Posted on 10/12/2010 10:48:00 PM PDT by tlb
Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, shows West Virginia governor and Democratic Senate candidate Joe Manchin leading Republican John Raese by 3 points (48% to 45%), just a couple weeks after trailing Raese by a few points. It will be interesting to see if other pollsters pick up the same movement. Last week, Rasmussen showed Raese leading Manchin 50% to 44%.
Nevada race remains tight. PPP shows Harry Reid leading Sharron Angle by 2 points in Nevada (47% to 45%). But Fox News finds Angle with 2 point lead (49% to 47%).
From Fox's other polls out today (GOP candidates listed first):
Linda McMahon is trailing Dick Blumenthal by just 6 points in Connecticut (43% to 49%)--a slight improvement from the last Fox poll showing her down 10.
Washington.. Dino Rossi over Sen. Patty Murray (47% to 46%).
Delaware ...Christine O'Donnell trailing Chris Coons by 16 points (38% to 54%).
Finally, Rasmussen shows Republican Ron Johnson leading Democratic senator Russ Feingold 52% to 45% in the the Wisconsin Senate race--a little closer than it was two weeks ago (54% to 42%). But the poll is still bad news for Feingold.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
“Christine O’Donnell has 3 times the FB Fans Chris Coons has: 24,000 - 8,000.”
Very encouraging.
Whether Delaware ever elected the Republican is really not the big take away from this primary. That conservatives have a target on the heads of liberal Republicans and will oust them in the primaries is a more important lesson.
There was a list earlier in the week of Republican Senators that the Tea Party was going to target next election cycle.
Individuals on that list (and others, except McCain of course) will think twice about siding with Democrats when they know that the results may be an embarrassing primary defeat. I am more hopeful that Rinos will consider the consequences of their behavior in light of the O’Donnell primary victory.
Even Democrats will be more cautious during the next two years, I think. Maybe I just hope but when they are touting how much they voted with Republicans in their campaigns this go round, it is looking good for the home team.
“It’s easy to get caught up in defending personal slurs, but the candidates at this point have to stay on message. The stimulus, ignoring voters, the health care fiasco, and who created them and forced them on us is where the focus has to be. That drives turn out and changes votes. He said, she said does nothing.”
Great point. All that extraneous personal stuff should be farmed out to her spokespeople so she can focus entirely on the big issues that matter.
Feingold’s still trailing. :)
If O'Donnell loses, she has run a gallant race in the face of the establishment GOP weasels who have done everything they can to undermine her. It is time to return the favor. The GOP is no longer the party of Planned Barrenhood as it was forty and more years ago. We ain't going back. Flexibility on fiscal issues would get us five socially conservative Democrat voters for every elitist that departs.
The message for this year is that 52% is not enough or anywhgere close to enough for a GOP Senate candidate. Castle and Kirk want babies killed, wars lost and ended, weapons systems unfunded, marriage undermined by perversions posing as "marriage, spineless diployak as a foreign policy of smooching the backsides of our enemies, guns to be grabbed, etc., etc., ad infinitum ad nauseam.
Either the GOP label means something or it does not. The GOP was blasted out of office by its refusal to enforce ideological discipline on the RINOs and DIABLOs. The Demonrats have been soooo baaaad that the GOP is getting a very quick second chance. Blow it this time by electing trash like Kirk and Castle or tolerating their social issue revolutionary voting records and the GOP is permanent toast and will go where the Whigs and Federalists went before them for similar reasons of money obsession.
It is time that social issue conservatives refuse to support "fiscal conservatives" who do not support the entire package of conservative issues. The era of good will toward money-obsession posing as conservatism or Republicanism must come to an end. Conservatives should support tax cutting but NOT in a vacuum and with no special favoritism for the upper marginal bracket folks. On taxes, the first order of business should be extending all Bush tax cuts EXCEPT those above $250,000. That increase would be about 4.5%. Kill the estate and gift taxes permanently and the wealthy will get a much bigger benefit than they would by extending their top bracket rate reductions.
