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Republican’s lead in N.Y. election for Weiner’s seat shows Democrats’ vulnerability
The Washington Post ^ | 11 Sep 2011 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 09/11/2011 5:04:05 PM PDT by mandaladon

New York’s 9th Congressional District isn’t the likeliest place for a national political referendum.

Vice President Al Gore won it with 67 percent of the vote in 2000, and Barack Obama carried it by 11 percentage points eight years later. It has been held by a string of high-profile Democrats — including Sen. Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) and the late Geraldine Ferraro — for decades. And yet, the special election set for Tuesday in the Brooklyn and Queens areas between state Assemblyman David Weprin (D) and businessman Bob Turner (R) — a race occasioned by the scandal and subsequent resignation of Rep. Anthony Weiner (D) — is surprisingly close, the result, many observers suggest, of the toxic national political environment and Obama’s low poll ratings.

“Obama wins no popularity contests here,” said Hank Sheinkopf, a Democratic consultant in New York.

In a Siena College poll released late last week, Turner held a six-point edge over Weprin. Obama’s approval rating stood at 43 percent, with 54 percent disapproving.

“Certainly Obama job approval in the 40s as opposed to 50s depresses the Democratic base,” said one Democratic consultant who is monitoring the race, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the election frankly. “And in a small-turnout electorate, this has consequences.”

Republicans — and even some Democrats — are painting the race as an Obama referendum. Ed Koch, a Democratic former mayor of New York, endorsed Turner and likened the impact of his possible victory to that of Republican Scott Brown in 2010 in the special Senate election in Massachusetts. A vote for Turner, Koch said, would “register a protest against the positions of President Obama and the Republican leadership on a number of key issues.”

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: bobturner; davidweprin; elections; newyork; ny9; weiner; weprin
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Even Weprin has been loath to embrace Obama.++++++++++++++++++++++ Zero is toxic for the RATS.
1 posted on 09/11/2011 5:04:08 PM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon
"GOP 6-POINT LEAD!" = Dem head fake

GOTFV PEOPLE!

2 posted on 09/11/2011 5:10:24 PM PDT by montag813
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To: mandaladon

I wouldn’t count my chickens before they’re hatched in this District but it would speak volumes about Obama’s and the Dems vulnerability. Hopefully, it breaks those folks’ lifelong addiction to pulling the D lever regardless of who’s on it. The R, given the District, will be a moderate, or as we like to say here at FR, a “RINO.”


3 posted on 09/11/2011 5:12:37 PM PDT by EDINVA ( Jimmy McMillan '12: because RENT'S TOO DAMN HIGH)
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To: mandaladon; Impy; neverdem; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; GOPsterinMA; justiceseeker93; ...

If Republicans really win this, it bodes well for their chances in urban working class areas.


4 posted on 09/11/2011 5:12:43 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Illegal aliens collect welfare checks that Americans won't collect)
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To: montag813

I agree. Don’t believe the lead for a second.


5 posted on 09/11/2011 5:23:08 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Will racist demagogue Andre Carson be censured by the House?)
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To: mandaladon
National Democrats, sensing the momentum hit the party could take if Weprin loses, have rode to the rescue

WaPo's so-called journalists should learn English.

6 posted on 09/11/2011 5:24:31 PM PDT by hsalaw
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To: mandaladon

Turner has been ahead now by about 5 for a couple weeks. This combined with the endorsement of Dov Hikind, who usually backs winners, looks good.


7 posted on 09/11/2011 5:26:31 PM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: mandaladon

Weprin? HELL NO!!!
8 posted on 09/11/2011 5:28:52 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's time for Obama to get a downgrade.)
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To: newzjunkey

gotv of course but
“Obama’s approval rating stood at 43 percent, with 54 percent disapproving.”
makes the lead very robust


9 posted on 09/11/2011 5:31:49 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's time for Obama to get a downgrade.)
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To: newzjunkey

Something tells me that it’ll go Dem.....It depends on how often the Dems vote this time I suppose..


10 posted on 09/11/2011 5:42:58 PM PDT by topfile
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To: hsalaw
National Democrats, sensing the momentum hit the party could take if Weprin loses, have rode to the rescue

WaPo's so-called journalists should learn English.

LOL. They didn't write too good, did they?

11 posted on 09/11/2011 5:46:31 PM PDT by Rocky (REPEAL IT!)
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To: EDINVA

Never count on the results until the final litigation has run its course.


12 posted on 09/11/2011 5:51:13 PM PDT by xp38
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To: mandaladon
Hank Sheinkopf, a Democratic consultant in New York.

LOL. A slight adjustment in the spelling of this guy's name and a humorous and appropriate name would result. (Anyone read Catch 22?)

13 posted on 09/11/2011 5:53:52 PM PDT by Rocky (REPEAL IT!)
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To: xp38

so sadly true


14 posted on 09/11/2011 5:54:04 PM PDT by EDINVA ( Jimmy McMillan '12: because RENT'S TOO DAMN HIGH)
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To: montag813
"GOP 6-POINT LEAD!" = Dem head fake

Affirmative, and being in the Compost confirms it.

15 posted on 09/11/2011 6:03:15 PM PDT by Navy Patriot (Holy flippin' crap, Sarah rocks the world!)
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To: mandaladon
the result, many observers suggest, of the toxic national political environment

Gotta love it. Its the "toxic environment". "Both sides" are at fault for the loss. Great spinning for the love of your life, Chris.

16 posted on 09/11/2011 6:04:17 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: mandaladon
"A vote for Turner, Koch said, would “register a protest against the positions of President Obama and the Republican leadership on a number of key issues.”I'm quite sure I misunderstand that statement..... "
17 posted on 09/11/2011 6:17:45 PM PDT by matthew fuller (Compromise on the Holocaust would have killed three million Jews.)
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To: ari-freedom
Wow! I hope the voters see this scumbag Weprin for who he really is!


18 posted on 09/11/2011 6:24:42 PM PDT by rawhide
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To: rawhide

Which one is Weprin? (not that it matters really in that picture...)


19 posted on 09/11/2011 6:28:03 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright
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To: EDINVA

Cam the Jews of NY do it? I pray they know Hashem will guide them to the promise land again. Just say NOBAMA.


20 posted on 09/11/2011 6:48:15 PM PDT by ncfool (The new USSA - United Socialist States of AmeriKa. Welcome to Obummers world or Obamaville USSA.I)
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