Predictions for Nov 2010

vanity | 13 Aug 2009 | US Navy Vet

[US Navy Vet]

OK it's the day after Election 2010(in'n there is one), what does the US Political landscape look like?

[sickoflibs]

Every 10 posts or so someone pings me with my thoughts and yours is one, thanks!

[italianquaker]

I hope you are right but a year is a lifetime in politics

[Harley]

Dems -4 in the senate, -20 in the House.

Is this prediction base on whether the dems vote for some form of healthcare? I would predict if those blue dogs turn yellow and support the healthcare there will be a lot more blood on the floor.

[ReagansRaiders]

Incoming freshmen U.S. Senators Carly Fiorini (R-CA)*, Ryan Frazier (R-CO)*, Sam Caligiuri (R-CT)*, Mike Castle (R-DE)*, Mark Rubio (R-FL), Mark Kirk (R-IL)*, Jerry Moran (R-KS), Trey Greyson (R-KY), Roy Blunt (R-MO), Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Sue Lowden (R-NV)*, George Pataki (R-NY)*, Rob Portman (R-OH) and Pat Toomey (R-PA)* will be preparing to come to Washington, DC as part of a +8 seat pickup for the GOP in the U.S. Senate, making the balance 52 D / 48 R.

[andy58-in-nh]

LOL!

"Hail, hail Acornia!"

[Iron Munro]

Democrats would rather destroy what is left of the country than relinquish any power.

[ReagansRaiders]

But John Corzine stuns pollsters to win re-election in NJ.

Corzine is up in Nov. 2009.

[buccaneer81]

Republicans pick up seats in the House and lose one or two in the Senate.

I think the Senate numbers stay the same. Dems pick up three from retiring Republicans (NH, OH, FL.) Dems lose in NV, PA, and CT.)

[ReagansRaiders]

I meant to say that the * indicates a pickup for the GOP.

Incoming freshmen U.S. Senators Carly Fiorini (R-CA)*, Ryan Frazier (R-CO)*, Sam Caligiuri (R-CT)*, Mike Castle (R-DE)*, Mark Rubio (R-FL), Mark Kirk (R-IL)*, Jerry Moran (R-KS), Trey Greyson (R-KY), Roy Blunt (R-MO), Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Sue Lowden (R-NV)*, George Pataki (R-NY)*, Rob Portman (R-OH) and Pat Toomey (R-PA)* will be preparing to come to Washington, DC as part of a +8 seat pickup for the GOP in the U.S. Senate, making the balance 52 D / 48 R.

[LS]

“Always in motion is the future.” Yoda.

[perfect_rovian_storm]

An unprecedented number of ‘safe’ seats for both parties will be lost to the other side. It will be a bloodbath for any D who didn’t stand up to the D leadership OR is seen as an indecisive Republican who caved on key issues and cannot be trusted to follow their constituents’ wishes. These two forces may cancel each other out in terms of Republicans taking the house. The primaries will be rough for a lot of these guys too and some surprise people, maybe even household names, will lose to nobodies in the primary. I don’t know how many seats will change hands, but I’d have to say north of 50.

Libertarianism will make a surprise (to some) leap forward in power and ranks across the nation.

The GOP will win statewide elections in places that it generally doesn’t, like NY, CT, and CA, as well as taking out vulnerable ‘blue dogs’.

Toomey will win PA. Dems will keep the senate but see their numbers decline drastically. Harry Reid will not be reelected.

The house and senate will attempt to pass major health care/cap&trade legislation as lame ducks.

Both this and the outcome of the election will cause violence in the streets across America.

[stuartcr]

Ideally, 3 major parties holding power.

[rvoitier]

[big_pale]

Big gains in the house and the senate.

In the house, I would guess a minimum of 30 seats and a max of 50. 50 would put the GOP just over the majority mark, but that might be wishful thinking.

In the senate, the following are up for reelection, along with who I think is vulnerable/likely to lose:

Blanche Lincoln (Arkansas) — GOP GAIN 1

Barbara Boxer (California)

Ken Salazar (Colorado) — GOP GAIN 2

Daniel Inouye (Hawaii)

Barrack Obama’s replacement chosen by the Governor of Illinois after his resignation from the Senate in January to become President (Illinois) — GOP GAIN 3

Evan Bayh (Indiana)

Barbara Mikulski (Maryland)

Harry Reid (Nevada) — GOP GAIN 4

Chuck Schumer (New York)

Byron Dorgan (North Dakota) — GOP GAIN 5

Ron Wyden (Oregon)

Patrick Leahy (Vermont)

Russ Feingold (Wisconsin)

Richard Shelby (Alabama)

Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)

John McCain (Arizona)

Mel Martinez (Florida)

Johnny Isakson (Georgia)

Mike Crapo (Idaho)

Chuck Grassley (Iowa)

Jim Bunning (Kentucky)

David Vitter (Louisiana)

Kit Bond (Missouri)

Judd Gregg (New Hampshire)

Richard Burr (North Carolina)

George Voinovich (Ohio)

Tom Coburn (Oklahoma)

Arlen Specter (Pennsylvania) — GOP GAIN 6

Jim DeMint (South Carolina)

John Thune (South Dakota)

Bob Bennet (Utah)

Kansas run, now filled by Sam Brownback, but incumbent
won’t seek re-election

Christopher Dodd (Connecticut) — GOP GAIN 7

[trubolotta]

Impossible to tell but don't be surprised by any measures of desperation Democrats take to retain control, such as:

1. General amnesty for illegal aliens in January or February;

2. March or April legislation for a fast-track to citizenship (i. e. greasing the rails to the voting booth) in time for the November election;

3. Reallocated TARP funds to ACORN to get those new citizens registered;

4. Media blitz about “democracy” and how everyone should be enfranchised.

The election will be stolen and those stealing it have nothing to lose if they would have lost anyway and everything to gain if they succeed.

[dfwgator]

The Rat Party could split in the aftermath with the Blue Dogs forming their own party, and perhaps even siphoning some Republicans into the new party.

[chris_bdba]

Hopefully the republicans have either taken back the house or it is evenly split. Also I expect the Senate to not have 60 democratic votes anymore and hopefully more like 54 democrats so our side still has the fillibuster to use when needed.

[MrB]

USCWII won’t be until about 4-6 months after nov 2009.

That is if it is blatantly obvious that the election process is now a closed “box of liberty”.

Patriots will hunker down, go silent, group up, and wait for the spark. That’ll be in that 4-6 month window.

[mel]

Beck said yesterday that pendulum swings far left, then it swings far right, then swings the other way again, until one person stops it and it may stop on far right or far left.

[MrB]

There are 15 dem senate seats up for election in ‘10, just FYI.