The Elephant in the room.... THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE.
Clinton won with 43% in 1992.
That's what I suspected, but can they find one who won't hurt Obama more than the Republican?
There are a lot of anti-Palin independents out there who might vote for a Bloomberg-type candidate, but a lot of them would vote for Obama if it were a two-candidate race, so having the third candidate in there only hurts Obama.
If a third party candidate were to hurt the Republicans and help Obama it would have to be something conservatives inflict on themselves.
Of course that doesn't exclude the possibility of some nutty billionaire gumming up the works with a self-financed campaign, but will people fall for it this time?
Donald Trump, Mr. Third Party