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Gallup Stunner - Obama Down To 2% Lead Nationally!
Strata Sphere ^ | Oct 28 2008 | AJStrata

Posted on 10/28/2008 12:10:24 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

Later tonight I will be doing the second “Nightly Bi-Poller Report” and it will be an interesting post because Gallup has come out today with a stunning poll for their ‘traditional’ (i.e., historically proven) turnout model:

Even Gallup’s fanciful ‘Extended’ turnout model took a huge dip.

(Excerpt) Read more at strata-sphere.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; gallup; mccain; obama
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To: MozarkDawg
Wow, now i feel like an idiot! Not even close.

According to the map you posted it appears there are at least 11 states that have two time zones within their border. Wow!

61 posted on 10/28/2008 12:44:06 PM PDT by torchthemummy (Why Is The Educational Establishment Comfortable With Ayers' Unrepentent Radicalism (Terrorism)?)
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To: janipa
"With the World Series delayed yet again, one has to wonder how annoyed the Philly fans will be to wait for their team to win because of this infomercial."

What happens if they are rained out againt today?

They can'r play early tomorrow, because they sold the time to Obama. Unles they play at noon.

62 posted on 10/28/2008 12:46:57 PM PDT by cookcounty ("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: The G Man
And this poll doesn't even take into account the Bradley effect or Shy Tory effect, the Hillary Democrats who will vote for McCain, or the Undecides who frequently go with the challenger (McCain).



Obama-Lenin
63 posted on 10/28/2008 12:47:53 PM PDT by JJHLH1
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To: RetiredArmy
What continues to amaze me is that there are all these people who were never registered to vote before. Yes, you have young, first timers, but it seems funny at the numbers turning up.

I've been curious about this my own self, especially with this ACORN business, the numbers that keep being floated. I asked on an earlier thread, am I not mistaken in my assumption that once you've registered to vote, you do not have to re-register each election? I've lived in three states, none of them required me to register to vote more than the initial time. Where are all these newly-registered coming from?

As you say, sure there is a given number of kids who happened to have turned 18 this year, in time to register for their first election. I'll throw in folks who are moving to a new state, need to re-register. But it simply cannot be that many, I'm just not buying the tens of thousands all over the country, they've been oh-so-apathetic until now. Those numbers are phony and have been used to inflate the demographics used in the polling, I'm convinced it is being done in order to suppress and depress GOP voting.

64 posted on 10/28/2008 12:49:40 PM PDT by MozarkDawg
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To: PapaBear3625

I hope next Tuesday’s weather is like today’s: miserable.


65 posted on 10/28/2008 12:49:44 PM PDT by Scarpetta (e pluribus victim)
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To: torchthemummy

...and the entire state of Arizona is in two time zones.

I’ll let y’all guess as to why that is a correct statement.


66 posted on 10/28/2008 12:50:02 PM PDT by cookcounty ("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: Jmerzio
"The other likely voter model has a 6 point deficit though :("

That model is useless. It's basically the traditional LV model + ACRON Voter Fraud.

67 posted on 10/28/2008 12:50:19 PM PDT by avacado
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To: Jmerzio
"The other likely voter model has a 6 point deficit though :("

That model is useless. It's basically the traditional LV model + ACORN Voter Fraud.

68 posted on 10/28/2008 12:50:33 PM PDT by avacado
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Something happened in my neighborhood last night. These McCain/ Palin signs are breeding like rabbits. There are dozens on every street in this smallish town halfway between Cleveland and Akron.

Oh yea, I also saw some Obama signs- three.


69 posted on 10/28/2008 12:50:33 PM PDT by keats5 ("I hope for his sake, Joe Biden got that VP thing in writing."- Rudy)
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To: torchthemummy

Nah, not an idiot. And I’m glad I went to look up a graphic, since I had no idea that so many states had multi-time zones, thanks for the impetus. An eye-opener!


70 posted on 10/28/2008 12:53:30 PM PDT by MozarkDawg
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To: Claud

Awesome analysis. I pray you’re right.


71 posted on 10/28/2008 12:54:56 PM PDT by Scarpetta (e pluribus victim)
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To: AmericaUnited

We have two new voters in our family, and they, and most of their friends, are voting McCain.

There are a lot of grounded young people who are conservative. The useful idiots they show on TV do not represent all of America’s youth.


72 posted on 10/28/2008 12:55:58 PM PDT by keats5 ("I hope for his sake, Joe Biden got that VP thing in writing."- Rudy)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I’m not convinced Obama has ever been ahead. The media has been fronting for him since early this year.

Wow DOW +750 at 12:56am PDT.


73 posted on 10/28/2008 12:57:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (If The One were running with an (R), imagine how the press would cut him to ribbons...)
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To: Claud
Good analysis on an area I am not familiar with. Thanks.
74 posted on 10/28/2008 12:57:46 PM PDT by avacado
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To: gimme1ibertee

I do believe you have the correct answer to this potential problem.


75 posted on 10/28/2008 12:58:15 PM PDT by Married with Children
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I pray everyday for McCain and Palin to rise above. Especially after the “lynching” yesterday, I was so upset, and just did not know what to do about it. It seems no one really cares. Dennis Miller said on his show today that Obama, as a black man who should be sensitive to hangings, should have insisted that this clown take down the hanging and apologize. The whole thing has me so disgusted, I don’t know how she deals with these things.

All I can hope is that when people go to the polls, they will really think. I’m going to be a nervous wreck next Tuesday.


76 posted on 10/28/2008 12:58:57 PM PDT by AUJenn
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To: AUJenn

Include in your prayers that everyone tells the truth,

even if divine intervention is required to make 0bama/Biden slip up to do so.


77 posted on 10/28/2008 1:00:38 PM PDT by MrB (0bama supporters: What's the attraction? The Marxism or the Infanticide?)
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To: RetiredArmy

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. It is a mistake to assume the youth vote is heavily democrat anymore. The youth are much more split today. The Republican College crowd is growing all the time. It’s not the 1960s anymore.


78 posted on 10/28/2008 1:01:05 PM PDT by keats5 ("I hope for his sake, Joe Biden got that VP thing in writing."- Rudy)
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To: DoughtyOne

Just looked at CNBC,...up 890...closing at 9066...


79 posted on 10/28/2008 1:03:06 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: AUJenn

Sarah Palin does not look to men for her strength. She puts her faith in her God who is her rock. She’ll be fine.


80 posted on 10/28/2008 1:04:33 PM PDT by keats5 ("I hope for his sake, Joe Biden got that VP thing in writing."- Rudy)
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