Posted on 08/15/2011 6:49:31 AM PDT by Hojczyk
The Carter-Obama comparison is as cliché as it is disconcerting (for Democrats). Carter’s undoing can be cast as rare. Lyndon Johnson would surely have lost in 1968. But he did not run. Carter was the first Democratic president defeated since . . . 1888.
Every presidential campaign is a rerun of the past. Just as every re-election campaign is a referendum on the present. In 1888, the Republicans’ previous nominee, James Blaine, aided the current GOP nominee, Benjamin Harrison. Blaine hit hard: “The Democratic Party in power is a standing menace to the prosperity of the country.”
Today’s messages are distilled for a bumper sticker world. Mitt Romney’s motto: “Obama isn’t working.” So the playbook instructs. Bad times. Keep the heat on the incumbent. Thumbs up or down. Never mind me. He isn’t working. “It is time to get America working again,” said the newcomer to the 2012 race, Rick Perry, in his announcement Saturday. So we recall Ronald Reagan’s knockdown question. “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
Standard & Poor’s first downgrade of U.S. debt begs that political attack. It’s like the 39 percent mark. The fact alone is small. What it evokes is not.
No one number predicts presidential prospects. But if you must pick one, pick the presidential approval rating. There is a range where the floor gives out. There have been 11 campaigns since the Second World War. Only W won with an approval below 50 percent. Yet Gerald Ford lost in the same range. There's no magic number. But Obama must likely be in, at least, the high 40s to win term two.
This White House has long ached for its political environment to improve. But the Gallup threshold also reminds us that, for Obama, it could still get worse.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
As much as I LOVE seeing his approval number drop, I take no comfort in it. This election will be a huge battle and will not be close to an “easy win”. It will be a battle. It’s hard enough to knock any incumbent out, but to knock one out, like this President, will take a monumental effort.
I can only imagine what the internals show and the very REAL panic being felt by the Dem power players....heh-heh...
Not a time for any celebration of any kind. If he is down or even looks like he is down continue to kick him harder and more often. Trash him, kick him and piss on him at every turn and apply that to all democrats all of the time. They apply these tactics to conservatives very well and it is no time to be nice or charitable to them; that only lost elections for us in the past. The Constitution is at stake here and it is no time to play nice with the criminal democrat party.
FUBO & FAD
Truly the inmates are running the asylum these days.
One needs to remember that the media gives an artificial 20 point bump to the Democrat in the race by the way they report.
So it’s actually 29% if all things were equal.
Michael
I’m glad to see our Dear Leader’s numbers continuing to slide, but I’m reminded of Slick Willie and his turnaround for the ‘96 election. Stay vigil, work hard for our candidate, whomever it may be, and never take anything for granted (particularly when it comes to Dem shenanigans).
On a side note, just wondering what you think the fail-safe is for Obama? At what point, if the economy stays weak, is he truly toast? 6 months out from the election? 9 months out? The MSM will carry his water and do everything to make the situation look rosy, but they can only do so much. What is Obummer’s point-of-no-return?
Kharis13
1. Jimmy Carter brought in Paul Volcker when his economic policies failed:
2. Jimmy Carter actually earned his Nobel Peace Prize.
1. Jimmy Carter brought in Paul Volcker when his economic policies failed:
2. Jimmy Carter actually earned his Nobel Peace Prize.
I agree. The story of the election (aside from the magnitude of the defeat the Dems will experience) will be how blacks stayed home, as you say, "en masse".
My work has me around many blacks on a daily basis, and I've been sensing some disaffection, no-make that embarrassment, when the topic of Obama is discussed. They are also noticing people like Tim Scott and Allen West. I'm telling you the paradigm is changing, blacks are beginning to see the light.
Will many of them vote for him? Well, yes. But a turnout problem that leaves Obama with 70% of the numbers he garnered with blacks in '08, will cost him several states.
This is a scary scenario. We as a nation are reluctant to replace our leaders during national calamity, such as war or internal crisis. If economic conditions remain bad or even getting worse, I'm concerned that Obama will cause a major international incident such as Mid-East war or domestic violence with riots verging on civil war to get reelected.
Good point. But I am just worried about people “taking it easy”. This is a very important election and until Obama gives his concession speech, I will not celebrate. Until the republicans nominate anyone, I will not pay much attention to these polls (yes I know this is an approval poll, but still). Depending on who we nominate, there will be independents breaking to Obama again. We just got to hope it’s not as much as last time.
I figure the internals are why he has lowered himself to the bus tour and isn’t flying AF1 everywhere as he’s lie to.I’m hoping he runs into reality f people standing along the route holding signs telling him how much they dislike him.
I figure the internals are why he has lowered himself to the bus tour and isn’t flying AF1 everywhere as he’s lie to.I’m hoping he runs into reality of people standing along the route holding signs telling him how much they dislike him.
lie to= like to...
Sounds like wishful thinking to me.
BTTT!
Sounds like wishful thinking to me.
The GOP got sixty percent ofthe white vote in 2010. That's the best they ever got.
seems that the more he talks the independents like him less.
The blame game is done.
The race card is played out.
He better do something if he wants his numbers to improve because people are sick of his baloney
The Carter-Obama comparison is as cliché as it is disconcerting (for Democrats). Carter's undoing can be cast as rare. Lyndon Johnson would surely have lost in 1968. But he did not run. Carter was the first Democratic president defeated since . . . 1888. [Grover Cleveland, who vetoed nearly 600 bills during his two non-consecutive terms; only FDR vetoed more]
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