Posted on 08/20/2009 8:02:39 PM PDT by Ocarterma
Latest News From Zogby!
Developing—Obama hits record low in Zogby Interactive—45% approve…... [ read on ] (8/20/09)
(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...
The article is out now:
http://www.zogby.com/news/readnews.cfm?ID=1734
UTICA, New York - President Barack Obama’s job approval rating has sunk to a record low of just 45%, the latest Zogby Interactive poll shows. Fifty-one percent of likely voters now say they disapprove of the President’s job performance.
“None of these numbers looks counter-intuitive to me. Gallup, NBC, and Pew all have Obama at record lows. Rasmussen also shows low approval. Things are volatile out there and news travels fast. There is a lot of anxiety over healthcare,” said Zogby International President and CEO John Zogby. “The President let it get away from him and voters are scared right now. They are experiencing sacrifice overload and feel more threatened than empowered. The President is being forced to play defense and he is much better when he is in possession of the ball. But do not underestimate Obama. Last August he was toast.”
The Zogby Interactive survey of 2,530 likely voters nationwide was conducted Aug. 18-20, 2009, and carries a margin of error of +/- 2.0 percentage points.
Zogby International also uses a four-point scale of job performance. Using that measure, this latest survey finds 16% rate his job performance as excellent and 27% as good. Another 11% gave him a fair rating while 45% said his job performance is poor. Both scales show a significant drop from a Zogby International telephone poll conducted July 31-Aug. 4, which showed 53% approving of Obama’s job performance, and 38% disapproving. At that time, 51% rated his job performance as excellent or good and 48% rated it as fair or poor. Zogby’s last survey showed an improvement over a Zogby Interactive survey conducted July 21-24. Then, 48% approved and 49% disapproved. In that same poll, on the four-point scale, 47% gave Obama excellent or good grades, and 53% chose fair or poor
While this latest poll shows Democrats continue to overwhelmingly approve of Obama’s job performance (84%), just 6% of Republicans say the same. Most independents (59%) now disapprove of the job the President is doing.
“He has lost support among political independents, that’s the biggest change from our last survey. He is also starting to lose support he had picked up among investors and frequent Wal-Mart shoppers — who both are on the conservative side but where Obama had been making gains,” Zogby said. “Remember, Zogby polling has generally been ahead of the curve during the past three administrations.”
I get together with a group of friends on the weekends, in all of the years we have been together, politics is rarely discussed, now, it’s at the top of the list. My husband is laying out of work this week for the 1st time in 20 yrs! Small businesses around me are going down daily. Lots of folks I know are living off of savings right now. Scary times.
Ain’t that the truth!
“The President is being forced to play defense and he is much better when he is in possession of the ball. But do not underestimate Obama. Last August he was toast.”
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Translation: There are many rich Dems that help pay my bills.
(I’ve heard the Zogby is a Dem. Correct? Interestingly, he’s also an Arab American - and I’m an Italian American - lol.)
That black dewd was NOT a conservative. He was an SEIU plant in an attempt to make conservatives look wacky. Later on at the same event, he was seen hanging out with his SEIU buds ... That info was here on FR.
-8 with Raasmussen today. It should hit -10 this weekend or by Tuesday. If it’s -10 for three days straight we’ve hit the tipping point.
Small businesses around me are going down daily.
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Exactly. And small businesses, with so much employment, will cause those UR numbers to certainly rise. Also, who wants to start a business in these times?? How challenging would that be? Bammy’s got us all in handcuffs and straightjackets and then he’s trying to tell us to ‘sacrifice’ for the good of the country? SAY WHAT foo?
Bammy and the dim bulbs need to understand who they work for.
LOL!! We can start calling him "The Democrats' Jimmy Carter"
I’m waiting for it to hit 39%. Can he go as low as Bush’s did?
That black dewd was NOT a conservative. He was an SEIU plant in an attempt to make conservatives look wacky. Later on at the same event, he was seen hanging out with his SEIU buds ... That info was here on FR.
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And even if he were a conservative, that’s one guy out of 42 million AAs? IMHO, it’s time for AAs to explore other political avenues - and even non-political avenues to life!!
LOL!! We can start calling him “The Democrats’ Jimmy Carter”
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How ‘bout “The Democrats’ Barack Obama.” This is also the Democrats’ HR3200.
Zogby Interactive = internet poll.
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http://interactive.zogby.com/home.html
As a pioneer in the field, Zogby expects a certain degree of skepticism of this groundbreaking method. While caller ID, cell phones and rapidly falling response rates foreshadow a day where telephone polling is less preferable, Interactive polling is well on its way to becoming as accurate as telephone polling. In 2006, an internal Zogby analysis found that its interactive surveys were actually more accurate than its telephone polling.
Zogby is continuing to undertake rigorous research and development of its Interactive polling, as explained in detail below, to be ready to take the polling industry into the next generation. And though Zogby’s Interactive polling is not yet perfect, its results , and Zogby anticipates even greater accuracy in the 2008 elections, and beyond.
How does interactive polling work?
Zogby starts with the premise that the vast majority of Americans now visit the Internet on a regular basis. Zogby does a lot of online polling work for corporate, government, non-profit, media, and other clients, as well as for the world of politics. In terms of politics, industry studies show that about 74% of all American adults and 91% of likely voters visit the Internet regularly, which makes this polling methodology particularly effective for political use.
