Posted on 10/30/2008 10:54:04 PM PDT by RobinMasters
John McCain has the upper hand in the November 4th election. How can I say that when the polls show Obama leading by anywhere from one (IBD, the most accurate pollster the last time out) to 13 from the folks who brought you Dan Rather and the use of forged documents to try and steal the election just four years ago. A brief look at the methodolgy of these polls -- the degree of over-sampling of Democrats corresponding almost to perfection with the degree of Obama's "lead" in them -- shows a tight race, with McCain actually leading by a point or two.
This reality is underscored by events within the campaigns which, when analyzed, show an Obama camp in desperation.
1) The politically savvy Governor of Pennsylvania, Ed Rendell, is clearly panicking. Rendell has publicly begged the Obama campaign to send their star back to the state for no less than THREE major events to "close the deal" on a state that should have been closed for the leftists month ago.
And it's no wonder the campaign is panicking, an Obama internal poll was accidentally released to the media and it shows The Anointed One in a statistical dead heat with his American hero opponent. And this was BEFORE John Murtha basically parrotted Obama's San Francisco speech in which The Anointed One candidly spoke of his disdain for the people of Pennsylvania. Murtha may not be as eloquent as The One, but the condescension and disrespect that he has for the people who "cling" to their Christianity and constitutional rights is exactly the same.
(Excerpt) Read more at regularfolksunited.com ...
Are you sure they don't try to tweak them further?
So if Acorn is out there stuffing the registration rolls with cartoon characters and household pets then youre going to get an oversampling of democrats.
Unless Acorn can get somebody to actually vote under these names.
That's kind of what I'd like to see. Averaging polls might be a better approach with the raw samples than the weighted ones.
Well, there will be a lot more of those on the Democrat side than the Republican side, that's for sure.
Just one of the factors - other than the political correctness factor that causes people to refuse to imply they are not going to vote for the black man - that is going to result in a surprise for everyone who really thinks Obama is going to walk away with this election.
Sounds like a tough polling job.
Randomly choosing names from a set is the easy part. Compiling a set of voters to randomly select from would probably be much harder. And then you would have to take a very large sampling...and make absolutely sure you get the opinion of everyone selected...including those nearly impossible to reach.
I’m sure you think Murtha calling his constituents racist was planned as well.
Democrats are not as smart as you make them out to be.
The polls are ignoring the huge percentage of Democrats who will show up and vote McCain/Palin.
...which is why they have to lie about their true intentions. If their principles were appealing to the majority, they could simply and proudly admit, "Yes, we are going to spread the wealth around and tell you how to live your lives."
bump for later.
While that is a nice thought, I have a hard time seeing how this would be missed by the polls.
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