katiedidit1

As of today, of the current options, you’re right.


44 posted on 12/09/2011 6:33:59 PM PST by Theo (May Rome decrease and Christ increase.)
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To: katiedidit1
Articles like this are proof that Newt is the strongest candidate.
45 posted on 12/09/2011 6:34:35 PM PST by Vision ("Did I not say to you that if you would believe, you would see the glory of God?" John 11:40)
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To: katiedidit1
lifes to short to read Ezra Klein. Until I got my white prius complete with the tree hugger and obummer lover sticker, I was really having a hard time dealing with my white guilt, now I feel fine..../s
46 posted on 12/09/2011 6:35:11 PM PST by corbe
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To: katiedidit1

Wait ... I thought Newt was the ULTIMATE DC insider!

The only one whose opinion concerns me is Coburn, who said precious little on which to make a value judgment. Will? Brooks? Oh, and Noonan? You’re kidding?


47 posted on 12/09/2011 6:36:25 PM PST by EDINVA
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To: katiedidit1

If Romney loses the primaries and they push him in with the convention...the GOP will crumble. The whole thing will appear corrupt and crooked.


48 posted on 12/09/2011 6:39:21 PM PST by floridarunner01
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To: bfree

Wanna have fun with Klein?

Google “Juice Box Mafia” — and use the quotes.


49 posted on 12/09/2011 6:44:45 PM PST by NVDave
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To: katiedidit1

At this point, every attack on Newt is a blow for Romney and, ultimately, 0bama.


50 posted on 12/09/2011 6:45:37 PM PST by henkster
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To: floridarunner01

>> If Romney loses the primaries and they push him in with the convention...

Now that would be playing with fire.


51 posted on 12/09/2011 6:46:43 PM PST by Gene Eric (Save a pretzel for the gas jets.)
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To: katiedidit1
There can't be a brokered convention with two candidates. One or the other will have a majority of the delegates. There can be a brokered convention with three or more candidates. Say candidate one has 45% of the Delegates. Where candidate Two has 35% of the delegates candidate three has 20% of the delegates. None of the three candidates have a majority of the delegates. Candidates Two and Three get togather and broker their delegates to achieve 55% of the delegates. One of them offers the other something in return for him/her releasing his delegates.
52 posted on 12/09/2011 6:47:25 PM PST by political1 (Love your neighbors)
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To: katiedidit1

This only increases support for Newt. The grass roots HATES the establishment Dims and Repubics.


53 posted on 12/09/2011 6:47:31 PM PST by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: katiedidit1
I heard Vice-President Dan Quayle talk about the possibililty of a brokered convention on Michael Medved’s show. The way the primaries are loaded, someone could come in late and deny the necessary delegates to win the nomination on the first ballot. The last brokered convention in the US was in 1952, when the Democratic Party nominated Adlai Stevenson. Quayle was not sure it won't happen again for the Republicans August 27th. However, we all know that Dan Quayle endorsed Mitt Romney for President. He said he gave his endorsement to Mitt because “he was the most conservative and the most electable of the candidates.” I was hoping he would have said something nice about Governor Rick Perry. Given the treatment Dan Quayle received for a minor gaff with the word potato, I can understand his perspective when looking at Perry and some of the other candidates.

I am hoping that we don't have a brokered convention because of the effects of the competition we are seeing. Such lack of consensus would really impact the grassroot support that Republican nominees would need to get elected. We will need to unite very strong to defeat Obama’s war machine.

I am also hoping that we don't come to the convention with the delegates deciding that none of the candidates will be acceptable. That would mean that a candidate would have to be drafted at the convention. Such a candidate would need to raise funding quickly to overcome the $billion + war chest that Obama has raised.

We need to understand that whoever is the nominee, they have to be electable. The way the present crop of candidates have handled their negatives, I have great worry that none of them will be electable if they don't start neutralizing those negatives soon.

54 posted on 12/09/2011 6:50:39 PM PST by jonrick46 (2012 can't come soon enough.)
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To: jonrick46

So far there is only ONE republican candidate that has not run a negative campaign and that is Newt


55 posted on 12/09/2011 6:54:35 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: katiedidit1

At the end of the day, voters will vote their pocketbooks and wallets and go for the candidate with the best economic and jobs creation record -— Rick Perry.

Plus he also has the advantage of being a social conservative, a military veteran and a down to earth communicator (gaffs notwithstanding).


56 posted on 12/09/2011 6:57:51 PM PST by varina davis (We grow too soon old and too late smart -- Pennsylvania Dutch adage)
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To: Grunthor

Agreed and agreed.


57 posted on 12/09/2011 7:02:02 PM PST by JustaDumbBlonde (Don't wish doom on your enemies. Plan it.)
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To: katiedidit1

My point really is that we have to do the fighting as well, not just Newt. We have to get out there, and educate our friends, and associates on what is happening, and the necessity for them to pay attention, and participate, and why Newt.

There has been a lot of disinformation over the years. A lot of current disinformation, and out, and out lies, and there will be even more. We have to be at the forefront of the cleanup crew cleaning up the mess spewed by the enemy of our Sovereignty, our Constitution, our way of life, and that is what we are fighting.

It has to be overwhelming, unanimous, thorough, and complete to thwart the Dem, Lib, Socialist, RINO establishment, and regain the system.


58 posted on 12/09/2011 7:03:23 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: katiedidit1

What I have seen from Newt is very impressive. It shows that he has learned a great deal over the course of the years in the political arena. Let’s hope he has learned enough so he can convert the negative image people have of him to the positive image he has shown so far to the few who pay attention.


59 posted on 12/09/2011 7:03:28 PM PST by jonrick46 (2012 can't come soon enough.)
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To: katiedidit1

Romney means 3rd party....a strong 3rd party....but hey they do not call us the “Stupid Party” for nothing.


60 posted on 12/09/2011 7:06:32 PM PST by Lady Heron
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