Posted on 02/23/2011 3:29:18 PM PST by SeekAndFind
That’s not quite what Gallup explicitly says in its analysis, but it’s a rather inevitable conclusion when one sees the graphic presentation of the results. Barack Obama lost eleven points in his approval ratings on a state-by-state basis in 2010, and now the floor has Obama in danger of losing the next election. Bear in mind when looking at the legend that the “average” approval rating for Obama was 47% — and that Obama had a 50% or better rating only in the dark-green states:
Obama’s overall average approval rating in 2010 was 47%, down 11 percentage points from the 58% he recorded in his first calendar year in office. For purposes of this state-by-state analysis, Obama’s average is calculated for the calendar year, and is therefore slightly different than the yearly average calculated beginning with his inauguration on January 20, 2009.
Broadly speaking, residents of 20 states gave Obama an approval rating within three percentage points of his national average (between 43.8% and 49.8%). Twelve states plus the District of Columbia had average approval ratings above that range, and in 18 states, approval fell below it.
The graphic is striking. Obama only gets majority approval for his performance on the West Coast and the Northeast — and not even all of those areas. He holds his home state of Illinois and his birth state of Hawaii, both unsurprisingly, but between the coasts there exists a vast land of either indifference or outright disapproval. Traditional Democratic states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are wavering. The entire interior West has become outright hostile. More than half of the states have shown a double-digit decline in approval for Obama.
Presidents can win re-election with overall approval ratings below 50%, but that usually requires either a credible third-party challenge or an extraordinarily poor challenger. The economy would have to significantly improve to move these numbers in the direction where Obama can feel safe, and that seems unlikely to happen while Obama continues to press for regulatory adventurism.
Obama has a year at best to turn this around. He won the 2008 election at the peak of Bush fatigue by seven points nationwide. Continuing erosion in his standing puts the White House within the grasp of the GOP, especially if they nominate a credible candidate who can attract a “big tent” of those discontented with Obama.
I despised Clinton. But he was a self-absorbed a**hole. He was always looking out for himself. Obama is a “true believer”. He actually believes in the stuff he is ramming down our throats. He is much more dangerous.
And keep in mind that millions of good conservative Republicans would not vote if the candidate is someone they don't like even if it puts King Obama in again. We got King Obama the last time just that way.
You do realize that Maine took the governor's mansion, the house AND the senate - for the first time in 50 yrs. (Of course you do.)
You do know that our new governor is Chris Christie WITHOUT the RINO tendency. (Of course you do.)
You do know he's already kicking butt big time- letting no grass grown under his feet - (Of course you do.)
Now on to say bah buy to to our 2 RINO madams - we're returning to our historical roots as one of the deepest Conservative states in the country = and all thanks to the 'bummer-muzzie in the WH.
He woke up the sheeple and they are stampeding.
Think about it, if she gets him on the ticket what a jux-position of a free-market turnaround with no government money vs. 4 years of TARP, QE1, QE2, GM, and every other government centric top down fiasco that has turned this economy into return of the Ceauşescu's...
If he is 1/2 the star I think he is I can't see how Michigan doesn't go Sarah's way with him on the ticket.
I also hear he has let down his hair a bit in some meetings with the troops and takes a jab or two at the poltical class...
And georgia as well. There is absophuckinglutely no way his rating in our state is average.
The Elephant in the room.... THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE.
Clinton won with 43% in 1992.
I tell you what, my better half will kill me unless I take her :-)...
If Maine goes GOP in 12' we are gonna have to meet at Chauncey's Creek for a Laubbstaa....!!!
Best dang Laubstaa I ever had.
Yes I raised on the east coast and had a good friend that lived in Wells and I spent a lot of time in that area.
The true annual inflation rate already is closer to 48% than to 8%. Crude oil prices soared 8% just yesterday alone. I acknowledge that the government and Federal Reserve perceive inflation as negative. That’s because the labor on installation of specialty electronics on luxury yachts has gotten cheaper with escalating unemployment.
You mean 1992.
... and the Middle East swarming with Mulllahs.
CA, NY and IL all lost some electoral votes I believe. Obama’s opponent in 2012 only needs FL, IN, TX, OH and the rest of the South to counter.
States Obama won in 2008 like WI, NV, MO, etc. will probably dump him given the weak economy.
LOL!!
Thanks goodness for the electoral college.
Makes it so N.Y. L.A. and a few other crapholes that have far too many folks can’t shove their b.s. up our wazooooos.
“Be mindful of the point that Obama could win again if he has an extraordinarily poor challenge”
Or if a 3rd-party spoiler comes along to split the conservative vote.
” his birth state of Hawaii”?
Would you bet YOUR farm this poser was born in Hawaii?
That's like death warmed over for an incumbent. And this is Gallup, known for its liberal weighting.
Yeah,
That’s the ticket.
Gas at 5 dollor plus. Inflation at jimmy carter levels.
That’s gonna cause me to have a change of heart.
Instead of me thinking obammy is the devil I’m gonna enthusiastically support this marxist punk?
LLS
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