The only thing I agree with is that there doesn’t seem to be a Republican that can stur passion. So far, it’s the same old faces of 4 years ago.
yes.... we’re sure scared now!
They open with a false premise. As long as unemployment stays around 10% nobody will buy that the economy is rebounding.
Obama certainly could win, but it will be despite the economy.
ONE Reason WHY Obama WON’T Win in 2012
___________________________________________
Certifigate.
The Anti-birthers (here on FR and everywhere else) keep telling us that the birth certificate issue is a non-starter. That we should focus on the issues and defeat his agendas.
It’s been two years now. How’s that working out for us?
Really, the ONLY thing that is gaining momentum and is moving forward to derail the Pres__ent is Certifigate.
Yes, it is encouraging that the Repubs want to overturn Obama Care, and yes it is helpful that a majority of states are opposed to it as well, but Certifigate is still viable.
If only the RINO’s at Fox News would get on board, as well as Limbaugh and Sarah.
Oh, and FREE THE LONG FORM! (That is if Abercrombie can find it!)
From the genius who runs the No Labels bunch.
1. True, except that most Presidents with an economy in the pits as this one is fail to be re-elected. See Carter.
2. VERY true.
3. True, though Republicans will manage to raise a Billion, too.
4. Partly True. The difference, this time, is that they have to run on his record.
5. Partly True. There are other factors involved that were not in play in the prior elections cited. i.e., Economy.
6. FALSE
7. FALSE. White flight will not be reversed. Obama has to run on his record, and that record stands squarely against him being able to retain anything more than the ardently partisan. Independents are not likely to break his way.
8. FALSE. Obama’s “moderte” rating — weak, even by the polls cited here — will be unmasked as a the lie that it is when he starts Vetoing Republican legislation and with his rhetoric against Republicans and other Conservatives on the Campaign Trail. His own mouth and party will be his downfall here.
9. Could happen, but more likely its wishful thinking on the part of the left that Republicans will self-destructe. The massive sparring match between Obama and Hillary didn’t keep Obama from being elected. And, there’s no guarantee that Obama won’t be running for nomination unopposed.
10. True
11. True. This is one of the problems with illegal immigration, which leads to voter fraud via illegal voter registration.
12. True. But, similarly, there are several paths to 270 for Republicans. The Mid-terms demonstrate that Democrat control of certain states is not as much of a “given” as it once was when one takes into consideration the fickle attitude of the Independent voters relative to the economy.
In short, while several of the points made in the article are True, several are false and where they are false tends to undermine the weight of even those that are true. The economy and his own broken promises to his far-left constituency will be the elephant in the room at the Dem Convention. It will also be the elephant in the voting booth that will keep independents and some of his core base from voting for him. Many won’t vote, other will vote for 3rd party candidates, and still others will vote Republican (as happened in 2010). Don’t underestimate the impact of the Tea Party, nor the impact of the hyper-criticism of Tea Party or the Dems attempt to blame Republicans for the shootings in Arizona, etc.
14.
15.
If the economy rebounds, Zero is likely to win reelection. If there is a double-dip recession, he’s done for — no matter who the Republicans nominate.
#12 has a bit of truth. However, only Colorado, New Mexico, or Nevada would have to come to their senses to defeat Obama. Wisconsin, and Iowa seem to be trending toward the red at the moment also. All bets are off if a RINO like Romney is nominated.