Posted on 11/14/2011 6:56:26 AM PST by ScottinVA
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Thirty-eight percent (38%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15 (see trends).
That’s the president’s best Approval Index rating in three months. Still, most voters continue to favor repeal of his primary legislative accomplishment, the health care law.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook
Overall, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. That’s the first time since June that the president has reached the 50% mark. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
The people, they are fickle. Don’t panic, and don’t retreat.
Overall, though, I agree with the sentiment expressed by others. Don’t presume this will be a cake-walk. Fight like there is no tomorrow, because if this clown gets a second term, there will be no tomorrow for an America we actually recognize.
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Agree...it will be a dogfight. And if he wins, this country will have a serious crisis on its hands. We are really talking loss decade and beyond at that point.
Gas prices are down, and that inverse relationship has been well documented. Warm fall in the Midwest/South/Seaboard also means no need to run the heat or the a/c since late September. It’s a fluke, aided in no small measure by an MSM-ordinated EU cool-off news cycle after Berlie resigned.
A lot can happen in a year. But if you need more certainty, you might as well hide in your bunker now.
Predictably, the hand-wringers and doom-and-gloomers here on FR are WAY, WAY overreacting to an job approval poll that is clearly an OUTLIER from every other approval poll currently out there. And of course the majority here is already throwing up their hands, waving the white flag of surrender, and more-or-less declaring Obama the victor one full year prior to an election. YOU PEOPLE SHOULD BE ASHAMED OF YOURSELVES.
Folks, think about it... Has there been ANY positive news for the country in the past week? NO! Unemployment is still at an alarmingly high 9%, there are still 14 million people out of work, the national debt has increased by $5 TRILLION over the past three years, we’re on the verge of a nuclear Iran, Obama continues to be mired in scandals, etc. etc. Obama’s approval numbers have consistently remained around 44% on every other poll. So did you ever stop to think that perhaps Rasmussen has taken a BAD SAMPLE of popular opinion over the past several days???
But no, too many of you want to panic, give up, and declare Obama unbeatable. It quite frankly MAKES ME SICK and makes me not want to post on Free Republic any longer because I don’t need all this extra negativity in my life.
If there is ever a time to start building a backbone of steel, it’s NOW!!! And QUIT READING AND LISTENING TO THE STATE RUN MEDIA FOR CRYING OUT!! The media is purposefully going to try to depress you. They’re going to try to convince you that the economy is improving when it’s NOT, that Obama’s poll numbers are improving when they AREN’T (Heck, let’s not forget that Jimmy frickin’ Carter had a 54% approval rating in Gallup just 10 months before the 1980 election!), and that the GOP candidates are terrible when they AREN’T! The American people all KNOW things are bad right now. Poll after poll is showing 80% of them think the country is going in the wrong direction and even more think the economy STINKS, for crying out loud!
I’m officially making my prediction right now that OBAMA IS TOAST IN 2012 AND WILL LOSE HIS RE-ELECTION BID IN A LANDSLIDE. That’s right... MARK IT DOWN AND BOOK IT. I also predict that Rasmussen will have Obama’s job approval numbers back around 45% within the next week and may even drop below 40% with the next year. A LOT can and will happen between now and the November 2012 election. We’re gearing up for yet another deficit reduction battle in Congress with the super-committee over the next couple of weeks, which will almost certainly be a drain on Obama like it was this past summer. ObamaCare has a very good chance of being struck down and he will be rightly portrayed as a overreaching president who’s signature piece of legislation was ruled unconstitutional. Greece and Italy is almost certain to default at some point, which will send the U.S. stock markets into a tail spin. The U.S. has a 50-50 chance of lapsing back into another recession during the next year. Would ANY of this make Obama more re-electable??? HELL NO!!
So get a damn grip, people, and START CAMPAIGNING AGAINST OBAMA BY TALKING TO YOUR FAMILY, FRIENDS, AND CO-WORKERS RIGHT NOW!!
