1. True, except that most Presidents with an economy in the pits as this one is fail to be re-elected. See Carter.
2. VERY true.
3. True, though Republicans will manage to raise a Billion, too.
4. Partly True. The difference, this time, is that they have to run on his record.
5. Partly True. There are other factors involved that were not in play in the prior elections cited. i.e., Economy.
6. FALSE
7. FALSE. White flight will not be reversed. Obama has to run on his record, and that record stands squarely against him being able to retain anything more than the ardently partisan. Independents are not likely to break his way.
8. FALSE. Obama’s “moderte” rating — weak, even by the polls cited here — will be unmasked as a the lie that it is when he starts Vetoing Republican legislation and with his rhetoric against Republicans and other Conservatives on the Campaign Trail. His own mouth and party will be his downfall here.
9. Could happen, but more likely its wishful thinking on the part of the left that Republicans will self-destructe. The massive sparring match between Obama and Hillary didn’t keep Obama from being elected. And, there’s no guarantee that Obama won’t be running for nomination unopposed.
10. True
11. True. This is one of the problems with illegal immigration, which leads to voter fraud via illegal voter registration.
12. True. But, similarly, there are several paths to 270 for Republicans. The Mid-terms demonstrate that Democrat control of certain states is not as much of a “given” as it once was when one takes into consideration the fickle attitude of the Independent voters relative to the economy.
In short, while several of the points made in the article are True, several are false and where they are false tends to undermine the weight of even those that are true. The economy and his own broken promises to his far-left constituency will be the elephant in the room at the Dem Convention. It will also be the elephant in the voting booth that will keep independents and some of his core base from voting for him. Many won’t vote, other will vote for 3rd party candidates, and still others will vote Republican (as happened in 2010). Don’t underestimate the impact of the Tea Party, nor the impact of the hyper-criticism of Tea Party or the Dems attempt to blame Republicans for the shootings in Arizona, etc.
As for point 12, I wonder if the author adjusted the electoral count to reflect the loss and gain for a number of states as a result of the 2010 census. If memory serves, some six votes go from blue to red states, which makes Obama a loser if he can’t carry these five states.