Zogby has amassed a database of respondents that numbers in the hundreds of thousands and is growing by the day. These people have agreed to take online surveys from time to time, for no compensation whatsoever. They never know when they will be invited to take a survey, nor do they know the subject. This database is constantly expanding, and Zogby technicians are constantly cleaning the database of obsolete entries and updating data points on respondents.
When a survey is initiated, a random sample is drawn from this pool of potential respondents, and Zogby sends them an invitation to participate in a survey via email, which includes a link that will take them to the survey on Zogby’s own secure servers. The link expires after one use, which is just one of many security measures Zogby has in place to guarantee the veracity of the polling methodology.
When needed, Zogby’s interactive polling is supplemented by telephone polling to guarantee a full and proper representation of all demographic groups.
Once the desired number of respondents has completed a survey, Zogby technicians process the results, weighting each poll according to its standard practices to reflect the age, gender, geography, race, religion, political affiliation of the population a particular survey is designed to emulate. Other weights may also be applied, depending on the survey.
Zogby keeps an on-going record of data points on each respondent, so that, if any glaring inconsistencies develop over a period of multiple polls, that respondent can be eliminated from the pool.
But that is not the end of it. In a step that is unique in the industry, Zogby then extracts a random sample of completed interactive survey results and sends them to its own on-site call center in Upstate New York for verification. These 2% of interactive respondents are then verified by Zogby’s live telephone operators to guarantee the interactive surveys are reliably and accurately recording responses online. We believe this step is a key to the accuracy of the Zogby polling.
Why use interactive polling?
The way people around the world communicate is changing significantly and rather quickly, as landline telephones give way to cell phone use and Internet communications makes the postal service almost obsolete. The ability to move text, pictures, audio, and video across the Internet at lightning speed has made it the preferred mode of communications – at least for now. This much is obvious.
The point of developing a reliable and accurate interactive polling methodology is to take advantage of the new way in which people are communicating, both to be more efficient and effective. The truth about polling via landline telephones is that it is getting increasingly difficult to find people at home and ready to talk – what with the now-commonplace voicemail and call-screening devices and programs in place. We find it still possible to get a good sample of respondents via landline telephones, but it is taking more time and many more calls to do so.
Zogby has ruled out the conducting of polls over cell phones, for a myriad of reasons too numerous to outline here. Simply put, we do not believe it makes sense to do so.
As cell phones have encroached on the use of landlines, they have not had an adverse impact on Internet usage, which makes us believe that Internet polling will have a long career in the field of public opinion research.
Interactive polling has several inherent advantages as well. It is fast – in that thousands of respondents can be invited to take a survey at the same time, making it possible to conduct very fast surveys and still get large sample sizes. By comparison, a telephone survey must be done with one telephone survey interviewer talking to one respondent at a time, so there are limits on how quickly a survey can be completed.
Along this same line, online surveys can also generate much larger sample sizes, which allows analysts to break out sub-groups and still have large enough samples in those sub-groups to draw meaningful conclusions.
Interactive surveys can include longer, more detailed questions, because the respondent can re-read sections that they may not have understood without the embarrassment of having to ask a telephone interviewer to re-read the question to them. In this same way, online surveys can include more nuanced questions.
Interactive surveys can also include audio and video for the respondents to review and react to. This is a unique benefit that no other polling methodology can match.
That was the talk in the shop yesterday. The economy is in the gutter, his big socialization plans lay in ruins....what's the best distraction? Perhaps he'll get his buddies in the press to focus on Afghanistan, but there's nothing exciting about chasing nomads around the desert. Time to trot the dog and kids out for a photo op....
The people see how manipulated we can be.... and hopefully are waking up to how especially manipulating this con-man is, capable of absolutely anything.
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How many people had heard about the following BEFORE Obama came to power?
ACORN
Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals
Cloward-Priven Strategy
Astroturf
The Chicago Way
Community Organizers
The Dems have been using these for years in a big way, but for most Americans the first time they heard of them has been in the last 6 months (Neil Boortz said yesterday he was hearing for the first time about the Cloward-Priven strategy, and he is pretty involved in politics.)
The mask has fallen away from the Democrats. People are seeing for the first time HOW they do business (manipulating people) and they are about (hard core socialism). They don’t like it, moreso they don’t like the idea that they are being manipulated and lied to.
Trust is like a china plate. If you break it half, you can glue it back together, but there will always be a visible line where the break was.
Obama’s biggest problem is people no longer trust him at his word anymore. They aren’t giving him the benefit of the doubt.
I’ve heard that his support among black voters has stayed very strong, even as his support overall has fallen.
Remember how the media went wild over Sarah Palin
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bammy must mean how the press hounded her, and pursued every possible mendacious rumor possible about her, and created a living hell for her and her family - is that what he means by ‘wild over?’
As Bill Clinton taught us about lying - “It depends on what the meaning of the word ‘is’ is.”
I've heard this mentioned a couple times in different places and I'd like to point out that there is a huge difference between last August and now. Last August, he was a candidate. Now, he's "the man." (Negative term that many use to refer to the govt.)
I think he (and others) may be underestimating this factor.
I think he (and others) may be underestimating this factor.
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He’s lost the support of indies on his waterloo issue. As long as that holds, he stays toast.
Funny how it’s usually the pebble that starts the avalanche. A seemingly innocuous hand-out like “Cash for Clunkers” has convinced the population that if the gov’t can’t manage dealer rebates, there’s no way in hell they can manage healthcare. In fact, more than that, it’s convinced the population that these people are not just incompetent, but certifiably insane.
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