Posted on 09/12/2010 6:48:53 PM PDT by dfergu7477
Raleigh, N.C. – It looks like there’s a real possibility of a major upset in the Delaware Senate primary on Tuesday night, with insurgent conservative Christine O’Donnell leading longtime Congressman and Governor Mike Castle 47-44. That 3 point lead is well within the poll’s margin of error. If Castle is indeed defeated Tuesday night it will be yet another sign that conservatives have a strangle hold on the Republican Party and moderates may or may not be welcome anymore. Castle has an overwhelming 69-21 lead with moderate voters but they only make up 33% of the likely primary electorate. O’Donnell has a 62-31 lead with conservatives that’s more than enough to propel her to the overall lead. It’s clear that Castle’s popularity has taken a sharp turn in the wrong direction over the last month. An August PPP poll found his favorability with Delaware Republicans at a 60/25 spread. Now his favorables within the party are negative at 43/47. That’s largely a product of 55% of voters in his party saying they think he’s too liberal compared to 37% who think he’s about right. GOP voters are pretty sharply divided about O’Donnell as well. 45% have a favorable opinion of her with 41% seeing her unfavorably. Only 50% of primary voters think she’s fit to hold public office but she does much better than Castle on the ideology front- 53% think she’s about right. If O’Donnell pulls it out Tuesday night it will be a major victory for Delaware’s small but united group of Tea Party voters. Just 25% of Republicans in the state consider themselves to be members of that movement but they give her a 79-18 advantage that’s more than enough to overcome her 52-39 deficit with everyone else.
do not trust PPP as far as you can throw them, they are Dem through and through and are probably pushing this poll from orders higher up because they know Castle will beat the crap out of Coons in the GE. O’Donnell would have her work cut out against Coons.
Just don’t trust PPP.
Well what if O’Donnell loses when Castle could have been our 51st seat and we could have controlled the senate and all the committee appointments. Guess who gets it all if its 50/50.
So winning the house and then losing the senate because we put down a rino who could win in Delaware would not seem so clever.
I’m as much for taking down rino’s but know when to pick your battles.
There is a far bigger picture here.
I think you will get your goal and 51+.
The game changer will be the majority that win will be conservative creating a coalition to block the likes of the RINO's or better yet make them come our way on legislation instead of bending over for the Dems like they have been.
Blocking : Graham, McCain, Snowe, Collins, Lugar, and any others you can mention will be fun.
Because at some point it ain't gonna be fun anymore for them and the rulling class will not like the paradigm change and many may retire or quit.
Sounds good too me.
LOL. You forgot her thriving business in dog-fighting, having hired Mr. Vick as her manager.
LOL. Don’t forget her lucrative part-time job designing Michelle’s clothes.
Plus she owns that uranium-enrichment plant in Tehran. Busy, busy, busy!
Yes, but can she beat the democrat?
Yes, but can she beat the democrat?
THIS is what PPP is after: "General election Senate numbers we'll release later this week make it clear the biggest beneficiary of this primary becoming so unexpectedly hotly contested is Chris Coons. He would start out with a large advantage over O'Donnell in a general election match up..."
Among GOP voters, yes, but is that going to carry her through the general election. We're going to find that out on a lot of fronts this year.
OMG all our hard work may gel yet!! Just too good!!
Kudos to FR for urging Sarah to back her. IMHO,its made a clear difference.
Best news I have had all week. And once again when we nationalize these races it makes a huge difference.
Hey rockinRight you are rockinwrong.
Just too good had to be repeated!!
Good.
PPP is a left-wing outfit, right?
Let’s see if Rasmussen polls. :)
I'm hoping a lot of AZ conservatives will vote Dem in November also. We will never get a conservative in McCain's Senate seat as long as he is an incumbent. Our best bet is to take it back from a Dem incumbent in 2016.
You have to give PPP credit for at least conducting the poll when other pollsters imho have been delinquent.
Which is why O'Donnell will get crushed in the general, unfortunately.
Mike Castle is a Democrat. That’s all there is to it.
Just like here in California, The “republican” establishment candidates are Democrats.
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