PPP (D) Poll: Miller leads in Alaska (Miller 37%, Leesa Merkowskee 30%, McAdams 30%)

PPP ^

[Chet 99]

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2010

Miller leads in Alaska

Joe Miller is favored heading into the final two days of the US Senate campaign in Alaska. 37% of voters say they'll pick him while 30% plan to vote for Scott McAdams and another 30% plan to write in Lisa Murkowski. Miller is winning despite having the worst personal favorability numbers of the three candidates. Only 36% have a positive opinion of him while 59% view him in a negative light. McAdams is by far the most popular with 50% rating him favorably to only 30% with an unfavorable one. Voters aren't very enamored with Murkowski either, giving her a 37/53 approval rating.

How can McAdams be so much more popular than Miller yet still be trailing the race? It's because 92% of the small group of voters that does like Miller is planning to vote for him. But only 56% of the voters with a positive opinion of McAdams are intending to cast their ballots for him, while 31% of them are going for Lisa Murkowski.

The high number of voters who like McAdams, dislike Miller, and are voting for Murkowski place the race in a whole different light than has been thought of the last few months. Murkowski's campaign, rather than propping herself up at the expense of Miller, may actually end up propping Miller up at the expense of McAdams. You never know how things would have unfolded in a two way race but Murkowski seems to be taking a lot more voters away from McAdams than she is from Miller.

[Eldon Tyrell]

Yup.

last polls will open up the gaps - so they can be close to margin of error. Last polls will be released late Monday or even Tuesday.

Reps are going to decimate Dems nationwide. We are looking at a 15-20% electoral shift.

The media and government have lost credibility with a vast swath of our society - we are looking at a non-violent revolution.

[excopconservative]

Miller leads in Alaska (Miller 37%, Leesa Merkowskee 30%

Best news I’ve heard all day, if it holds true through Tuesday!

---

Due to being a write-in, I’ll be surprised if she does better than 20%.

[BigEdLB]

Don’t insult Timon... He’s a nice guy ;)

[screaminsunshine]

She reminds me more of a Gargoyle than a Cow.

[screaminsunshine]

PPP is not very accurate. Rassmussen is useually the closest.

[screaminsunshine]

The democrats have many more parasitic voters.

[tina07]

Love your spelling too Chet, but are you sure it’s not Leysah Morecowsski??? Jon Cary told me that spelling!!

[SatinDoll]

Doesn’t matter where in the U.S.

[counterpunch]

Just watch the national media scratch their heads over Huffman beating Wyden in Oregon... a race they haven’t even been watching.

[DeusExMachina05]

This race is giving me heartburn. :)

[DemforBush]

This is terrible news! I sure hope Liza Murrcouskiae’s voters turn out to write her name in (supporters please take note of the proper and 100% correct spelling I’ve posted).

[Perdogg]

I thought it was Murkowskee.

[rwfromkansas]

Hope this is accurate....have heard Alaska is hard to poll..

[Eye of Unk]

Its not hard at all in Anchorage which is the liberal fortress up here. Its the rural REAL Alaska that cannot be polled accurately. Just view the MSM such as the ADN newspaper site or any of the TV affiliates for the last month or so and as far as they are concerned everything truly conservative, has Tea Party influence or is supported by Sarah Palin is a bunch of Nazi militia groups intent on converting the country to a fourth Reich. I truly hope the tsunami is so large and gargantuan that it literally washes all the garbage out to sea.

[Fishtalk]

Not for one second did I believe that write-in candidate with the long and unwieldy last name was going to win that thing.

And yet I chew my fingernails here in the swamps of Delaware over the Christine O’Donnell race. Nary a poll one out about it OR the House race which is also big here in the swamps: Urquhart/Carney.

And don’t give me no TCJ poll....that’s a Blog!

[dools0007world]

So, you favor people who portray themselves as something different than they are?

I, for one, am fed up with pols who lie and deceive us. You should be, too. That would be a good sign.

[dools0007world]

Did anyone mention Santa Clause? Probably the most loved man after Jesus. And in Christendom, Jesus is the most loved man in the world. I think Satindoll needs a brains and sanity check. Of course if she’s a troll—or worse—well, nough said.

[qwertypie]

Your statement about beards and politics is one that I heard 40 or 50 years ago and is probably still valid. But it is only a percentage situation, and there can be exceptions. In this upside=down America, there probably are places where a heavily tattooed woman could get conservative votes — a much less trustworthy person imo.

[Scanian]

Too bad the same isn’t true of Weiner.

New Yawk is soooo blasé about such things, apparently.

[IamConservative]

Murkowski may poll 30% in a telephone poll, but when people get in the booth and her name is not on the ballot to be recognized, I have to think 15%, maybe 20% tops. Mid-term voters tend to be the more interested, but it’s just not human nature to write in on a ballot.