Posted on 07/18/2010 11:24:25 AM PDT by RogerFGay
As I mentioned in Al Gore AppearsNote to Warmers: No More Do-Overs!:If at first they dont succeed then they will deny and lie again! And that goes for the second time, the third, the fourth . You get it as never-ending as Florida recounts; it goes on and on until responsible people step in and put a stop to it.OK now certainly if you've tried to follow the warmers arguments at all, you remember the claim of a scientific consensus. It was showcased in Al Gore's film, An Inconvenient Truth. Supposedly, all credible scientists were absolutely certain that the things he said in his movie were true; just as surely as gravity exists and the earth is round.From the ardent Internet believer in global warming theory who cant provide any real scientific evidence, to the East Anglia researchers who insist that Climategate is merely a misunderstanding, to IPCC defenders who claim their reports are only in error by a few insignificant typos, to Al Gore still battling the imminent destruction of planet Earth by the evil global warming pollutants, there can never be too many chances to ignore defeat and start all over again from the beginning.
It's part of the basic propaganda formula. Claiming that everyone who's anyone believes is sometimes called the bandwagon technique. In this case, the everyone refers to scientists, and that adds an an appeal to authority, another propaganda ploy. (related article on these techniques and others) Al Gore was very direct. This isn't me claiming these things, he insisted. (I'm not going to watch the movie again to make sure I have this word for word, but it's accurate.) These are scientists. And he went on to quote figures from a published article on how many articles had been published that referred to global warming.
Then Al Gore's claims were reviewed. Lists of factual errors and speculations in his film were created, some longer than others. A British judge found misinformation and made it the law of the land to reveal and discuss them when showing the film to school children. It turned out that the paper on which the consensus claim was based misrepresented what scientists had said in their papers, and why they had even bothered to mention global warming. (Follow the money. The federal government was writing grant offerings in a wide variety of fields requiring its mention.) And even if the paper had been accurate, it had little very little to do with Al Gore's specific claims.
Over 30,000 scientists signed a petition urging the United States to reject the Kyoto agreement, stating:
There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing, or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.Additional petitions, such as the Manhattan Declaration on Climate Change included scientists and researchers in climate and related fields, economists, policymakers, and business leaders who had reviewed the evidence and affirmed that climate change is natural and normal and that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, among other things.Various surveys were conducted among scientists and practitioners in earth and atmospheric sciences showing much weaker support than warming propagandists had claimed. And then came Climategate, exposing the fraudulent science that had some scientists and so many non-scientists believing that something more had been going on than actually was. Belief in catastrophic man-made global warming dropped like a rock in all quarters.
Did I say global warming propagandists always want to start over again no matter how many times they lose the debate? Yes I did, and here we go.
Before quickly commenting on the cause, take a look at the effect. USA Today titles a June 22 article Report: 97 percent of scientists say man-made climate change is real. Excerpts:
The study found that 97 percent of scientific experts agree that climate change is "very likely" caused mainly by human activity.The study, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences provided a hit-list of scientists whom the authors claim should not be believed on the subject of global warming. Holy politically motivated blacklist!!!! This is exactly the complaint made by credible scientists about the bias in scientific publications on climate; one of the elements of the scam highlighted by Climategate emails. Warming propagandists make systematic efforts to shut other scientists out to keep their fraudulent work from being exposed.The report is based on questions posed to 1,372 scientists. Nearly all the experts agreed that it is "very likely that anthropogenic greenhouse gases have been responsible for most of the unequivocal warming of the Earth's average global temperature in the second half of the twentieth century."
..
As for the 3 percent of scientists who remain unconvinced, the study found their average expertise is far below that of their colleagues, as measured by publication and citation rates.
The authors hand picked the 1,372 scientists in their review, a small portion of the 10s of thousands of scientists who have weighed in on the subject, and made up their own criteria for determining agreement with the IPCC and for determining who's credible and who's not. If the public pays much attention to this paper I personally guarantee you'll be hearing more about the bias, misrepresentations, and misleading illogic that this paper has to offer.
Meanwhile, the IPCC is in critical condition. Warmers are trying to save it, and start up the eternal do-overs to bring it some credibility in the eyes of the non-scientific public - or at least give cover to continuing political efforts on Cap-n-Trade and government takeovers through PR tricks like reorganization and instruction manuals for good conduct. Why isn't there a law demanding that these people let the dead horse rest in peace?
80% of all statistics are made up on the spot.
Naked Gun: “He’s got a fifty percent chance of living, but there’s only a 20 percent chance of that.”
Hoho! Oregon Petition — the shot heard round the warming community.
I thought it was 87.6%.
Record Cold At Antarctic Station
http://www.iceagenow.com/Record_Cold_At_Antarctic_Station.htm
Argentina in Antarctic cold snap -
‘Southern Hemisphere is freezing’ - 15 Jul 10
South Africa’s Frost will see vegetable prices rocket - 15 Jul 10
Temperature hits record low in Brazil - 15 Jul 10
New Zealand - Mercury plunges to record lows - 14 Jul 10
Alberta Walloped with Heavy Snow - In mid July! - 13 July 10
http://www.iceagenow.com/2009_Other_Parts_of_the_World.htm
Record Collapse of Earth’s Upper Atmosphere
http://www.iceagenow.com/Record_Collapse_of_Earths_Upper_Atmosphere.htm
Global warming my backside -
Coldest day in Australia in almost 100 years
http://www.iceagenow.com/Global_warming_my_backside_Coldest_day_in_Australia_in_100_years.htm
Meteorologist Forecasts Drastic Cooling!
uses NOAA’s own data
http://www.iceagenow.com/Meteorologist_Forecasts_Drastic_Cooling.htm
Scientific herds all mindlessly running the same direction (usually chasing grant money these days) always remind me of Einstein’s reaction when told that a pamphlet entitled “100 Authors Against Einstein” had been published: “If I were wrong, one would have been enough.”
Every prediction of the anthropogenic theory has been falsified, and the only “proof” ever offered of its validity as a causal theory were computer models. It’s wrong. One scientist pointing that out is enough.
I take it the survey didn’t bother asking any Russian climatologists, virtually all of whom think AGW is rot, that the sun is the main driver, and that we’re likely heading for an ice age.
“80% of all statistics are made up on the spot.
Yes, but that only happens 62% of the time. “
BUT, only after a coin flip.
Gore-Bull warming
RE: Einstein comment - yep.
When Gore bought his new house near sea level the hoax was exposed.
Of course computer models only model what they are told to model. Modeling the atmosphere and the oceans is something that we do not presently haed the capability to do. So I don’t accept AGW. Especially when politicians who do accept it want my tax money and a lower standard of living for all US citizens as the price.
Thanks for posting the entire article. Nice job on the formatting and the links too.
Studies have been shown to be a leading cause of statistics.
83.47%
Please get your numbers straight. < /s>
This is similar to how we have a global temperature for a year calculated to within a tenth of a degree Celsius. Ever wonder how that gets calculated? Yeah, me too. And I’ll donate another $25 on top of my monthly if you can find a clear exposition on that. From what I can tell, it doesn’t exist.
Another statistic I’d like to really have - what is the average amount of AGW grant money those 97% of the 1,372 scientists received over the last 5 years. Follow the money.
Yes, that's true – and 79.62357% of those are reported at an unreasonable level of precision. :=)
Like in Political Polls. Candidate X has 53% support in the polls and that poll is 95% right.
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