If Karl Rove and Weekly Standard and other critics of Christine would concentrate their fire where it belongs on Coons' Marxist track record, on making clear to Delaware what a fool Coons is, and destroying Coons as a public figure, then we would have Senator O'Donnell more easily. If the spineless do not come around, then their behavior should be punished regularly for the future that is in sight. Illinois is one step further down the line and we have to elect Giannoulias to deal with the DIABLO menace and to end Nancyboy Kirk's career once and for all. When Giannoulias is indicted, convicted and imprisoned (an old Illinois tradition), the newly elected conservative Governor Bill Brady will appoint to the vacancy.
We are on defense for two more years. Then we can eject Comrade Obamao and another Demonrat class of senators. If we then get to a solid 60 in the Senate and keep or expand a solid majority in the House, we can deal with SCOTUS and the other federal courts and legislate largely at will.
Our ability to achieve such dreams is not enhanced by electing trash like Castle and Kirk to be "Republican" US senators.
I wouldn’t be too quick to discount Rush. Not only does he have incredible instincts about politics, he is also privy to tons of inside information.
He may be playing some kind of rope-a-dope, but I doubt it. If he is saying that the internals are bad for Coons, they probably are.
The problem with your scenario is two-fold:
1) Obama has gone to Wisconsin, and is planning on going to Washington. A heavily expected Coons victory is not going to wash away the stench of campaigning in two blue states, and losing.
2) Even if he were to somehow claim that he was the winning factor, he would be exposing himself to charges that the blowout was his fault (ie - if he could do so much in Delaware, why wasn’t he in Missouri, Penn, Nevada, Ohio, etc.).
2a) In particular to your final point, they would blame him for Colorado, Nevada, and Florida, where Republicans will win, and he was nowhere to be found — and where those Republicans are heavily tea-party-ish.
The most likely explanation is that Rush is right. The internals are bad for Coons (or at least they indicate weakness). In all likelihood, Coons is up by 15-20 among registered voters, up 10-15 among likely voters (using a very loose definition of likely), but there is a much smaller gap among likely voters using a narrower prediction mechanism. This would dovetail with the national figures which show a dominating “low-turnout” Republican lead.
AMEN!!!!! Whining defeatists piss me off.
Huh, well said.
Agreed.
You talk about discipline then you advocate raising taxes on the “rich”? I’ve got news for you, $250k a year, as a family of 4, doesn’t make you rich, it makes you a high earner. If you live in the NE it makes you middle class (I don’t live in the NE).
It also likely makes you a small business, which employs people. Take your class warfare somewhere else.
For the record, you are advocating RAISING TAXES on people you don’t like. Thanks for shopping.
I agree. Why are they wasting weeks talking about her when the election should be about Coons/Obama and jobs, debt and obamcare failures?
Yes, but Rove was wrong to slam her. Fact is that everyone in Texas knows that Rove is not a conservative.
I live in a small county in WV. Democrats outnumber Republicans 4 to 1. I’ve been going door to door in a local campaign. I’ve found very few folks that are voting for Manchin. Most are pissed at Manchin for wasting money on a special election and/or breaking his promise to serve out his term as governor.
I agree.
Christine O’Donnell needs to stop playing nice and come out with ads showing Coons Marxist ties. His essay, his volunteer support for black liberation theology, and his extreme liberalism. She’s playing softball, and her ads have been very disappointing. If she wants to win she has to stop campaigning like McCain did in 2008, and show Coon for the radical leftist he is.
http://christine2010.com/1mill1trill/
I understand, but RINOS are no longer welcome to a huge swath of motivated GOP voters and if that means Delaware is dem then so be it.
It is clear that the time has come to show real conservatism or be out of office with us.
I still don't count Christine O'Donnell out if she really goes after Coons instead of putting out those unimpressive ads. She needs to become aggressive at this point, and help educate the people of Delaware on just how big of a radical leftist Coons is. Nobody should be giving up on O'Donnell in this race until it's over.
“extending all Bush tax cuts EXCEPT those above $250,000.”
Barky, is that you?
The comments from southern Delaware’s newspapers are 10-1 for O’Donnell and Coons bankrupted New Castle County. Plus, voters are more pissed than the Wilmington paper are about the New Jersey-Delaware Democratic voter fraud. Obama needs to rescue Coons.
per Rush: Why is Obama going to campaign for her Coons?
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