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One of the likely scenarios is that N. Korea breaks into a few pieces, each steadily detaching itself from central government and going autonomous. The government in Pyongyang may run out of resources(manpower included) to keep provinces under its control.

The regime may end up controling only a pocket of region around Pyongyang and its western corridor northward to China.

Of course, a scenario with better odds is that powerstruggle goes out of control in Pyongyang, leading to coup or military confrontation with S. Korea, before ruling elites allow the provinces to break off.

1 posted on 09/18/2011 3:06:39 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; AmericanInTokyo; Steel Wolf; nuconvert; MizSterious; nw_arizona_granny; ...

P!


2 posted on 09/18/2011 3:08:35 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Mr Kim’s regime, with customary cynicism, has told people to “simplify” their dining habits at Chuseok this year “in the socialist way,”

Sounds like any one of Moochell's food initiatives

.

3 posted on 09/18/2011 3:21:49 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I’m hoping for a “train wreck” that wipes out the top echelon of rulers.

Maybe multiple train wrecks.


4 posted on 09/18/2011 3:22:58 AM PDT by Tainan (Cogito, Ergo Conservitus.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Interesting article, thanks for posting.


5 posted on 09/18/2011 3:26:23 AM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: TigerLikesRooster

“How does he get away with it? Loosely, that is the question posed by North Korea-watchers trying to understand how an odious regime has remained stable for so long, defying frequent predictions of its downfall.”

He gets away with it because their are a host of military leaders who benefit from his policies. I doubt they’d allow the provinces to break off though, it would weaken them too much.


6 posted on 09/18/2011 3:47:29 AM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

the Norks will crash and burn one way or another. I don’t think it will peaceful either..


8 posted on 09/18/2011 3:56:35 AM PDT by vanilla swirl (We are the Patrick Henry we have been waiting for!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Liberals admire socialism. For some reason they think everyone would be content to suffer together in the US. They’re convinced that under socialism in the US the leaders would never be like Kim and no one would ever steal from anyone else; crime would disappear. How does anyone live in such chosen ignorance?


9 posted on 09/18/2011 3:58:02 AM PDT by whatshotandwhatsnot (Islam wants you dead.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
This was an interesting piece

One wonders how control of the rural areas can be maintained if the rail roads and other transport is so bad.

Then there is the 3/5ths urban thought. How could anyone, especially the UN think such a thing?


18 posted on 09/18/2011 5:48:00 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 ....Rats carry plague)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

25 posted on 09/18/2011 7:16:06 AM PDT by Bean Counter (Obama got mostly Ds and Fs all through college and law school. Keep repeating it.....)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

THank you for the article, TigerLIkesRooster. Bump


26 posted on 09/18/2011 8:01:41 AM PDT by TEXOKIE (Anarchy IS the strategy of the forces of darkness!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Another progressive running a socialist paradise that turned into a dictatorship designed to enrich the former progressive. How rare. It only has happened every time. They should pick up their guns and throw the rat out. Oh, they can’t, the progressive has all the guns. Wonder why our progressives are so hot on getting rid of private firearms?


27 posted on 09/18/2011 8:07:31 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: TigerLikesRooster

North Korea - the ongoing diet reality show.


28 posted on 09/18/2011 8:30:56 AM PDT by GnuHere
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Bump.


31 posted on 09/18/2011 4:07:32 PM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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