I think it is the liberals going back to left vs. right as they do not want a Cain in there. They are mad at obama re; wars and other issues but they’re hackery hate of America trumps common sense partisan politics.
That’s my guess. If this keeps happening, we’ve got a trend. But otherwise, it’s not to be believed. He hasn’t done anything to cause this boost.
At this point people are used to a bad economy.
I am sorry, but anyone who thinks we will just coast to taking him down are ridiculous.
People are only just begging to get a tinge of paying attention and won’t really until May or so...many even later.
I am not surprised Obama is improving a bit, though I would be surprised if he improves a lot here.
Um... the media beating silly his primary Republican opponent comes to mind.
Dirty tricks can be very effective.
“I agree with those of you who think Hussein will pull this off and it might not even be close.
We have weak GOP candidates, ...”
I have been worried about this for quite a while. A bunch of very flawed candidates have emerged thus far from the Republican campaigns, and none of them seems to be able to build a bridge of support between the party’s conservative base and the independents and moderates that are necessary to win the general election. Fortunately, the House will stay comfortably Republican, and there is a decent chance that the Democrats will lose control of the Senate.
They have been on deathwatch for 10 years and are very much alive and kicking. The print media is slowly going away but TV isn’t and the Internet is more powerful and unlike people on FR think, Democrats like the Internet as well.
Good grief. Blaming it on some primary sniping is ridiculous. It is not even Thanksgiving. That’s not an issue at all.
It was just a few days ago that Rasmussen reported that polling for the month of October 2011 was the worst ever for Obama. Nothing has changed that dramatically in the past 2 weeks.
A poll of 1,000 LIKELY VOTERS by the LIBERAL-LEANING Politico/GWU/Battleground polling outfit released today shows Obama’s job approval as follows:
44% Approve
51% Disapprove
http://www.politico.com/static/PPM187_bg45.html
To me, this is just further evidence that Rasmussen’s latest numbers are the result of a BAD SAMPLE and will come back down to earth shortly. I still consider Rasmussen to be the most credible and accurate polling outfit in the market today, but his latest numbers are CLEARLY an outlier:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
So RELAX out there, all you panicked apocalyptic FReepers! :-)
First off, remember that polling is a caeer and a lucrative one for the major pollsters. To keep the various groups engaged (spending money on polls) it has to at least appear to be a real neck-n-neck horse race. Next remember that if the "Devil is in the Details" then the details are in the questions driving the polls and how they are phrased in order to raise or lower the desired marks in the stats. That's a pretty mercenary viewpoint, I admit, but I think it's also accurate. Remember the great book: "How to Lie With Statistics?" That's what's pushing the entire polling industry. It's all smoke and mirrors -- especially when it comes to the nefarious and politically lethal EXIT POLLS.
Man, that was a GREAT post!
Best post of the thread, in fact.
As you said, the election is a year away. Alot will happen between now and then, and damn little of it will be good for America, damn little of what happens will be good for the world, and damn little of what happens will be good for Obama.
I agree with you....Obama is TOAST in 2012.
Mandate for Obamacare is coming in 2014. Everybody knows it and it will keep companies from creating positions.
Whatever “recovery” there is will be crushed. I’m not saying the economy won’t recover a bit before 2014, but it will hold back most of any recovery.
Here’s what I’m going to do...and I’ve been a Conservative activist for the past 20 years.
1.Concentrate on helping my Gov. Scott Walker in WI. and also, work for local GOP candidates to keep our senate and assembly GOP majority..
2. Send contributions directly to Conservatives(sorry RNC. You lost me) in other states who are running WHO HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO BEAT INCUMBENT DEMS.
Like you say riverdawg, we have to remember that there is so much more at stake here that the Presidency...and many other ways to make a difference in ‘12.
I agree with your assessment about the candidates. It’s depressing, isn’t it?
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