A look at the scientific method used for this report.
Posted on 12/11/2009 11:31:06 AM PST by My Favorite Headache
Colorado State University makes their first predictions for next season.
Just weeks after the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season wraps up, the forecasters at Colorado State University are making their first round of predictions for the 2010 season.
Philip Klotzbach and William Gray predict 11 to 16 named storms in the forecast.
They say three to five of the storms will be major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.
Gray says warm sea surface temperatures will contribute to above-average activity.
The forecast says there is a 64 percent chance of at least one major hurricane reaching the U.S. coastline.
Nine named storms developed last season.
Three became hurricanes, and none came ashore in the U.S.
The Colorado State team, which has issued forecasts for 27 years, will issue updates in April, June and August.
But to them? It's all about the melting polar caps. I swear it's like they sit and watch The Day After Tomorrow around the clock.
Yeah, whatever.
FYI - William Gray is a climate change/global warming skeptic. I don’t know about the other person.
again????
I thought the head guy at CSU was an AGW “skeptic-denier-heretic” like us.
I doubt they really know what constitutes “average”.
No kidding!
It seems to me that these guys are rarely correct. Climate gate has confirmed all of these reports are suspect.
Who said this algore?
I visit easternuswx.com during the season. I'm always looking for new sites to learn more about hurricanes.
How much do these guys get paid? I could sit there with a Magic 8 Ball and make outlandish predictions if the money’s good.
A look at the scientific method used for this report.
Here was there 2009 forecast:
“Forecasters say there is a 70 percent chance of having nine to 14 named storms, of which four to seven could become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5).”
Here was their 2009 forecast:
“Forecasters say there is a 70 percent chance of having nine to 14 named storms, of which four to seven could become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5).”
Quick pass Capn Trade!!!! The sky is falling !!!!
Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
No matter, all weather proves global warming, so no matter what happens, it is your duty to hand over your money and freedom to Al Gore and the gang to save the world.
“Forecasters say there is a 70 percent chance of having nine to 14 named storms, of which four to seven could become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5).”
Guess they liked the 2009 forecast so much that they amped it up a tad and repeated it.
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